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NEB

Nebraska 17 at Ohio State 21

OSU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:02 · Jayden Fielding 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+28.6Home team on offense+10.5Garbage-time factor+4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score differential+2.2Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:21: Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 60 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: John Hohl 54 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +1.9 pts (now 10%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:29: John Hohl 47 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +4.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:47: Dante Dowdell 1 Yd Run (Dylan Raiola Pass to Nate Boerkircher for Two-Point Conversion) — NEB win probability +29.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:04: Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +23.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:54NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54OSU 4th & 1 at NEB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:33NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:31NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:21NEB 4th & 16 at OSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:47NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02OSU 4th & 8 at NEB 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00NEB 4th & 11 at OSU 36, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:20OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 26, up 8
    Close callPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:29NEB 4th & 15 at OSU 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:55NEB 4th & 2 at OSU 2, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.7%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−11.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:29OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 9, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:45NEB 4th & 17 at OSU 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:53OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 28, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.2%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:47OSU 4th & 1 at NEB 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−4.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−16.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:35NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:36OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−8.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:29OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:21OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:47NEB Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    42.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    43.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:04OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:046% → 7%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
93.8%
Dylan Raiola run for 2 yds to the NEB 7 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Dante DowdellSimilar
Q1 14:58
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+6
93.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q1 14:58
3RD & 6
OWN 13
-8
93.8%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the NEB 5Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 14
OWN 5
0
93.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
93.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 8 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-8
93.4%
Will Howard sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 8 yards to the NEB 36Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+9
93.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 9 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+1
92.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the NEB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:217% → 8%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Dante DowdellSimilar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
92.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+30
92.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 30 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
92.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5293% → 92%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
92.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 27Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+2
92.4%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+5
92.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 5 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
91.8%
Joe McGuire punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 4:108% → 9%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
91.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 24Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
91.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 26Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
91.9%
Dylan Raiola run for 5 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
91.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 30Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
91.8%
Dylan Raiola run for 4 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+5
91.9%
Dylan Raiola run for 5 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
90.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:0291% → 92%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
90.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
90.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+4
91.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+15
90.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Howard,Will pass incomplete deep left to Egbuka,Emeka thrown to NEB50 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hartzog Jr.,Malcolm) 15 yards from OSU28 to OSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+11
91.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 11 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
92.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:399% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
91.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 8 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
91.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 12 yds Jacory Barney Jr. fumbled, recovered by NEB Ben Scott for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
91.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+38
91.3%
Dylan Raiola run for 38 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
90.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 18
-1
90.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 19Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+2
90.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the OSU 21Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+39
90.3%
John Hohl 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0089% → 93%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
89.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
89.2%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
92.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 60 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:348% → 8%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
92.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
92.3%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Bullock,Alex) 5 yards from NEB32 to NEB27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
92.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 26Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+8
92.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds , Caleb Downs returns for 8 yds to the OSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:4593% → 92%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
92.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 9 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
92.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
92.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 17 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
92.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NEB 22Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
92.6%
Will Howard run for no gain to the NEB 22 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by OSU Donovan JacksonSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-2
92.4%
Will Howard sacked by MJ Sherman for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 24Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
92.2%
Jayden Fielding 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 2:028% → 10%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
92.5%
Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep right to Lloyd,Jaylen thrown to NEB44 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Igbinosun,Davison) 15 yards from NEB24 to NEB39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
91.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 14 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
91.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds to the OSU 39Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
90.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the OSU 38Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
90.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
90.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
90.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-15
91.0%
Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep left to Neyor,Isaiah thrown to OSU02 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Neyor,Isaiah) 15 yards from OSU30 to OSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+9
92.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 9 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+54
90.4%
John Hohl 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3490% → 89%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
90.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 21Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
90.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 5 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
89.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
89.1%
Joe McGuire punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:5111% → 17%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
89.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 15Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+14
89.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 14 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
89.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 14 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
88.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 12 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
87.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
87.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
87.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 3 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+6
88.0%
Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short left to Neyor,Isaiah thrown to OSU24 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Igbinosun,Davison) 6 yards from OSU30 to OSU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
86.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the OSU 20Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
86.9%
Dylan Raiola run for 2 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-5
87.7%
Shotgun Johnson,Emmett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU15 (Styles,Sonny; Igbinosun,Davison) PENALTY NEB Illegal Shift (Bullock,Alex) 5 yards from OSU18 to OSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-6
88.0%
Dylan Raiola sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 6 yards to the OSU 29Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+47
83.5%
John Hohl 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-34
84.2%
Will Howard pass intercepted Malcolm Hartzog Jr. return for 34 yds to the OSU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1621% → 21%
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
78.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the OSU 6Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
78.6%
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the OSU 6Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
79.6%
Jaylen Lloyd run for 4 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the OSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2683% → 80%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
82.9%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OSU 3Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+6
82.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the OSU 9Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 9
0
81.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+3
80.3%
Joe McGuire punt for 36 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 3 yds to the OSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4423% → 19%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
77.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 10 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
76.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-7
77.9%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Ty Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 39Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 17
OPP 39
0
80.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5282% → 80%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
81.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
82.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
80.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 28Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
79.6%
Joe McGuire punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:0621% → 58%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
78.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 19 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+33
76.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 33 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
73.3%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+7
75.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 19Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+8
74.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 8 yds to the OSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
73.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
73.3%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the OSU 8Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+7
71.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.1%
Dante Dowdell 1 Yd Run (Dylan Raiola Pass to Nate Boerkircher for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:4355% → 86%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
54.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 37 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
60.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
63.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
60.2%
Will Howard run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+3
57.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 3 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
63.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the NEB 19Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+10
63.0%
Will Howard run for 10 yds to the NEB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
86.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2926% → 20%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
73.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 28Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
75.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete to Jacory Barney Jr.Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
77.0%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Wright,Ceyair) 5 yards from NEB28 to NEB23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
80.1%
Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:5987% → 87%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
87.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 38Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 38Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+7
87.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
86.7%
Joe McGuire punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2014% → 12%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
86.1%
Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete deep left to Banks,Jahmal caught at NEB46, for 22 yards to the NEB46, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Banks,Jahmal) 12 yards from NEB24 to NEB12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 22
OWN 12
+15
86.4%
Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short middle to Banks,Jahmal thrown to NEB31 broken up by Reese,Arvell PENALTY OSU Targeting (Reese,Arvell) 15 yards from NEB12 to NEB27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "".Similar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
83.2%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Evans,Justin) 5 yards from NEB46 to NEB41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+3
85.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 18
OWN 38
-1
86.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 37Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 19
OWN 37
0
88.4%
Dylan Raiola pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:1695% → 96%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
95.3%
W. Howard takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-1
95.2%
W. Howard takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-1
95.5%
W. Howard takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:47
Dante Dowdell 1 Yd Run (Dylan Raiola Pass to Nate Boerkircher for Two-Point Conversion)
-29.8
TD · Q4 6:04
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+23.1
FG · Q3 7:29
John Hohl 47 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com