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WASH

Washington 6 at Penn State 35

PSU
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:13 · Corey Smith run for 1 yd to the WASH 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:48: Beau Pribula run for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:22: Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:23: Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:50: Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down — PSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:23: Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK) — PSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 7:48WASH 4th & 10 at PSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:53WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:00WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:27WASH 4th & 4 at PSU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:47WASH 4th & 6 at PSU 6, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:56PSU 4th & 5 at WASH 27, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:48WASH 4th & 5 at PSU 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:33WASH 4th & 17 at PSU 17, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:44PSU 4th & 1 at WASH 16, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:28WASH 4th & 11 at PSU 11, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:48PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:22PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:23PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23PSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:50PSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1MISSED FG
17 plays · 42 yds · 7:0112% → 15%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
87.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 8 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
87.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
87.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
87.2%
Penn State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the WASH 48Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-5
87.1%
Will Rogers sacked by Kobe King for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-5
86.9%
Washington Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WASH 38Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+10
87.0%
(12:02) ROGERS, Will pass to the left complete for 3 yards to LATU, Keleki caught at the WASH33 and advanced to the WASH41 (HARRIS, AJ), clock 11:55. PENALTY PSU Holding on TRACY, Zion enforced 10 yards from the WASH38 to the WASH48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
86.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
86.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.3%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
86.3%
Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd to the PSU 38Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+10
86.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 10 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
85.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd to the PSU 27Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+5
85.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the PSU 22Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 22
-6
85.4%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 6 yards to the PSU 28Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
85.5%
Grady Gross 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:5886% → 87%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
85.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 30Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+11
85.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 11 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
85.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 5 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+20
85.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 20 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
85.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 13 yds to the WASH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
85.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the WASH 16Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
85.2%
Omari Evans run for 1 yd to the WASH 15Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.9%
Beau Pribula run for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:5214% → 14%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rashid Williams for 7 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
85.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
85.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
85.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-7
85.2%
Will Rogers sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 36 Will Rogers fumbled, recovered by WASH Will Rogers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+8
86.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 52 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 8 yds to the PSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:2886% → 89%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.7%
Drew Allar run for 4 yds to the PSU 24Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
85.7%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PSU 24Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+19
85.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 19 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
86.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 3
50
+8
86.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 8 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
86.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 7 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
86.2%
Tyler Warren run for 3 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
86.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 12 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
86.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
86.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+11
85.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 11 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
86.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the WASH 2Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.0%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.1%
Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:3912% → 12%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the WASH 31Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
87.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 3 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-9
87.7%
Will Rogers pass intercepted Jaylen Reed return for 9 yds to the PSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:0689% → 96%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
89.3%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 3 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+21
89.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 21 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
89.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 4 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
89.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+12
89.3%
Washington Penalty, Face mask (12 yards) (Ephesians Prysock) to the WASH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
89.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the WASH 3Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
89.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the WASH 2Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.6%
Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:235% → 5%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.8%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 23Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
94.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 8 yds to the WASH 31Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
94.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 1:2797% → 99%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
96.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 11 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.9%
Drew Allar run for 6 yds to the PSU 49Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
97.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
97.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 11 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
97.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+17
96.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 17 yds to the WASH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.9%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for no gain to the WASH 8Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the WASH 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 20Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+14
98.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 14 yds Tyler Warren fumbled, recovered by WASH Jordan Shaw J. Shaw return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:131% → 2%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+1
99.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 1 yd to the PSU 28Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+18
98.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 18 yds to the PSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the PSU 6Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.2%
Giles Jackson run for no gain to the PSU 6Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.3%
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the PSU 6Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
97.9%
Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 0:1399% → 99%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
98.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Tyler Warren pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.0%
Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the PSU 35Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
99.0%
Washington Penalty, Offsides (Leroy Bryant) to the PSU 40Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+28
99.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 28 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
99.1%
Ryan Barker 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 7:211% → 1%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.6%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
98.4%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
98.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 5 yds to the WASH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
98.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 25 yds to the PSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd to the PSU 33Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
98.8%
Jordan Washington run for 4 yds to the PSU 29Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the PSU 29Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+7
99.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the PSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.0%
Adam Mohammed run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 24Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 12
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+15
99.3%
(00:29) WILLIAMS JR., Demond pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DEGRAAF, Decker thrown to the PSU0, clock 00:21. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on KIMBER, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the PSU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.3%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the PSU 5Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
99.3%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 7Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
99.4%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 10 yards to the PSU 17Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
99.0%
Grady Gross 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 8:39100% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Tyler Warren pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 34Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+7
99.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PSU 41Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+20
99.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 20 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+9
99.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the WASH 21Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+5
99.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the WASH 16Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the WASH 11Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+8
99.7%
Corey Smith run for 8 yds to the WASH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 2 yds to the WASH 1Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Jordan Mayer and Ta'Mere Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the WASH 19Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 4 yds to the WASH 23Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+43
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 43 yds to the PSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
100.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 9 yds to the PSU 25Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
Adam Mohammed run for 2 yds to the PSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
100.0%
(02:20) WILLIAMS JR., Demond pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BOSTON, Denzel thrown to the PSU0, clock 02:17. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on COLLINS, Audavion enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the PSU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-11
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Audavion Collins for a loss of 11 yards to the PSU 20Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+9
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 9 yds to the PSU 11Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
100.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 3 yds to the PSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16END OF GAME
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+78
100.0%
Corey Smith run for 78 yds to the WASH 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
100.0%
Corey Smith run for 6 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Corey Smith run for 2 yds to the WASH 6Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
100.0%
Corey Smith run for 1 yd to the WASH 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:23
Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 9:22
Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 0:23
Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com