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WIS

Wisconsin 10 at Iowa 42

IOWA
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:29 · Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the IOWA 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:49: Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:49: Kaleb Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:24: Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +10.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:17: Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for 7 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:12: Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +4.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:51IOWA 4th & 1 at WIS 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:15WIS 4th & 6 at IOWA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:56IOWA 4th & 10 at WIS 38, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:55WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:30WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:20IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 37, up 11
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:50WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:52IOWA 4th & 21 at IOWA 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−3.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:16WIS 4th & 19 at WIS 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:04WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 46, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:12WIS 4th & 4 at IOWA 14, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:53IOWA 4th & 2 at WIS 12, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:49IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:49IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:24IOWA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:17IOWA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:12WIS Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:42IOWA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:15IOWA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0856% → 57%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 9 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
56.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
56.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the IOWA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
56.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 2
50
+1
56.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 49Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
56.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
56.5%
Rhys Dakin punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FG
18 plays · 59 yds · 6:2444% → 44%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
56.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 6 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
56.3%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Tucker Ashcraft) to the WIS 21Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
56.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 10 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
56.4%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
56.5%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-5
56.2%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Joe Huber) to the WIS 33Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
56.6%
Iowa Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
56.3%
Iowa Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
56.1%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Yahya Black for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+15
56.5%
Iowa Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sebastian Castro) to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
55.8%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the IOWA 43Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+18
55.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 18 yds to the IOWA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
55.4%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Tucker Ashcraft) to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
55.6%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+9
55.9%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 9 yds to the IOWA 21Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
55.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
55.8%
Nathanial Vakos 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:1756% → 55%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
55.8%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jarriett Buie for 6 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
56.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
50
+12
56.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 12 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
56.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-2
56.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 41Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-5
56.0%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (Mason Richman) to the WIS 46Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+8
55.5%
Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
55.4%
Drew Stevens 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:5345% → 46%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
54.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 7 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
54.3%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
50
-14
54.0%
Braedyn Locke pass intercepted Deshaun Lee return for 14 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:5557% → 61%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
56.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+16
57.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for 16 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
57.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the WIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
57.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 16 yds to the WIS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
57.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the WIS 2Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5339% → 38%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.6%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
60.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
61.3%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-2
62.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:5360% → 72%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
60.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
60.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, Personal Foul (Aaron Witt) to the IOWA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
61.5%
Kamari Moulton run for 30 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
63.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 9 yds to the WIS 19Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
63.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the WIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
72.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1830% → 28%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.6%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
70.0%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
71.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds, downed at the IOWA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0172% → 72%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
71.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 32Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
72.1%
Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the IOWA 32Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+5
72.0%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 5 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
72.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 57 yds, downed at the WIS 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2127% → 24%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
72.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 13 yds to the WIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
73.6%
Braedyn Locke run for 2 yds to the WIS 21Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
74.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
76.0%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
76.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 53 yds, downed at the IOWA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:4875% → 74%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
74.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
75.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-14
74.7%
Iowa Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on SULLIVAN, Brendan enforced resulting in a (-14 Yards) to the IOWA 16Similar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 21
OWN 15
0
74.1%
Rhys Dakin punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wohler at the WIS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 17 yds · 2:2924% → 22%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
76.1%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+10
76.1%
Braedyn Locke run for 10 yds to the WIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
75.0%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
74.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 4 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
73.7%
Braedyn Locke run for 4 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
74.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-15
75.0%
(00:38) LOCKE, Braedyn pass to the left incomplete intended for ASHCRAFT, Tucker thrown to the IOWA28; QB hurried by JACKSON, Nick and CRAIG, Deontae, clock 00:34. PENALTY WISC Chop Block enforced 15 yards from the IOWA43 to the WISC42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 25
OWN 42
-5
77.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Tucker Ashcraft) to the WIS 37Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 30
OWN 37
-3
77.0%
Darrion Dupree run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 34Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 33
OWN 34
+14
77.6%
Darrion Dupree run for 14 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
77.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
77.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:5525% → 24%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.0%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
74.5%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
74.6%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
74.2%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 44Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
74.8%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
76.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 5:3178% → 93%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
77.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+4
78.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
78.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+14
78.8%
Brendan Sullivan run for 14 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
80.5%
Kamari Moulton run for 7 yds to the WIS 49Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+19
81.2%
Brendan Sullivan run for 19 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
81.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+12
82.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 12 yds to the WIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
82.4%
Kaden Wetjen run for 7 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
92.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:509% → 6%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.7%
Darrion Dupree run for 10 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
90.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Darrion Dupree for 4 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
90.9%
Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the WIS 40Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-28
91.6%
Braedyn Locke pass intercepted Nick Jackson return for 28 yds to the WIS 12Similar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
93.7%
(04:33) JOHNSON, Kaleb rush to the right for no gain to the WISC12 (ALLIEGRO, Christian), clock 04:29. PENALTY WISC Offsides on PIUS, John enforced 5 yards from the WISC12 to the WISC7 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for 7 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:582% → 6%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
98.0%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 2 yds to the WIS 23Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
98.1%
Braedyn Locke run for 9 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for no gain to the WIS 32Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+33
98.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 33 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
98.3%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 15 yds to the IOWA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.3%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
98.5%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-1
98.6%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 14Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+14
93.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 14 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:1396% → 100%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
96.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 24Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
96.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+52
96.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 52 yds to the WIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
96.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 20Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+19
97.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 19 yds to the WIS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for no gain to the WIS 1Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
(10:31) SULLIVAN, Brendan pass short up the middle incomplete intended for ANDERSON, Seth thrown to the WISC0, clock 10:29. PENALTY WISC Pass Interference on WOHLER, Hunter enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards to the WISC1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 2 fumbled, recovered by IOWA Kaleb Johnson K. Johnson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 1 yd to the WIS 26Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Braedyn Locke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 7:12100% → 100%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
99.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 18 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
99.7%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+6
99.7%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.7%
Kamari Moulton run for no gain to the WIS 36Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.7%
Kamari Moulton run for 7 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 9 yds to the WIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the WIS 16Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
99.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the WIS 14Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
99.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 2 yds to the WIS 12Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+8
99.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 8 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Darrion Dupree run for 15 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Darrion Dupree run for 11 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:24
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q2 8:49
Kaleb Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q3 4:17
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for 7 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com