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NU

Northwestern 14 at Iowa 40

IOWA
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:21 · Max White run for 5 yds to the IOWA 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:10: Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +0.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:39: Kaleb Johnson 26 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick) — NU win probability +2.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:18: Brendan Sullivan 6 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick) — IOWA win probability +0.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:27: Kaleb Johnson 25 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick) — IOWA win probability +7.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:39: Drew Wagner 72 Yd Punt Return (Luke Akers Kick) — NU win probability +3.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:57NU 4th & 2 at IOWA 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:10IOWA 4th & 6 at NU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:41NU 4th & 7 at NU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10IOWA 4th & 12 at NU 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:21IOWA 4th & 2 at NU 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:30IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:17NU 4th & 3 at NU 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55IOWA 4th & 3 at NU 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:33NU 4th & 3 at NU 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.8
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54NU 4th & 8 at NU 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:39NU 4th & 10 at NU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:12IOWA 4th & 1 at NU 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−5.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:30NU 4th & 22 at NU 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−5.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:24IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:39IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:42IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:14NU 4th & 4 at NU 37, up 11
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:56IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 26, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:04NU 4th & 6 at NU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 4:0312% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.2%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
88.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 12 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
87.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 21 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-7
87.6%
A.J. Henning run for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 47Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+14
87.4%
Jack Lausch run for 14 yds to the IOWA 33Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
87.1%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the IOWA 32Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+50
86.9%
Luke Akers 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:4787% → 86%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
87.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 3 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-3
86.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 32Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
86.6%
Northwestern Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+42
86.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Seth Anderson for 42 yds to the NU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
86.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the NU 16Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
86.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+6
86.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jacob Gill for 6 yds to the NU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the NU 10Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
86.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 4 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
85.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
86.1%
Drew Stevens 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2814% → 14%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
85.9%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
85.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+12
86.0%
Luke Akers punt for 51 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 12 yds to the IOWA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 5:2186% → 83%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
85.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 4 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
85.6%
Seth Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 36Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+10
85.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 10 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
85.3%
Kamari Moulton run for 5 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
85.2%
(01:59) MCNAMARA, Cade pass short to the left complete for 9 yards to JOHNSON, Kaleb caught at the NU45 and advanced to the NU40 (TURNER, Devin), clock 01:53. PENALTY UI Holding on GILL, Jacob declined UI Tripping on DUNKER, Gennings enforced 15 yards from the NU49 to the UI36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 20
OWN 36
0
84.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 20
OWN 36
+15
84.1%
Northwestern Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SAKA, Anto enforced (15 Yards) to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
84.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+8
84.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 8 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
84.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 40Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
84.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
83.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
83.3%
Rhys Dakin punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 2:0416% → 17%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
84.0%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 8Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+7
83.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 7 yds to the NU 15Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+3
83.8%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
83.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the NU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4284% → 84%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
84.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
83.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 4 yds to the NU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0473% → 69%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
72.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
72.2%
Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+2
70.4%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Seth Anderson for 2 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
69.2%
Rhys Dakin punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8SF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
69.3%
Max Llewellyn SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0768% → 65%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
68.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 36Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+4
67.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 4 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
66.2%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
65.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0734% → 37%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-4
66.0%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 2Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 14
OWN 2
+4
64.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 6Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+7
64.5%
Joseph Himon II run for 7 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+6
62.6%
Luke Akers punt for 48 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 6 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:1163% → 62%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
63.3%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
63.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the NU 48Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
63.1%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
61.9%
Rhys Dakin punt for 43 yds, downed at the NU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:1339% → 40%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
61.5%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 7Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+1
60.6%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 8Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+4
60.5%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 12
+8
59.9%
Luke Akers punt for 48 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 8 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 0:4262% → 62%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
61.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Dayton Howard for 8 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+9
62.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for 9 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
63.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 6 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
63.6%
Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+26
61.5%
Kaleb Johnson 26 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.2%
Cam Porter run for 10 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:3658% → 57%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
57.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 24Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
56.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 5 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
56.0%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
55.9%
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+14
56.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jarriett Buie for 14 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+40
56.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Johnny Pascuzzi for 40 yds to the NU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
57.0%
Brendan Sullivan 6 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1449% → 53%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
50.9%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
48.4%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-4
47.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 39Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+85
47.5%
Kaden Wetjen 85 Yd Punt Return (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1553% → 52%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.1%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
47.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:5948% → 42%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
46.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
46.8%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
47.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
47.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the NU 48Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
45.9%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for 4 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+3
42.3%
Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
42.2%
Kaleb Johnson 41 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:5161% → 69%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.7%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
37.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 4 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
36.7%
Northwestern Penalty, Illegal Snap on CARSELLO, Jackson enforced (Jackson Carsello) to the NU 29Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
36.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 6 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
34.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 10 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
30.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 44Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
30.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-10
30.6%
Jack Lausch pass intercepted Jay Higgins return for 10 yds to the NU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
37.6%
Kaleb Johnson 25 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5670% → 72%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
30.0%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
28.6%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
27.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
27.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-12
27.0%
Jack Lausch sacked by Kenneth Merrieweather and Nick Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the NU 27Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 22
OWN 27
0
27.8%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0027% → 21%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
26.7%
Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Jacob Gill for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 20Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+3
25.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+1
22.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 24Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
21.3%
Rhys Dakin punt for 51 yds, downed at the NU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:1980% → 87%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
20.3%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 23Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
20.0%
(10:39) HILINSKI, Ryan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ELIGON II, Hayden thrown to the NU45, clock 10:36. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on WATSON, Jaylen enforced 15 yards to the NU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
17.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Hayden Eligon II for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
50
-5
16.0%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (Caleb Tiernan) to the NU 45Similar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+21
15.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 21 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
14.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Donnie Gray for 16 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
13.5%
Ryan Hilinski run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 22 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by IOWA Will Hubert W. Hubert return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0918% → 12%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
17.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+1
16.9%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 24Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+3
15.3%
Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+72
12.3%
Drew Wagner 72 Yd Punt Return (Luke Akers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5714% → 10%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.8%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
11.2%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
10.5%
Brendan Sullivan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
10.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Drew Wagner at the NU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2590% → 91%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
9.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Marshall Lang for 5 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+1
8.9%
Jake Arthurs run for 1 yd to the NU 37Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
8.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
8.6%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:129% → 4%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
9.4%
Max White run for 3 yds to the IOWA 20Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
6.6%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+3
6.0%
Max White run for 3 yds to the IOWA 26Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+52
4.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 52 yds , Drew Wagner returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4596% → 96%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
4.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+4
4.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Jake Arthurs for 4 yds to the NU 25Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
3.7%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:364% → 4%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
3.8%
Max White run for 3 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
3.8%
Max White run for 5 yds to the IOWA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+96.2
TD · Q3 0:27
Kaleb Johnson 25 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)
+7
TD · Q4 6:39
Drew Wagner 72 Yd Punt Return (Luke Akers Kick)
-3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com