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IU

Indiana 41 at Northwestern 24

NU
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:31 · (00:31) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU35 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:48: Cam Porter run for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +8.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:44: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +10.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:13: Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 38 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +15.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:19: A.J. Henning 2 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Jack Olsen Kick) (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +25.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 6:23: Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +14.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:29IU 4th & 2 at NU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48NU 4th & 4 at NU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:38IU 4th & 4 at IU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:15NU 4th & 16 at NU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:28IU 4th & 1 at NU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−2.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−7.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:08NU 4th & 4 at IU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.2
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:39NU 4th & 13 at NU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−2.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:54IU 4th & 10 at NU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−7.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:49NU 4th & 4 at NU 31, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:13NU 4th & 10 at NU 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:15IU 4th & 5 at NU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:50NU 4th & 5 at IU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:44IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:48NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:44IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:13NU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:19NU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:23IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:28IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:2881% → 80%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
18.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 11 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
19.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 29 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
19.4%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the NU 30Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
19.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
19.7%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+1
20.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 1 yd to the NU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3320% → 22%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
20.2%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 26Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
20.5%
Jack Lausch run for 9 yds to the NU 35Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
20.8%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
21.2%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
21.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 6 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
21.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+5
21.5%
Luke Akers punt for 49 yds , Myles Price returns for 5 yds to the IU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5378% → 77%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
21.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 14Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
21.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 17Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
22.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for no gain to the IU 17Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
22.9%
James Evans punt for 39 yds, downed at the NU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1723% → 23%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
23.1%
Jack Lausch sacked by Shawn Asbury II and Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the NU 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 17
OWN 37
0
22.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+1
22.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 1 yd to the NU 38Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
22.9%
Luke Akers punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 5:2377% → 79%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
23.3%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 17Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+12
23.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 12 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
23.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 27Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+15
24.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 15 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
23.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
23.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
23.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 15 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
23.9%
Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
24.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 10 yds to the NU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.7%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 6:4623% → 34%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
23.0%
Jack Lausch run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 44Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+3
22.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 3 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+14
22.6%
Jack Lausch run for 14 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
23.9%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the IU 38Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+6
24.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-5
24.3%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 37Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+7
24.2%
Jack Lausch run for 7 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
24.0%
Indiana Penalty, Offsides (D'Angelo Ponds) to the IU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
25.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the IU 21Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-3
25.7%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 24Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+16
24.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 16 yds to the IU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
33.7%
Cam Porter run for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1470% → 78%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.6%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
28.7%
Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
28.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 24 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
27.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 23 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
27.2%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the NU 9Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
27.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the NU 7Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
28.4%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the NU 7Similar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+7
22.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 7 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:2024% → 30%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
23.6%
Joseph Himon II run for 35 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
26.1%
Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 45Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+12
25.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+13
27.1%
Jack Lausch run for 13 yds to the IU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
27.3%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the IU 20Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
27.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the IU 14Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
26.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
30.4%
Jack Olsen 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 0:5972% → 79%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.9%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
27.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
28.7%
Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
26.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 5 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+37
26.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to E.J. Williams Jr. for 37 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
25.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
25.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+37
20.6%
Nicolas Radicic 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:2124% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 11 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
24.4%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
25.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+6
24.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 6 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
25.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
-1
26.4%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-6
25.1%
Jack Lausch sacked by Mikail Kamara for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 43Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
23.1%
Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:5077% → 90%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
23.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 16Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+22
23.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 22 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
21.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 11 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
21.1%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the NU 47Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+23
21.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 23 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
20.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the NU 22Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+7
20.0%
Omar Cooper Jr. run for 7 yds to the NU 15Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
20.5%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the NU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
10.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2614% → 29%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
13.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 13 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
14.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 9 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
14.7%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
14.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
14.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 8 yds to the IU 38Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+38
29.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 38 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1478% → 82%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.0%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
21.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
20.4%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the IU 38Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+52
20.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 52 yds to the NU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the NU 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
18.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
18.5%
Nicolas Radicic 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:2319% → 45%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
19.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 7 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
19.1%
Jack Lausch run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
50
+47
19.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 47 yds to the IU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
21.7%
Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 4Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.7%
Cam Porter run for no gain to the IU 4Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
19.2%
LAUSCH, Jack pass short up the middle incomplete intended for GORDON, Thomas broken up by PONDS, D'Angelo at the IU0, clock 11:23. PENALTY IU Pass Interference on PONDS, D'Angelo enforced 2 yards to the IU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.2%
A.J. Henning 2 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Jack Olsen Kick) (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5167% → 91%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the IU 26Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for no gain to the IU 26Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
32.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
28.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 23 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
26.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
26.5%
Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
24.4%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the NU 28Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+12
24.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
23.2%
Ty Son Lawton run for 15 yds to the NU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:0511% → 9%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the NU 31Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
12.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
10.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
10.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Frank Covey IV for 5 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
11.8%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
10.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
9.6%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
9.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:3991% → 98%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
9.1%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-2
8.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 31Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
9.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+27
10.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 27 yds to the NU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 4 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:243% → 2%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
2.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 23 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
2.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the NU 43Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
2.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
2.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Caleb Komolafe for 5 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
2.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
2.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
2.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -9 yds · 1:2298% → 98%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
1.6%
(01:53) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU40 (team loss of 4), clock 01:43.Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 14
OWN 40
-2
1.7%
(00:58) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU38 (team loss of 2), clock 00:49.Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 16
OWN 38
-3
1.6%
(00:31) [NH] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at IU35 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:19
A.J. Henning 2 Yd pass from Jack Lausch (Jack Olsen Kick) (Jack Olsen KICK)
+25.9
TD · Q3 3:13
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 38 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)
+15.2
TD · Q4 6:23
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com