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NU

Northwestern 26 at Purdue 20

PUR
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:45 · Ryan Browne pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 47Home team on offense−3.6Pregame prior+8.3Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:38: Joseph Himon II run for 51 yds for a TD (Luke Akers KICK) — NU win probability +6.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:23: Cam Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Akers KICK) — NU win probability +10.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK) — PUR win probability +15.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:16: Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK) — PUR win probability +37.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 22 yds for a TD — NU win probability +34.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:39PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21NU 4th & 10 at PUR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09PUR 4th & 7 at NU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:07PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:45PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:44PUR 4th & 1 at NU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:11NU 4th & 6 at NU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:46PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:46NU 4th & 9 at NU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:44PUR 4th & 6 at NU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−13.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 1 at PUR 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.8%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:14NU 4th & 14 at PUR 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−5.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−15.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:41NU 4th & 9 at NU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:58PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−1.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00NU 4th & 1 at NU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:38NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:23NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:25PUR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:16PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2163% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
62.9%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 32Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
62.8%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:1837% → 38%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
62.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
62.8%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 39Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
62.7%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
62.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 3 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
62.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 12 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
62.4%
Jack Lausch run for 8 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-15
62.3%
LAUSCH, Jack pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to HENNING, A.J. caught at the PUR30 and advanced to the PUR30, out of bounds. PENALTY NOR Pass Interference on GORDON, Thomas enforced 15 yards to the NOR50 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 17
50
+1
62.6%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the PUR 49Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+27
62.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 27 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
62.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
62.3%
Jack Lausch run for no gain to the PUR 22Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
62.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
61.7%
Luke Akers 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1262% → 63%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.7%
Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
61.8%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+32
61.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to CJ Smith for 32 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
62.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to CJ Smith for 3 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+12
62.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 12 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
62.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 13 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
62.6%
Hudson Card run for 1 yd to the NU 10Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
62.6%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the NU 8Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
62.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
62.6%
Spencer Porath 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3138% → 45%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 25Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
62.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 14 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
61.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
60.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 10 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
54.6%
Joseph Himon II run for 51 yds for a TD (Luke Akers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3156% → 55%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.3%
Ryan Browne run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
56.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the PUR 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
56.4%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for no gain to the PUR 34Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
55.2%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 1 yd to the NU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:3945% → 46%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
55.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 16 yds fumbled, recovered by NU Calvin Johnson II C. Johnson II return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
54.8%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 28Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
54.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted Antonio Stevens return for no gain to the PUR 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:4355% → 53%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
55.0%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-7
55.8%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 29Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+13
54.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 13 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
55.9%
Ryan Browne run for 6 yds to the PUR 48Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
56.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-3
56.5%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 48Similar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+2
53.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 6:2250% → 65%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+8
50.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
49.9%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the PUR 42Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
50.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 2 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
50.0%
LAUSCH, Jack scrambles to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the PUR37, out of bounds. PENALTY NOR Holding on CARSELLO, Jackson enforced 10 yards from the PUR40 to the NOR50 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 20
50
+8
47.9%
Jack Lausch run for 8 yds to the PUR 42Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+21
47.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 21 yds to the PUR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
46.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
45.8%
Jack Lausch run for 9 yds to the PUR 12Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
46.2%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the PUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
45.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 8 yds to the PUR 1Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.7%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the PUR 1Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.0%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Akers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
16 plays · 87 yds · 1:3535% → 49%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
34.7%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 10Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+12
34.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 12 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+13
34.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 13 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
35.3%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 14 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
37.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 19 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
38.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
37.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+9
36.3%
Hudson Card run for 9 yds to the NU 23Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+17
28.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 17 yds to the NU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
30.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
49.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
43.1%
(00:25) [NH] Kneel down by LAUSCH, Jack at NOR23 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4356% → 53%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
43.7%
Jack Lausch run for 8 yds to the NU 33Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
43.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
43.5%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 34Similar
Q3 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
44.6%
Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the NU 29Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+14
45.6%
Hunter Renner punt for 47 yds , Dillon Thieneman returns for 14 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
47.1%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (Marcus Mbow) to the PUR 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2546% → 46%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
45.7%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+13
45.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 13 yds to the PUR 46Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
48.2%
Hudson Card run for no gain to the PUR 46Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
46.0%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 4:0056% → 58%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
44.0%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the NU 9Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+14
44.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 14 yds to the NU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
43.0%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 18Similar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+1
43.2%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 19Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+3
43.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 3 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+2
44.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 2 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+3
41.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 47 yds , Dillon Thieneman returns for 3 yds to the PUR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:0243% → 49%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
43.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 7 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
45.9%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
45.3%
Hudson Card run for 2 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
44.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 10 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
46.9%
CARD, Hudson sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the NOR50 (PATE, Jaylen). PENALTY NOR Face mask on PATE, Jaylen enforced 15 yards from the NOR47 to the NOR32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+28
49.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 28 yds to the NU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
47.7%
Hudson Card sacked by Aidan Hubbard and R.J. Pearson for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 8Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
47.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Reggie Love III for 2 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
48.8%
Spencer Porath 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15FG
19 plays · 52 yds · 7:3058% → 78%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
42.3%
Jack Lausch run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 21Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
43.6%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
44.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 18 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
39.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 3 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
37.6%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
37.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
38.6%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
35.9%
Jack Lausch sacked by Kydran Jenkins and Cole Brevard for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+15
38.9%
Purdue Penalty, Personal Foul (Jireh Ojata) to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
34.3%
Jack Lausch run for no gain to the PUR 34Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
34.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 8 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+7
35.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 7 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
34.1%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
34.3%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the PUR 18Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-5
26.4%
Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jack Lausch) to the PUR 23Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 14
OPP 23
0
27.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+41
21.6%
Luke Akers 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5830% → 70%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 29Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
31.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
30.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 13 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
33.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to CJ Smith for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 2
50
+15
35.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 15 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
38.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+13
39.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 13 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
36.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
34.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 5 yds to the NU 9Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+8
32.0%
Shamar Rigby pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 8 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.8%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:2849% → 47%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
51.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 9 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
47.7%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 32Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+15
49.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 15 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
45.9%
KOMOLAFE, Caleb rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the NOR44 (JENKINS, Kydran). PENALTY NOR Holding on THOMPSON, Josh enforced 10 yards from the NOR47 to the NOR37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
51.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+16
52.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 16 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
44.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
48.2%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Kenny Soares Jr.) to the NU 48Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
52.9%
Hunter Renner punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4359% → 56%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
58.9%
Hudson Card sacked by Michael Kilbane and Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 16Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
57.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+12
55.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to CJ Smith for 12 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
56.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:5248% → 52%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
50.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 10 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
48.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 9 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
44.8%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+36
48.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 36 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20Uncategorized
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 41%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
65.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the NU 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
63.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
0
59.6%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
41.1%
Northwestern Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Theran Johnson) to the PUR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0056% → 90%
OT 0:00
1ST & 25
OPP 40
+18
43.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 18 yds to the PUR 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
9.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 22 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:16
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)
+37.8
TD · OT 0:00
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 22 yds for a TD
-34.1
TD · Q2 0:25
Hudson Card pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com