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NEB

Nebraska 20 at USC 28

USC
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:50 · Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+4.5Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Garbage-time factor+0.4Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:05: Kyron Hudson 12 Yd pass from Jayden Maiava (Michael Lantz Kick) — USC win probability +5.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:21: Emmett Johnson 29 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (John Hohl Kick) — NEB win probability +9.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:15: Duce Robinson 48 Yd pass from Jayden Maiava (Michael Lantz Kick) — USC win probability +16.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:04: Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the USC 16 — NEB win probability +8.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 2:45: Jayden Maiava 2 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick) — USC win probability +23.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:58USC 4th & 10 at USC 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:06NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:22USC 4th & 21 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:28USC 4th & 8 at USC 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:35NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:26USC 4th & 2 at USC 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:37NEB 4th & 9 at USC 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−10.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:50NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 46, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:09NEB 4th & 6 at USC 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−8.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:58USC 4th & 4 at NEB 10, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%−0.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−14.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:58USC 4th & 4 at NEB 10, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%−0.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−14.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:24NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 35, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−2.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:30USC 4th & 1 at NEB 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.1%−8.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:23NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:05USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:21NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:15USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:45USC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:5764% → 64%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
63.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Duce RobinsonSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
63.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 6 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.9%
Woody Marks run for no gain to the USC 37Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
63.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
63.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
63.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for no gain to the NEB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3536% → 36%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
63.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
63.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+3
63.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
63.8%
Dylan Raiola run for no gain to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
63.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dante Dowdell for 3 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+9
63.9%
Brian Buschini punt for 57 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 9 yds to the USC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:2464% → 64%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
63.8%
Woody Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 25Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kyle FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 4TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2164% → 65%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 3 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+6
63.4%
Woody Marks run for 6 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+18
63.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyle Ford for 18 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
64.4%
Quinten Joyner run for 5 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
64.5%
Quinten Joyner run for 2 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+6
64.4%
Quinten Joyner run for 6 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
64.8%
Woody Marks run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 34Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+28
64.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 28 yds to the NEB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.9%
Zachariah Branch 6 Yd pass from Jayden Maiava (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:5337% → 38%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
63.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
62.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 4 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
62.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
62.1%
Dylan Raiola run for 2 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
62.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 14Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
62.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 6TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:5264% → 71%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
63.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 12 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
63.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Lake McRee for 9 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+12
64.5%
Woody Marks run for 12 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
64.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Makai Lemon for 7 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+26
65.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 11 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Stefon Thompson) to the NEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
65.6%
Jayden Maiava run for 13 yds to the NEB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
65.7%
USC Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the NEB 17Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+5
65.4%
(13:32) PENALTY NEB Offside (Robinson,Ty) 5 yards from NEB17 to NEB12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
70.6%
Kyron Hudson 12 Yd pass from Jayden Maiava (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3931% → 41%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
68.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 8 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
68.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
67.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 44Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+16
68.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 16 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
67.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
67.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+11
68.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 11 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
58.7%
Emmett Johnson 29 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (John Hohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:5464% → 63%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
63.6%
Woody Marks run for 16 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
64.9%
Jayden Maiava run for 4 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ceyair Wright) to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
65.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
65.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyle Ford for 10 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.2%
Quinten Joyner run for no gain to the NEB 35Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-15
66.3%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass incomplete short right to Joyner,Quinten thrown to NEB33 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Joyner,Quinten) 15 yards from NEB35 to NEB50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 25
50
+4
64.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for 4 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 21
OPP 46
0
63.4%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Woody MarksSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 21
OPP 46
0
62.5%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9INT
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3639% → 40%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
60.9%
(06:22) Shotgun Dowdell,Dante rush middle for 0 yards to the NEB04 (Fountain,Kameryn) PENALTY USC Illegal Use Of Hands (Abasiri,Jide) 15 yards from NEB04 to NEB19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
60.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 4 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+11
59.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 11 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
59.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
59.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 10 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2864% → 61%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 3 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
62.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 5 yds to the USC 37Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
62.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+4
61.4%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 54 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. returns for 4 yds to the NEB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:4841% → 40%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
59.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
58.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the NEB 19Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 19
-5
59.1%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Elijah Hughes for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 14Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
60.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0461% → 63%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
61.4%
USC Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the USC 19Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 22
OWN 19
+20
60.7%
Woody Marks run for 20 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
64.4%
Quinten Joyner run for no gain to the USC 39Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
62.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
58.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:1742% → 50%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
56.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
56.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 20 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
54.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+13
54.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 13 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
53.1%
Dylan Raiola run for 1 yd to the USC 25Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+13
53.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 13 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
52.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-1
52.7%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Solomon Tuliaupupu for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 11Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
54.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
50.4%
John Hohl 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1753% → 73%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.8%
Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
53.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Woody Marks for no gain to the USC 29Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
51.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
50
+2
56.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 2 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
72.7%
Duce Robinson 48 Yd pass from Jayden Maiava (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1532% → 33%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
68.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 15 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
66.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dante Dowdell for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 37Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-1
67.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+10
69.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
67.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3370% → 71%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
69.7%
Jayden Maiava run for 11 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
71.0%
Jayden Maiava sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 16 Jayden Maiava fumbled, recovered by NEB Mikai Gbayor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5538% → 38%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
62.2%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the USC 16Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
62.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
63.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
62.0%
John Hohl 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:0564% → 66%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
64.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
65.7%
Woody Marks run for 8 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+13
68.0%
Woody Marks run for 13 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
68.9%
Woody Marks run for 3 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+23
69.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 23 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
70.1%
Woody Marks run for 2 yds to the NEB 14Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
70.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+4
68.4%
Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the NEB 10Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
65.9%
Michael Lantz 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ceyair WrightSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
65.9%
Michael Lantz 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ceyair Wright (13:05) Lantz,Michael field goal attempt from 27 yards NO GOOD blocked by Wright,Ceyair (H: Czaplicki,Eddie, LS: Pepper,Hank), clock 12:58 recovered by USC O'Connor,Kilian at NEB20, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2737% → 35%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
62.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 13 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
61.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
61.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+2
60.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 3
OWN 40
-5
63.4%
(10:31) PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB40 to NEB35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
65.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 7:3466% → 97%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
66.0%
Woody Marks run for 7 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+7
66.6%
Woody Marks run for 7 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
66.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
66.0%
Woody Marks run for 5 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+9
66.6%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Duce Robinson for 9 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
70.6%
Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
70.7%
run for 3 yds to the USC 45 fumbled, recovered by USC Jayden MaiavaSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+34
69.2%
Woody Marks run for 34 yds to the NEB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
73.8%
Woody Marks run for 4 yds to the NEB 9Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
74.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Quinten Joyner for 5 yds to the NEB 4Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
73.5%
Quinten Joyner run for 2 yds to the NEB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Jayden Maiava 2 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22INT
17 plays · 56 yds · 2:409% → 10%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
91.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for no gain to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
91.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 1 yd to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
92.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 9 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
90.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
90.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
89.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 1 yd to the USC 47Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+9
89.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 9 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
89.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jaylen LloydSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+24
90.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 24 yds to the USC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
88.3%
(00:05) PENALTY NEB False Start 5 yards from USC14 to USC19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
89.7%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:45
Jayden Maiava 2 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)
+23
TD · Q3 7:15
Duce Robinson 48 Yd pass from Jayden Maiava (Michael Lantz Kick)
+16.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com