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UCLA

UCLA 27 at Nebraska 20

NEB
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:21 · Brody Richter punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense−4.9Pregame prior+14.8Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:02: Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +8.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 14:50: Kain Medrano 38 Yd Interception Return (Mateen Bhaghani Kick) — UCLA win probability +8.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:21: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 48 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +21.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:23: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +19.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:57: Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Berger) declined (John Hohl PAT MISSED) — NEB win probability +17.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 7:00UCLA 4th & 7 at NEB 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:24NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:52UCLA 4th & 1 at NEB 8, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.7%−2.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−7.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:02NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:21UCLA 4th & 14 at UCLA 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:32NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 38, down 6
    Close callPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:15UCLA 4th & 8 at NEB 47, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:03NEB 4th & 3 at UCLA 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−2.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:13UCLA 4th & 14 at NEB 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:31NEB 4th & 5 at UCLA 5, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−8.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:58UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 18, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:22UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:43NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:47UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:02NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:50UCLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:21UCLA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:23NEB Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:57NEB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    15.9%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:5325% → 27%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.2%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
75.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 9 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
74.9%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
74.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 7 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+7
74.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 7 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
74.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 1 yd to the NEB 46Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
74.0%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the NEB 46Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+25
73.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 25 yds to the NEB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
73.5%
Keegan Jones run for 9 yds to the NEB 12Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 1
OPP 12
-5
73.4%
(09:20) PENALTY UCLA False Start (Prongos,Niki) 5 yards from NEB12 to NEB17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+9
73.3%
T.J. Harden run for 9 yds to the NEB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.9%
T.J. Harden run for no gain to the NEB 8Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
72.8%
Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the NEB 7Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
72.7%
Mateen Bhaghani 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2173% → 71%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
72.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
72.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-2
71.7%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Jay Toia for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 21Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
71.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 6:1928% → 37%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
72.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 12 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
72.0%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
71.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+9
71.5%
Ethan Garbers run for 9 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
70.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 2 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
69.9%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+17
69.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 17 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
68.3%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the NEB 39Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+7
68.3%
Keegan Jones run for 7 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+22
68.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to J.Michael Sturdivant for 12 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Isaac Gifford) to the NEB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
62.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 10 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3863% → 71%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.5%
PENALTY UCLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Oladejo,Oluwafemi) 15 yards from NEB25 to NEB40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
63.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 41Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+40
62.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 40 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
62.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 7 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
62.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
61.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 6 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:5733% → 41%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.0%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
66.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+57
67.4%
Ethan Garbers run for 57 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
64.1%
Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the NEB 16Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
62.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the NEB 8Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
63.1%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the NEB 8Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+26
58.9%
Mateen Bhaghani 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3662% → 60%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for no gain to the NEB 25Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
60.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
60.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3041% → 40%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
59.3%
Keegan Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
58.7%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-5
59.4%
(04:41) PENALTY UCLA False Start 5 yards from UCLA25 to UCLA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
59.3%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
59.9%
Brody Richter punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4361% → 59%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
60.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
61.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
60.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+16
59.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 52 yds , Logan Loya returns for 16 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:1444% → 45%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
56.2%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Garbers,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Jones,Keegan thrown to UCLA26 PENALTY UCLA Illegal Formation (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from UCLA26 to UCLA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+15
56.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 15 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
54.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 15 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
52.9%
Ethan Garbers sacked by John Bullock for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+6
54.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 6 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
53.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
54.8%
Brody Richter punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 1:0658% → 57%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
57.9%
Dylan Raiola sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NEB 7Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 7
+12
56.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 12 yds to the NEB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-38
45.0%
Kain Medrano 38 Yd Interception Return (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:4045% → 40%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
44.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
44.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
44.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
43.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
43.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+2
41.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 2 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
40.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:3368% → 88%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
32.2%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+18
33.1%
T.J. Harden run for 18 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
12.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 48 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4220% → 38%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
19.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 4 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
18.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 14 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
17.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 47Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+15
16.6%
PENALTY UCLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kaho,Ale) 15 yards from NEB47 to UCLA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
17.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 27 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
18.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 3 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
37.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:5775% → 79%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
24.7%
Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
23.2%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+22
21.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 22 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
19.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
19.4%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the NEB 42Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
19.0%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 9
OPP 42
-5
20.7%
PENALTY UCLA Delay Of Game 5 yards from NEB42 to NEB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
20.8%
Brody Richter punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:2027% → 22%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
26.6%
Dylan Raiola run for 4 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
26.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
25.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+37
25.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 37 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
28.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 11 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
28.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dante Dowdell for 6 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
27.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+2
25.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
26.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
26.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
21.6%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Carson Schwesinger for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3388% → 90%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
11.7%
(11:31) PENALTY UCLA False Start (Churich,Michael) 5 yards from UCLA15 to UCLA10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+4
11.4%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+4
11.0%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
10.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
10.2%
Brody Richter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
15 plays · 53 yds · 5:3417% → 29%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
16.9%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 8 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
15.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
15.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
15.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
13.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 7 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+5
15.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
15.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 20 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
14.3%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short left to Banks,Jahmal thrown to UCLA00 PENALTY UCLA Holding (Wallace,K.J.) 5 yards from UCLA09 to UCLA04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
13.0%
Jaylen Lloyd run for 4 yds to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
12.7%
Dylan Raiola run for 6 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
11.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
10.9%
PENALTY UCLA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Havili Kaufusi,Sitiveni) 2 yards from UCLA03 to UCLA01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.2%
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.1%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Berger) declined (John Hohl PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2886% → 89%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.8%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
12.0%
Jalen Berger run for 8 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
10.5%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
11.4%
Brody Richter punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
13 plays · 42 yds · 1:4317% → 10%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
17.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
15.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-3
15.0%
Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Jalen Woods for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 18Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 11
OWN 18
+24
10.2%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 24 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
13.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
12.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+10
11.7%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 10 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
14.3%
Heinrich Haarberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
12.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 8 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+6
14.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
13.9%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass complete short middle to Fidone II,Thomas caught at UCLA29, for 5 yards to the UCLA29 (Medrano,Kain; Moore,Kaylin) PENALTY NEB Illegal Touch-Pass (Fidone II,Thomas) 5 yards from UCLA34 to UCLA39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
10.0%
Heinrich Haarberg pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
4.8%
E. Garbers takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:21
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 48 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
-21
TD · Q3 5:23
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)
+19.5
TD · Q4 3:57
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Berger) declined (John Hohl PAT MISSED)
+17.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com