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ILL

Illinois 9 at Oregon 38

ORE
2024 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:34 · Ross James punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+37.5Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+2.1Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:05: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:34: David Olano 38 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +0.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:20: Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK) — ORE win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:09: Noah Whittington run for 18 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +3.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:29: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 8:46ILL 4th & 15 at ILL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:34ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 23, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34ILL 4th & 7 at ORE 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12ORE 4th & 1 at ILL 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:22ILL 4th & 27 at ILL 18, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:32ILL 4th & 8 at ORE 44, down 25
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:44ILL 4th & 2 at ORE 2, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:28ORE 4th & 9 at ILL 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:09ILL 4th & 12 at ORE 34, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:04ORE 4th & 4 at ILL 26, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:18ORE 4th & 3 at ILL 36, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:31ILL 4th & 6 at ORE 14, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:31ILL 4th & 6 at ORE 14, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ILL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 10:49ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20ORE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:09ORE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:29ORE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:46ILL Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:0193% → 93%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
92.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
92.9%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+12
92.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 12 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
92.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 13 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
92.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 4 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+16
92.4%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 16 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Justius LoweSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
92.3%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+31
92.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 31 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:528% → 8%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 5 yds to the ILL 30Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
92.2%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 10 yards to the ILL 20Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
92.2%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the ILL 20Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:3492% → 93%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
92.2%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
92.2%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ILL 49Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
92.0%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ILL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
92.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
92.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+7
91.8%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ILL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
93.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:568% → 8%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the ILL 33Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
92.3%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
92.3%
Luke Altmyer pass intercepted Tysheem Johnson return for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2293% → 92%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
92.8%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the ORE 21Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 3
OWN 21
0
92.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+2
92.6%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
92.3%
Ross James punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:528% → 9%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
92.3%
Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+34
92.1%
Aidan Laughery run for 34 yds to the ORE 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
91.6%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 3 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
91.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
91.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tanner ArkinSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
91.0%
David Olano 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0491% → 94%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
91.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 19 yds to the ILL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-8
91.5%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+6
91.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the ILL 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
-5
91.0%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Holden,Traeshon) 5 yards from ILL48 to ORE47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+16
90.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 16 yds to the ILL 37Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+19
90.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 19 yds to the ILL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
91.7%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+6
91.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the ILL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 2:487% → 6%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ca'Lil Valentine for 6 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
93.2%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.3%
Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the ILL 34Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
93.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-11
93.7%
Luke Altmyer sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the ILL 23Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 22
OWN 23
-5
93.7%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Kreutz,James) 5 yards from ILL23 to ILL18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 27
OWN 18
0
93.7%
Hugh Robertson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 3:0494% → 97%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
94.0%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 6
50
+8
94.1%
Jayden Limar run for 8 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
93.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 19 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
93.6%
Traeshon Holden run for 1 yd to the ILL 22Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+4
93.6%
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the ILL 18Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+18
96.7%
Noah Whittington run for 18 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:255% → 6%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 26Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
94.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.3%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin DixonSimilar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.4%
Luke Altmyer run for 7 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+11
94.2%
Hank Beatty run for 11 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.0%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tanner ArkinSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
94.2%
Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+1
94.1%
Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
94.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 1:5397% → 99%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
97.0%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
97.0%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
97.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 24 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the ILL 48Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+18
97.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 18 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
97.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 17 yds to the ILL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
98.2%
Noah Whittington run for 11 yds to the ILL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the ILL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:101% → 2%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the ILL 29Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.1%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 38Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+10
99.2%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short right to Laughery,Aidan caught at ILL36, for 2 yards loss to the ILL36 (Boettcher,Bryce) PENALTY ORE Holding (Johnson,Brandon) 10 yards from ILL38 to ILL48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+44
99.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 44 yds to the ORE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.2%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ORE 4Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 2 yds to the ORE 2Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
99.5%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 11Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+6
99.5%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+29
99.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 29 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.6%
Jordan James run for 10 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.6%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the ILL 43Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Luke Dunne punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15TD
17 plays · 95 yds · 6:281% → 0%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
99.3%
Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the ILL 6Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 6
-1
99.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 5Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+15
99.2%
Oregon Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Derrick Harmon) to the ILL 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.2%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 5 yds to the ILL 27Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-5
99.1%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Henderson,Brandon) 5 yards from ILL27 to ILL22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the ILL 22Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+13
99.3%
Luke Altmyer run for 13 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.3%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 36Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+18
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 18 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Josh McCray run for 5 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+6
99.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 6 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for no gain to the ORE 18Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+14
99.8%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 14 yds to the ORE 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Noah Whittington run for 8 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Tyson Rooks return for no gain to the ORE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+11
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 11 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-5
99.8%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Bryce Boettcher for a loss of 5 yards to the ORE 34Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.7%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+12
99.7%
Jordan James run for 12 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
99.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 16 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.7%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ILL 30Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+4
99.7%
Jayden Limar run for 4 yds to the ILL 26Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
99.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
99.9%
Andrew Boyle 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 27Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass intercepted Sione Laulea return for no gain to the ILL 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ILL 39Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 1 yd to the ILL 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 7 yds to the ILL 42Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 6 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 8 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+14
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 14 yds to the ORE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 12 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Luke Altmyer run for 4 yds to the ORE 14Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 6
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 6
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 50 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+24
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 24 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 6 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 1 yd to the ORE 45Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 6 yds to the ILL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 9 yds to the ILL 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Da'Jaun Riggs run for 4 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:09
Noah Whittington run for 18 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q2 12:20
Dillon Gabriel run for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q1 6:05
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 34 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com