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WASH

Washington 17 at Indiana 31

IU
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+2.3IU 75.3%Nicolas Radicic 19 Yd Field GoalAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Nicolas Radicic 19 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense+11.1Pregame prior+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:24: Omar Cooper Jr. 42 Yd pass from Tayven Jackson (Nicolas Radicic Kick) — IU win probability +6.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:34: Giles Jackson 6 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +6.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:45: Demond Williams Jr. 8 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +14.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:03: Justice Ellison 5 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick) — IU win probability +11.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:36: Timeout Indiana, clock 00:36 — IU win probability +7.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:17WASH 4th & 17 at WASH 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01IU 4th & 8 at IU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:22WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:52WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:38IU 4th & 1 at WASH 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:14WASH 4th & 1 at IU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−1.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:47IU 4th & 3 at IU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:51IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:41WASH 4th & 3 at IU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−1.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:33IU 4th & 1 at WASH 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−2.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00IU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%−3.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−9.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:46WASH 4th & 21 at IU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−2.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:27IU 4th & 4 at IU 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:28WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:06WASH 4th & 5 at IU 5, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:24IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:34WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:45WASH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:03IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:55IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3532% → 32%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
68.0%
Will Rogers sacked by Shawn Asbury II for a loss of 8 yards to the WASH 10Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 18
OWN 10
-5
67.9%
Washington Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WASH 5Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 23
OWN 5
+15
67.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the WASH 20Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-9
67.9%
Washington Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the WASH 11Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-9
67.9%
Washington Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on ROGERS, Will enforced resulting in a (-9 Yards) to the WASH 12Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 17
OWN 11
-3
67.9%
Jack McCallister punt for 62 yds , Myles Price returns for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5968% → 68%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
67.8%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
67.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-5
67.7%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 24Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
67.6%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
67.5%
James Evans punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:2632% → 34%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
67.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
67.4%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the WASH 34Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
67.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+3
67.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
67.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 15 yds to the IU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
66.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the IU 42Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+11
66.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4931% → 30%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.5%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the WASH 25Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
69.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 4 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+18
70.1%
Jack McCallister punt for 56 yds , Myles Price returns for 18 yds to the IU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:0170% → 71%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
69.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the IU 38Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
70.5%
(05:06) JACKSON, Tayven pass to the left incomplete intended for SARRATT, Elijah thrown to the IND47, clock 05:04. PENALTY WAS Pass Interference on PRYSOCK, Ephesians enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the IND46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
70.5%
(05:06) JACKSON, Tayven pass to the left incomplete intended for SARRATT, Elijah thrown to the IND47, clock 05:04. PENALTY WAS Pass Interference on PRYSOCK, Ephesians enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the IND46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
70.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
70.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Zach Horton for 8 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
71.1%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
70.8%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WASH 33Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
70.5%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the WASH 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:1031% → 31%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
69.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
69.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+8
70.0%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
69.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 18 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
68.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the IU 35Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
67.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
68.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
69.5%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the IU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2271% → 70%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
70.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
70.5%
Tayven Jackson run for 5 yds to the IU 38Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
70.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
70.0%
James Evans punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8INT
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
70.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:2772% → 78%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
71.9%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
78.1%
Omar Cooper Jr. 42 Yd pass from Tayven Jackson (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5024% → 32%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 10 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
75.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 46 yds to the IU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
74.5%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 20Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+13
75.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 13 yds to the IU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
74.9%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the IU 6Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.4%
Giles Jackson 6 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4176% → 75%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
75.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
75.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.6%
James Evans punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:0426% → 26%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
73.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 22 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
72.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+5
72.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+2
74.3%
Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the IU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13FG
25 plays · 62 yds · 7:3177% → 75%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.0%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the IU 37Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
76.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Miles Cross for 16 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
78.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Justice Ellison for 2 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
78.3%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
78.1%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
77.4%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
79.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Kaelon Black for 3 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
79.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the WASH 32Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
78.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Myles Price for 8 yds to the WASH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
79.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 3 yds to the WASH 21Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
79.4%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Zach Horton for 6 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+4
77.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the WASH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
80.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the WASH 6Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
78.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the WASH 3Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
74.4%
Tayven Jackson run for 2 yds to the WASH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.5%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
75.3%
Nicolas Radicic 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 2:0627% → 38%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
73.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the IU 22Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
73.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 4 yds to the IU 18Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+10
76.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 10 yds to the IU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
62.3%
Demond Williams Jr. 8 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:4268% → 83%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.5%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
67.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 8 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
68.2%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the IU 37Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
67.7%
Justice Ellison run for 12 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
70.0%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 9
50
+2
70.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 2 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+22
69.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Myles Price for 22 yds to the WASH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
71.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
71.8%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+6
70.7%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
72.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the WASH 13Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+4
72.1%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WASH 9Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+4
71.5%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WASH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.0%
Justice Ellison 5 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:1720% → 17%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.3%
Adam Mohammed run for 5 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
80.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 9 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
78.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 15 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
77.3%
Demond Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 47Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+11
78.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 11 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
77.5%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-7
77.7%
Will Rogers sacked by Mario Landino and Tyrique Tucker for a loss of 7 yards to the IU 43Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 17
OPP 43
-5
81.2%
Washington Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Forward Pass on ROGERS, Will enforced (-5 Yards) to the IU 47Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
82.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 45 yds, downed at the IU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:0990% → 89%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
90.2%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the IU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
88.8%
Washington Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Logan Sagapolu) to the IU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
87.9%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the IU 38Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
90.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
89.7%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
89.1%
James Evans punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5414% → 11%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
86.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
86.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+1
86.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 1 yd to the WASH 27Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+65
88.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 52 yds , Myles Price returns for 65 yds to the WASH 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 2:1694% → 99%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
93.6%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WASH 5Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+1
93.2%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WASH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.6%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WASH 2Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Tayven Jackson 2 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:433% → 5%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
96.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 8 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
96.8%
Adam Mohammed run for 6 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
97.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 10 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
97.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 36 yds to the IU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
96.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the IU 4Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
96.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 5Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
94.6%
Grady Gross 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22END OF GAME
16 plays · 44 yds · 5:2899% → 100%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.0%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.1%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
99.2%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+11
99.3%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the WASH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.4%
Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
99.4%
Kaelon Black run for 8 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.5%
Tayven Jackson run for 8 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+1
99.5%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the WASH 27Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
99.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
99.6%
(01:15) Kneel down by JACKSON, Tayven at WAS29 (team loss of 4), clock 01:09.Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 14
OPP 29
-2
99.6%
(00:36) Kneel down by JACKSON, Tayven at WAS31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:45
Demond Williams Jr. 8 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)
-14.1
TD · Q3 5:03
Justice Ellison 5 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)
+11.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:36
Timeout Indiana, clock 00:36
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com