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MD

Maryland 23 at Minnesota 48

MINN
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:16 · Roman Hemby run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+16.7Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:45: Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +1.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:04: Elijah Spencer 7 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick) — MINN win probability +4.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:55: Dragan Kesich 40 Yd Field Goal — MD win probability +0.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 6:55: Jack Howes 33 Yd Field Goal — MINN win probability +0.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:02: Dragan Kesich 34 Yd Field Goal — MINN win probability +0.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:16MD 4th & 1 at MINN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:07MD 4th & 6 at MD 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:27MD 4th & 1 at MD 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55MINN 4th & 9 at MD 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13MD 4th & 9 at MD 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:08MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55MD 4th & 4 at MINN 15, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:42MD 4th & 8 at MINN 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:28MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:48MD 4th & 5 at MD 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:26MINN 4th & 14 at MINN 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:45MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:04MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:4333% → 33%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
67.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 26 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
67.1%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MINN 48Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
67.0%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
66.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-2
66.9%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2767% → 69%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
67.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 24 yds to the MD 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
67.3%
(12:37) BROSMER, Max pass up the middle incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the UMD25, clock 12:35. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on TRADER JR., Dante enforced 10 yards to the UMD24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
67.3%
Kristen Hoskins run for 2 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-1
67.3%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 23Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+13
67.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the MD 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
68.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3632% → 31%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
68.0%
(10:39) EDWARDS JR., Billy pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FELTON, Tai thrown to the MINN40, clock 10:34. PENALTY UMD Holding on BAH, Aliou enforced 10 yards from the UMD25 to the UMD15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+2
68.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 2 yds to the MD 17Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+12
68.5%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 12 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+7
68.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 43 yds , Koi Perich returns for 7 yds to the MINN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:5269% → 74%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
68.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 7 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
69.3%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MINN 37Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
69.0%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
68.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
69.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 7 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+10
69.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the MD 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
69.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
69.9%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MD 18Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+11
69.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 11 yds to the MD 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
74.2%
Elijah Spencer 7 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2628% → 27%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.5%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
72.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2927% → 27%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.6%
Roman Hemby run for 13 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
72.7%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
72.6%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
73.3%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the MD 47Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+1
73.0%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.1%
Nolan Ray run for no gain to the MD 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0576% → 76%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
76.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 4 yds to the MD 19Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
76.7%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-3
76.4%
Jordan Nubin run for a loss of 3 yards to the MD 22Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
76.0%
Dragan Kesich 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4026% → 25%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.4%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MD 26Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
74.7%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
74.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+20
75.2%
Bryce McFerson punt for 62 yds , Koi Perich returns for 20 yds to the MINN 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:5277% → 77%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
76.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 31Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-6
76.8%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the MINN 25Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+10
76.7%
(12:45) BROSMER, Max pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROCKINGTON, Lemeke thrown to the UMD50; QB hurried by WHEATLAND, Caleb, clock 12:39. PENALTY UMD Holding on THOMAS, Kevis enforced 10 yards from the MINN25 to the MINN35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
77.4%
Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-6
78.4%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the MINN 37Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
77.8%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
77.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds, downed at the MD 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:0524% → 22%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
76.1%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 29Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
76.5%
Minnesota Penalty, Roughing the Passer on EASTERN, Deven enforced (Deven Eastern) to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
75.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Preston Howard for 13 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
76.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+12
76.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Dylan Wade for 12 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
75.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
75.9%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MINN 20Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
77.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for 5 yds to the MINN 15Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
77.7%
Jack Howes 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3479% → 81%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
79.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 17 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
80.3%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 43Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
80.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+11
80.4%
Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
81.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 28 yds to the MD 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
80.1%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MD 4Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.8%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the MD 4Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.8%
Daniel Jackson 4 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:4620% → 23%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for 3 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
79.5%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 14 yds to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
79.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
79.3%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+23
79.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 23 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
77.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
77.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+15
78.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 15 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
76.7%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
77.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Dylan Wade for 16 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
78.1%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MINN 3Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. 3 Yd Run (Jack Howes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:2484% → 85%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
83.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 7 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+23
86.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 23 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
85.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+19
84.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the MD 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+34
85.0%
Dragan Kesich 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.9%
[NH] Kneel down by EDWARDS JR., Billy at UMD24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5184% → 85%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.0%
Maryland Penalty, Roughing the Passer on AKINGBESOTE, Tommy enforced (Tommy Akingbesote) to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
84.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the MD 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
85.3%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MD 25Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
85.6%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+25
85.2%
Elijah Spencer 25 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:1716% → 15%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.0%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 31Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
83.1%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 32Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
83.7%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 19 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+26
82.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 26 yds to the MINN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
81.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 26Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+2
82.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to DeJuan Williams for 2 yds to the MINN 24Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+3
83.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Preston Howard for 3 yds to the MINN 21Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+5
84.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the MINN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0688% → 88%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
87.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 19 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.9%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 38Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
89.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 3 yds to the MINN 41Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
88.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
88.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tai Felton at the MD 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:3213% → 12%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
86.6%
Nolan Ray run for 2 yds to the MD 14Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+16
87.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Nolan Ray for 16 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
86.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 3 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
86.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 2 yds to the MD 35Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
87.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
88.4%
Bryce McFerson punt for 46 yds , Koi Perich returns for no gain to the MINN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 3:4890% → 94%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
90.2%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+15
90.4%
Darius Taylor run for 15 yds to the MINN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
92.3%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 30Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+11
92.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 11 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
93.5%
Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+51
93.8%
Darius Taylor 51 Yd Run (Dragan Kesich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:569% → 11%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
90.9%
MJ Morris pass complete to Tai Felton for 16 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
90.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Tai Felton for 10 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
89.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 24 yds to the MINN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
88.8%
MJ Morris pass complete to Kaden Prather for 11 yds to the MINN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
88.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 4 yds to the MINN 10Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+8
89.3%
(12:00) MORRIS, MJ pass to the right incomplete intended for KNOTTS, Shaleak broken up by HENDERSON, Jack at the MINN0, clock 11:56. PENALTY MINN Pass Interference on HENDERSON, Jack enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the MINN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.3%
DJ Samuels 2 Yd pass from MJ Morris (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 6:2394% → 96%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 7 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
94.7%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the MINN 32Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
94.8%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
95.4%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 34Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+15
95.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 15 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
96.0%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 4 yards to the MINN 45Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+1
96.2%
Marcus Major run for 1 yd to the MINN 46Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+4
96.4%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 9
50
-5
96.5%
Minnesota Penalty, Delay Of Game (Mark Crawford) to the MINN 45Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds, downed at the MD 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:016% → 6%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
94.1%
DeJuan Williams run for 2 yds to the MD 14Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
94.2%
MJ Morris run for 2 yds to the MD 16Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+13
95.3%
MJ Morris pass complete to Tai Felton for 13 yds to the MD 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+49
94.8%
MJ Morris pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 49 yds to the MINN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
93.8%
MJ Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
94.2%
MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the MINN 21Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
94.5%
Shaleak Knotts 21 Yd pass from MJ Morris (Jack Howes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4399% → 99%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
99.1%
Fame Ijeboi run for 13 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Fame Ijeboi run for no gain to the MINN 46Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the MINN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:04
Elijah Spencer 7 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick)
+4.3
TD · Q1 10:45
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
+1.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com