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UCLA

UCLA 35 at Rutgers 32

RUTG
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NHSG] Kneel down by GARBERS, Ethan at UCLA49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:43: Ethan Garbers run for 49 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +12.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:53: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 67 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +18.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:13: Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 9 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:35: Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — RUTG win probability +12.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:23: Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +28.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:00UCLA 4th & 8 at RUTG 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:22RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:08UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.7%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:08RUTG 4th & 10 at UCLA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:33UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 22, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−4.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:03RUTG 4th & 9 at UCLA 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:41RUTG 4th & 10 at UCLA 17, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−2.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−12.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:39RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:28UCLA 4th & 12 at RUTG 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:03UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:43RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:43UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:22UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:45RUTG Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    47.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:53UCLA Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:13UCLA Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:35RUTG Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:23RUTG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:5736% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
64.0%
T.J. Harden run for 5 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
63.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 17 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.7%
T.J. Harden run for 4 yds to the RUTG 43Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
63.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+8
63.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
63.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 19 yds to the RUTG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
63.2%
Ethan Garbers run for 6 yds to the RUTG 10Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
63.1%
Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the RUTG 7Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+2
63.1%
Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the RUTG 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1561% → 65%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
61.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Oluwafemi Oladejo and Devin Aupiu for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 18Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+4
61.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 4 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+42
60.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 42 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
61.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+17
61.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 17 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
61.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 13 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
61.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.1%
UCLA Penalty, Offsides (Devin Aupiu) to the UCLA 0Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:2537% → 38%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
63.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+5
63.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 5 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
62.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 8 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+8
62.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 8 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
62.1%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+9
62.3%
Keegan Jones run for 9 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
61.3%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+14
61.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 14 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
60.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 6 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-4
60.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 46Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
60.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
62.0%
Ethan Garbers punt for 41 yds, downed at the RUTG 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:3163% → 62%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
62.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the RUTG 10Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+6
62.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
62.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+13
62.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 13 yds to the RUTG 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
63.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 15 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
64.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
64.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+7
62.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-5
63.4%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the RUTG 47Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
62.4%
Riley McCann punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 6:2939% → 56%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
61.4%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the UCLA 10Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-3
61.3%
Ethan Garbers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 7 Ethan Garbers fumbled, recovered by UCLA Ethan Garbers E. Garbers return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+11
61.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 11 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+2
61.3%
Ethan Garbers run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
59.5%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
59.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
59.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+19
60.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 19 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
57.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 10 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
56.2%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 49Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+49
44.2%
Ethan Garbers run for 49 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 1:3049% → 53%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
48.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 17 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
50.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 14 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
50.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the UCLA 43Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+12
50.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 12 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
51.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
51.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
49.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
53.2%
Jai Patel 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:4148% → 64%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
51.6%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Jordan Thompson and Kyonte Hamilton for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+20
53.0%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 20 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
49.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 18 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
48.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 2 yds to the RUTG 36Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+14
48.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 14 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
36.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 22 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1540% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
40.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 24 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
41.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Christian Dremel for 8 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+30
42.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 30 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
42.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 7 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
53.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0853% → 52%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.6%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
45.9%
Ethan Garbers run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-8
46.1%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Abram Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+2
48.3%
Brody Richter punt for 38 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 2 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:4850% → 55%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
50.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+7
50.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 7 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
51.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
50.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
49.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+18
45.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Long for 18 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
51.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
51.8%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the UCLA 13Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+1
49.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 5
OPP 12
-5
47.3%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
55.1%
Jai Patel 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4549% → 67%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
51.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
32.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 67 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1435% → 31%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
34.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the RUTG 27Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
32.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
31.0%
Riley McCann punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:1470% → 91%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
30.5%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 6 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
28.3%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
26.7%
Ethan Garbers run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
25.6%
Jalen Berger run for 7 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+5
24.3%
Jalen Berger run for 5 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
24.9%
GARBERS, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for STURDIVANT, J.Michael thrown to the RU10, clock 14:20. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on MASCOE, Bo enforced 15 yards to the RU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
23.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for no gain to the RUTG 28Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+20
23.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 20 yds to the RUTG 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
23.0%
Jalen Berger run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 9Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
22.5%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
8.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 9 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3113% → 25%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ben Black for 9 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
13.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
13.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
12.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+59
12.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 59 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:0380% → 86%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
17.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
50
+2
15.2%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+13
14.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 13 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
14.5%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the RUTG 34Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+2
13.5%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
13.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 7
OPP 32
-5
14.5%
UCLA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the RUTG 37Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 12
OPP 37
+54
13.6%
Mateen Bhaghani 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:5014% → 16%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
14.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 9 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
16.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
16.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Bryan Addison return for 10 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:4589% → 92%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
11.0%
Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 4
50
0
10.4%
Jalen Berger run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 4
50
+8
9.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 8 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
9.0%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the RUTG 41Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
8.6%
Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-5
8.3%
Ethan Garbers sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the RUTG 42 Ethan Garbers fumbled, recovered by RUTG Kyonte Hamilton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:046% → 36%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
5.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
4.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Christian Dremel for 7 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
5.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Christian Dremel for 11 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
5.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+7
5.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ben Black for 7 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+13
5.6%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Ramon Henderson) to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
6.6%
KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for LONG, Chris thrown to the UCLA0, clock 01:47. PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference on DAVIES, Jaylin enforced 10 yards to the UCLA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.5%
(01:36) KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass short to the left incomplete intended for DUFF, KJ thrown to the UCLA0, clock 01:29. PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference on DAVIES, Jaylin enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards to the UCLA1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
5.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by GARBERS, Ethan at RU47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-2
5.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by GARBERS, Ethan at RU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-2
6.5%
[NHSG] Kneel down by GARBERS, Ethan at UCLA49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:23
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+28.4
TD · Q3 4:53
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 67 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
-18.5
TD · Q4 12:13
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jalen Berger for 9 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
-13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com