Try the model
ORE

Oregon 35 at Purdue 0

PUR
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2024 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:32 · Keelan Crimmins punt for 41 yds, downed at the ORE 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior−45.9Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:42: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK) — ORE win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:28: Ryan Browne run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 14 — PUR win probability +2.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:56: Ryan Browne pass incomplete — PUR win probability +1.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q2 0:00: Dillon Gabriel sacked by Will Heldt for a loss of 14 yards to the ORE 35 — ORE win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:47: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:32PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:34ORE 4th & 1 at PUR 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:43PUR 4th & 10 at ORE 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:56PUR 4th & 4 at ORE 18, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:28ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:49PUR 4th & 11 at ORE 42, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    4.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:34ORE 4th & 2 at PUR 33, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:30PUR 4th & 10 at ORE 41, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:08PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:54PUR 4th & 7 at ORE 23, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:10ORE 4th & 16 at ORE 17, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:46ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:34ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:42ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:47ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:13ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1496% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
3.7%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
3.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 33Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+14
3.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 14 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+49
4.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 49 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
4.1%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the PUR 3Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
4.1%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 8Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.2%
Jordan James run for 8 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:144% → 5%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
4.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
4.3%
De'Nylon Morrissette run for 11 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
4.5%
Ryan Browne run for 5 yds to the PUR 43Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
4.6%
Ryan Browne run for 4 yds to the PUR 47Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-8
4.8%
Ryan Browne sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 39Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
4.8%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 41 yds, downed at the ORE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:5895% → 95%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
4.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 19 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
4.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 16 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
4.7%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+7
4.7%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
5.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
5.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the PUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
5.0%
Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
5.0%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the PUR 7Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
5.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 6 yds to the PUR 1Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.4%
Jordan James run for no gain to the PUR 1Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.9%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:515% → 6%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
4.9%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 20Similar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
4.9%
Reggie Love III run for 15 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
4.9%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the PUR 37Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
5.2%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the PUR 44Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+16
5.4%
Reggie Love III run for 16 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
5.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the ORE 35Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
5.7%
Ryan Browne run for a loss of 5 yards to the ORE 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
5.6%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
5.6%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 39 yds, downed at the ORE 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 3:0195% → 97%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+16
5.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 16 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
5.4%
Jordan James run for 10 yds to the ORE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
5.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
5.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+39
5.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 39 yds to the PUR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
3.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:584% → 4%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
4.3%
Ryan Browne run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 34Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+14
4.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 14 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
4.5%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 8 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+7
4.0%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
4.2%
Ryan Browne run for 13 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
4.2%
Ryan Browne run for 8 yds to the ORE 16Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-2
3.7%
Ryan Browne sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 18Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
3.7%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
3.7%
Spencer Porath 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2897% → 97%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.2%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 20Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
3.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 6 yds to the ORE 26Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
3.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
3.2%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 32Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
3.3%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 38Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
3.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
3.2%
Ross James punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:446% → 4%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
5.5%
Ryan Browne run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 14Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+1
5.4%
Ryan Browne run for 1 yd to the PUR 15Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 15
-5
5.4%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 10Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+11
4.5%
Ryan Browne run for 11 yds to the PUR 21Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
4.3%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4897% → 97%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
2.9%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+8
2.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
2.7%
Oregon Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dillon Gabriel) to the PUR 48Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 18
OPP 49
0
2.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Kyndrich Breedlove return for no gain to the PUR 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
4.6%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+20
4.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 20 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
5.2%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Max Klare for 5 yds Max Klare fumbled, recovered by ORE Kobe Savage K. Savage return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-14
2.4%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Will Heldt for a loss of 14 yards to the ORE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:114% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
4.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 18 yds to the PUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
4.8%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 44Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+8
4.5%
Ryan Browne pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 8 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
4.9%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 7 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
4.9%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 46Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+3
4.7%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-5
4.8%
Purdue Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 48Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+6
4.6%
Ryan Browne run for 6 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
4.7%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+4
4.3%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Max Klare for 4 yds to the ORE 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0998% → 98%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
2.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the ORE 39Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
2.4%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 39Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+20
2.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 20 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
2.4%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-5
2.4%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Tez thrown to the PUR27. PENALTY Before the snap, ORE Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the PUR39 to the PUR44. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 13
OPP 44
0
2.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+11
2.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 11 yds to the PUR 33Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+50
2.1%
Andrew Boyle 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 4:044% → 3%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
3.6%
Reggie Love III run for 14 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
3.9%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
4.0%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
3.0%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 42Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
2.9%
Shamar Rigby run for 5 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-4
3.0%
Ryan Browne sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by PUR , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
2.6%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:4398% → 100%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
1.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 12 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
1.6%
Noah Whittington run for 20 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
1.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 28Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+1
1.6%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
1.5%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Tez thrown to the PUR15, clock 00:00. PENALTY PUR Offsides on HELDT, Will enforced 5 yards from the PUR27 to the PUR22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+12
1.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 12 yds to the PUR 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
1.4%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the PUR 8Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
0.3%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Noah Whittington at the ORE 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
0.4%
Jayden Limar run for 11 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.3%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
0.3%
Jayden Limar run for 6 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+12
0.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jeremiah McClellan for 12 yds to the PUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
0.3%
Jay Harris run for 8 yds to the PUR 15Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+1
0.3%
Jay Harris run for 1 yd to the PUR 14Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
0.2%
Jay Harris run for 2 yds to the PUR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.2%
Jay Harris run for 12 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.1%
Reggie Love III run for 15 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
0.1%
Ryan Browne run for 23 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
0.1%
Reggie Love III run for 11 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
0.1%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 28Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+5
0.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 7
OPP 23
0
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
0.2%
Jay Harris run for 4 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
0.2%
Jay Harris run for 5 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 1
OWN 32
-15
0.2%
Oregon Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Personal Foul on ROGERS, Kawika enforced (-15 Yards) to the ORE 17Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
0.2%
Luke Dunne punt for 51 yds, downed at the PUR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20INT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
0.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 36Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
0.0%
Jaheim Merriweather run for 2 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
0.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 6 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
0.0%
Jaheim Merriweather run for 7 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-4
0.0%
Jaheim Merriweather run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 47Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+23
0.0%
Ryan Browne pass complete to Max Klare for 23 yds to the ORE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.1%
Ryan Browne pass intercepted, touchback. Kam Alexander return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
0.1%
[SG] Kneel down by NOVOSAD, Austin at ORE18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q2 0:00
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Will Heldt for a loss of 14 yards to the ORE 35
-2.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:28
Ryan Browne run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 14
+2.3
TD · Q2 11:42
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Andrew Boyle KICK)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com