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WASH

Washington 16 at Iowa 40

IOWA
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+5.3IOWA 85.1%Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 23 · Q3 7:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:22 · Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense+16.0Score differential+6.8Pregame prior+4.8Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:33: Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:19: Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +7.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:28: Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +8.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:22: Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +5.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK) — IOWA win probability +5.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:36IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:57WASH 4th & 12 at IOWA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:33WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:24IOWA 4th & 23 at IOWA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:43IOWA 4th & 10 at WASH 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:21WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:29WASH 4th & 10 at IOWA 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:22IOWA 4th & 7 at WASH 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:29WASH 4th & 11 at IOWA 39, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    15.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:03WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:20WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:45IOWA 4th & 5 at WASH 33, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:30WASH 4th & 1 at IOWA 7, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:58WASH 4th & 2 at IOWA 2, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:33IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:19WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:28IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56IOWA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:51IOWA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:58WASH Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1763% → 63%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
63.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 4 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
63.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 35Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
63.1%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+2
63.1%
Rhys Dakin punt for 55 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 2 yds to the WASH 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2MISSED FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 7:3037% → 38%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
63.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 17 yds to the WASH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
63.1%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
63.1%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+9
63.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
62.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
62.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
62.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 7 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
62.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 4 yds to the IOWA 41Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+14
62.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 14 yds to the IOWA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
61.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the IOWA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
61.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the IOWA 11Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-5
61.4%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Enokk Vimahi) to the IOWA 16Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+1
61.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 1 yd to the IOWA 15Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
61.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
62.5%
Grady Gross 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:2363% → 68%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
62.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
62.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 12 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
63.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 11 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
63.7%
Kaden Wetjen run for 11 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
63.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
64.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
63.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the WASH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
64.1%
Kamari Moulton run for 16 yds to the WASH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:1333% → 42%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 3 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
66.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
66.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
66.3%
Adam Mohammed run for 8 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
65.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd to the WASH 49Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
66.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+17
66.6%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 17 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
65.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
65.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+9
66.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 9 yds to the IOWA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
65.2%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
65.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the IOWA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
65.2%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Decker DeGraaf) to the IOWA 8Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
65.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the IOWA 5Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
57.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:4663% → 60%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
62.9%
Iowa Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Jones) to the IOWA 27Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+9
62.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 9 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-12
61.3%
Cade McNamara sacked by Isaiah Ward for a loss of 12 yards to the IOWA 24Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 23
OWN 24
0
60.1%
Rhys Dakin punt for 61 yds , Denzel Boston returns for no gain to the WASH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5841% → 41%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
59.3%
Adam Mohammed run for 7 yds to the WASH 22Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
58.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the WASH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
58.9%
Will Rogers sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 19 Will Rogers fumbled, recovered by IOWA Max Llewellyn , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2565% → 65%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
64.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for no gain to the WASH 19Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
64.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 19Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
64.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
64.7%
Drew Stevens 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1736% → 34%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
63.8%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the WASH 29Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
64.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+37
66.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 43 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 37 yds to the WASH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:3968% → 76%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
67.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 6 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
67.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
66.4%
Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the WASH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
67.7%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the WASH 18Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
75.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 0:5726% → 29%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
73.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 20 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
72.1%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
72.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 10 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
73.1%
(01:08) ROGERS, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for BOSTON, Denzel thrown to the UI38, clock 01:07. PENALTY UI Personal Foul on HALL, TJ enforced 15 yards from the UI45 to the UI30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
71.9%
Will Rogers run for 9 yds to the IOWA 21Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+4
71.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 4 yds to the IOWA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
71.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
71.2%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
72.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
70.6%
Grady Gross 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:1773% → 78%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+53
72.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 53 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
75.3%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+46
77.5%
Drew Stevens 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12INT
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:0425% → 24%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
74.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
73.8%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+10
74.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 10 yds to the IOWA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
74.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 3 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+22
75.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 22 yds to the IOWA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
74.1%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the IOWA 23Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-32
75.6%
Will Rogers pass intercepted Jermari Harris return for 32 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:1679% → 85%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 46Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
79.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+27
78.3%
Washington Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Thaddeus Dixon) to the WASH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
80.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the WASH 4Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
80.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
79.8%
Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 6 yards to the WASH 7 Brendan Sullivan fumbled, recovered by IOWA Brendan Sullivan B. Sullivan return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
85.1%
Drew Stevens 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:3816% → 13%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
83.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 4 yds to the WASH 31Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+31
83.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 31 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
81.5%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
80.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-4
82.1%
Will Rogers sacked by Ethan Hurkett and Max Llewellyn for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 39Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
86.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:2790% → 99%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
90.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 23 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
90.9%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the WASH 37Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+5
91.1%
Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+6
91.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 6 yds to the WASH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
91.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 23Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+11
90.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 11 yds to the WASH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
93.4%
Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
98.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
97.7%
Will Rogers sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the WASH 14 Will Rogers fumbled, recovered by WASH Will Rogers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 20
OWN 14
-3
98.3%
Will Rogers sacked by Brian Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 11Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 23
OWN 11
+19
98.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rashid Williams for 19 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+3
98.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 3 yds to the WASH 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Dayton Howard for 33 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Cameron Davis for 4 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+4
99.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 4 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the WASH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for no gain to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+51
99.8%
Drew Stevens 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 6:460% → 1%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 2 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Audric Harris for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 8 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
Washington Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 41Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+11
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 11 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+14
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 14 yds to the IOWA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the IOWA 13Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the IOWA 11Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 4 yds to the IOWA 7Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
Sam Adams II run for 3 yds to the IOWA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 3 yds to the IOWA 1Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Sam Adams II run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 2Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Rashid Williams for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the IOWA 20Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+15
99.8%
Washington Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
99.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the WASH 46Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
99.8%
Terrell Washington Jr. run for 2 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:28
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 9:19
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q4 14:56
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com