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WASH

Washington 18 at Rutgers 21

RUTG
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2024 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:29 · Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+6.3Pregame prior+2.7Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Time remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +13.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:23: Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 51 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +15.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:57: Samuel Brown V run for 37 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:40: Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds for a TD — WASH win probability +30.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36: Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27 — RUTG win probability +23.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WASH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:57WASH 4th & 9 at RUTG 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    44.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:08RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10WASH 4th & 3 at RUTG 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:50WASH 4th & 7 at RUTG 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:52RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:29WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 32, down 4
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:06RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−3.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:29WASH 4th & 2 at RUTG 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−8.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:23RUTG 4th & 1 at WASH 49, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:29RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:23WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:21WASH 4th & 5 at RUTG 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:43RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 29, up 11
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:57WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:54WASH 4th & 1 at RUTG 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−2.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−3.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:37RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−6.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00WASH 4th & 5 at RUTG 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−4.5
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    38% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−11.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:26RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:30RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:23WASH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:57RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:40WASH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:5941% → 41%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
58.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
58.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
50
+8
58.8%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
58.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
58.7%
Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WASH 49Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 23
OWN 49
+9
58.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+5
58.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 5 yds to the RUTG 37Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
59.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4659% → 59%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
59.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
59.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
59.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
58.8%
Jakob Anderson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:5041% → 42%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
58.9%
Will Rogers run for 9 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
58.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
58.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+12
58.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 12 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
58.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
57.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
57.5%
(05:34) ROGERS, Will pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Giles thrown to the RU0, clock 05:32. PENALTY RU Personal Foul on THOMPSON, Jordan enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the RU22 to the RU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
57.5%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Keleki Latu) to the RUTG 16Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+2
57.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+10
57.5%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the RUTG 4Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
57.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
57.7%
Grady Gross 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:4458% → 64%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
58.6%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
58.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.0%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 37Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
57.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+19
57.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Long for 19 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
59.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+13
59.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 13 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
59.9%
Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 31Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+2
59.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 2 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+12
59.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 12 yds to the WASH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
60.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 7 yds to the WASH 10Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+8
60.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the WASH 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the WASH 1Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:3037% → 35%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+39
62.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 39 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
61.0%
Cameron Davis run for 11 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
60.2%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
60.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the RUTG 20Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-15
63.0%
(09:00) ROGERS, Will pass short to the right complete for 7 yards to JACKSON, Giles caught at the RU18 and advanced to the RU13 (LOYAL, Shaquan;MASCOE, Bo), clock 08:48. PENALTY UW Personal Foul on DAVIS, Cameron enforced 15 yards from the RU20 to the RU35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 17
OPP 35
+10
64.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 10 yds to the RUTG 25Similar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
65.1%
Grady Gross 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3964% → 64%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 5 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
64.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
64.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 2 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.7%
Jakob Anderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1733% → 33%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
66.6%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the WASH 24Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
66.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 8 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
66.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
67.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 49 yds, downed at the RUTG 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:5665% → 80%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+28
65.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 28 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
67.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
68.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 15 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
68.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
68.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+9
67.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
68.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 5 yds to the WASH 20Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
69.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
67.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+5
66.5%
PATEL, Jai field goal attempt from 38 yards BLOCKED by HOLTZCLAW, Lance recovered by UW HEIMS, Maurice at UW21, returned by HEIMS, Maurice 0 yards to the UW21 [kick was spotted at UW28], End of Play, clock 00:36. PENALTY Before the snap, UW Illegal Substitution on HOLMES, Vince enforced 5 yards from the UW20 to the UW15 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
80.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
78.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the WASH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:5377% → 76%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
76.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 24Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
75.8%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 19Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-5
75.9%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 14Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
76.0%
Jakob Anderson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:3525% → 23%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+35
75.2%
Jonah Coleman run for 35 yds to the RUTG 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
73.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the RUTG 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
73.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the RUTG 3Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
74.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the RUTG 2Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
75.5%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 49 yds · 2:5279% → 81%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+40
79.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 40 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.2%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 42Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
81.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
81.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 5 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
80.9%
Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 94 yds · 2:5420% → 36%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+21
80.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 21 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
79.7%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
79.4%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+13
79.7%
Cameron Davis run for 13 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
78.9%
Demond Williams Jr. run for no gain to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
63.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 51 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5469% → 68%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
69.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 7 yds to the RUTG 32Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
68.0%
Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5733% → 31%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
67.1%
Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (-3 Yards) to the WASH 14Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+7
67.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 7 yds to the WASH 21Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
69.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
68.9%
Jack McCallister punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 5:2670% → 92%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
69.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
70.5%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 22Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+3
69.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 3 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
72.0%
MONANGAI, Kyle rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards to the RU26 (PARKER, Jayvon), clock 14:10. PENALTY UW Face mask on PARKER, Jayvon enforced 15 yards from the RU31 to the RU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
73.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
72.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 9 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
73.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
74.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the WASH 40Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
74.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the WASH 37Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+37
91.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 37 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:2710% → 9%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
89.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+17
90.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 17 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
89.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 17 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
88.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
88.8%
Will Rogers run for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 29 Demond Williams Jr. fumbled, recovered by WASH Cameron Davis C. Davis return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
89.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+9
91.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 9 yds to the RUTG 20Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
91.5%
Grady Gross 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:3393% → 94%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
93.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
94.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
93.9%
Jakob Anderson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 2:516% → 37%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
94.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 8 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
93.2%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the WASH 33Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
93.4%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
95.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
95.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the WASH 46Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+30
95.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 30 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
93.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rashid Williams for 9 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
93.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
94.2%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
94.1%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the RUTG 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
63.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:5987% → 92%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
89.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
90.6%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 28Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
91.9%
Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:3015% → 15%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
85.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+10
83.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 10 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
84.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Cameron Davis for 2 yds to the RUTG 41Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+3
85.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 3 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+55
85.0%
Grady Gross 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:40
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds for a TD
-30.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:36
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27
+23.9
TD · Q4 10:57
Samuel Brown V run for 37 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com