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MINN

Minnesota 19 at Rutgers 26

RUTG
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:40 · Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 13 yds to the MINN 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior−1.4Home team on offense+15.2Garbage-time factor+4.1Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:54: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 17 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +6.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:01: Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 17 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +13.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:41: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 4 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +28.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. SAFETY · Q4 6:51: Max Brosmer sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY — RUTG win probability +13.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:10: Dragan Kesich 30 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +6.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 8MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:59RUTG 4th & 2 at MINN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:31RUTG 4th & 1 at MINN 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−3.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00MINN 4th & 6 at RUTG 33, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:51MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:59MINN 4th & 4 at RUTG 42, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    48.9%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:18RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 44, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:21MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 22, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−6.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:45RUTG 4th & 23 at RUTG 42, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−7.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:08MINN 4th & 5 at RUTG 49, up 2
    Close callPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:23RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−2.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:00MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:05RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 37, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:32RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:40MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:45RUTG 4th & 4 at MINN 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−5.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:10MINN 4th & 6 at RUTG 12, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:56MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:31RUTG Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:54RUTG Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:01MINN Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:41RUTG Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:0032% → 34%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Logan Blake for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
32.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Christian Dremel for 17 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
32.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+6
33.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
33.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
33.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+4
34.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
34.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5866% → 67%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
33.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
50
0
33.8%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
50
+2
33.9%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+28
34.2%
Max Brosmer run for 28 yds to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
33.9%
Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the RUTG 18Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
34.2%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
33.4%
Darius Taylor run for 18 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2134% → 39%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
34.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
34.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 37 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
35.6%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+20
35.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 20 yds to the MINN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
35.9%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 4 yds to the MINN 3Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
36.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the MINN 2Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
35.6%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the MINN 1Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:2062% → 63%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
38.1%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 29Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-5
38.5%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MINN 24Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+16
38.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 16 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
38.1%
Rutgers Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Eric Rogers) to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
37.7%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the RUTG 36Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
38.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 3 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
38.5%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
36.7%
Dragan Kesich 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5938% → 49%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
38.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 11 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
38.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 6 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
40.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for no gain to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+9
39.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
40.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Logan Blake for 1 yd to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+21
40.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 21 yds to the MINN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
42.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 7 yds to the MINN 20Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+3
42.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the MINN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
48.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 17 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0353% → 50%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 1 yd to the MINN 26Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
47.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 8 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
47.1%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.4%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
48.8%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
48.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
50.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7INT
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:2949% → 55%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
49.3%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the RUTG 7Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 7
-3
49.4%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the RUTG 4Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+65
49.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 65 yds to the MINN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
53.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the MINN 30Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
54.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+15
53.2%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the MINN8, clock 04:24. PENALTY MINN Pass Interference on BRYAN, Za'Quan enforced 15 yards to the MINN15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
54.6%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the MINN 14Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
54.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 5 yds to the MINN 9Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
54.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted, touchback. Ethan Robinson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:1448% → 48%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Cristian Driver for 4 yds to the MINN 24Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-8
53.4%
Max Brosmer sacked by Kyonte Hamilton for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 16Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+16
55.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 16 yds to the MINN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
53.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 20 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
50.1%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
51.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
50.7%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
52.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3454% → 54%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the RUTG 20Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
55.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+3
53.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:5448% → 64%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
51.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
51.3%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 29Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
52.7%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
51.8%
BROSMER, Max pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the RU30. PENALTY RU Personal Foul on LEWIS, Aaron enforced 15 yards from the MINN33 to the MINN48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
49.4%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 47Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+7
50.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+12
49.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds to the RUTG 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
47.8%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the RUTG 33Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
49.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 10 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
49.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 6 yds to the RUTG 17Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
36.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 17 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4342% → 42%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
42.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 15 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
45.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
46.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
44.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
41.6%
Jakob Anderson punt for 47 yds, downed at the MINN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5258% → 57%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
41.8%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+10
41.1%
BROSMER, Max pass up the middle complete for 9 yards to TAYLOR, Darius caught at the MINN23 and advanced to the MINN23 (POWELL, Tyreem), clock 06:35. PENALTY RU Holding on LONGERBEAM, Robert enforced 10 yards from the MINN14 to the MINN24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
40.0%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
40.3%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 22Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
42.1%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
43.4%
Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3346% → 40%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
44.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
47.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-13
47.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the RUTG 42 Athan Kaliakmanis fumbled, recovered by RUTG , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 23
OWN 42
0
41.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 23
OWN 42
0
40.2%
Jakob Anderson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3260% → 62%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.1%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
39.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 18 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for no gain to the MINN 46Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
37.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
35.8%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
38.2%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds, downed at the RUTG 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4043% → 41%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
42.6%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 6Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+12
43.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 12 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
44.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
44.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
42.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:23
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
41.2%
Jakob Anderson punt for 41 yds, downed at the MINN 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1762% → 60%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
37.8%
Max Brosmer sacked by Dariel Djabome for a loss of 12 yards to the MINN 24Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 22
OWN 24
0
39.4%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 22
OWN 24
+16
40.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 16 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
39.6%
null punt blocked by TEAM blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:4544% → 39%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
43.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Deven Eastern for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 7Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 16
OWN 7
0
43.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 16
OWN 7
+15
41.1%
(11:56) KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete broken up by LINDENBERG, Cody at the RU7, clock 11:52. PENALTY MINN Face mask on JOYNER, Jah enforced 15 yards from the RU7 to the RU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
44.2%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 22Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
44.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 7 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
43.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 5 yds to the RUTG 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
46.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
47.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 37Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
45.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 7
OWN 37
-2
44.2%
Jakob Anderson punt for 49 yds , Koi Perich returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 12Similar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-7
39.0%
TAYLOR, Darius rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the MINN19 (LOYAL, Shaquan), clock 08:55. PENALTY MINN Holding on DANIELS, Phillip enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MINN12 to the MINN6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0461% → 45%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 16
OWN 6
+6
39.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 6 yds Jameson Geers fumbled, recovered by RUTG Shaquan Loyal S. Loyal return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
54.8%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for STRONG, Ian thrown to the MINN0, clock 08:23. PENALTY MINN Pass Interference on WALLEY, Justin enforced 10 yards to the MINN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 84%
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
55.6%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 4Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 4 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20SF
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:3631% → 15%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-8
68.8%
Max Brosmer sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 5 Max Brosmer fumbled, recovered by MINN Max Brosmer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 18
OWN 5
0
71.5%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 18
OWN 5
-5
85.0%
Max Brosmer sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1687% → 87%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
88.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
88.2%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
87.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4216% → 13%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
84.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 25Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
86.1%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+13
87.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 13 yds to the MINN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:4291% → 95%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
91.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 20 yds to the MINN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
93.3%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 18 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
93.9%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 1 yd to the MINN 7Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.0%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the MINN 7Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
95.0%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the MINN 4Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
95.4%
Jai Patel 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 1:353% → 11%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 16 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.5%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+21
96.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 21 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
95.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 22 yds to the RUTG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
94.5%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-2
94.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 18Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+6
95.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the RUTG 12Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+30
89.2%
Dragan Kesich 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:4397% → 97%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
96.8%
(01:03) [NHSG] Kneel down by KALIAKMANIS, Athan at RU47 (team loss of 6), clock 00:57.Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 16
OWN 47
-5
96.6%
(00:20) [NHSG] Kneel down by KALIAKMANIS, Athan at RU42 (team loss of 5), clock 00:15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:41
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 4 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+28.4
TD · Q3 9:01
Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 17 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-13.5
SAFETY · Q4 6:51
Max Brosmer sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY
+13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com