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Oregon 34 at UCLA 13

UCLA
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:26 · T.J. Harden run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior−9.5Home team on offense−41.6Score differential−24.6Garbage-time factor−14.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:53: Jordan James run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +2.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:11: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Kenyon Sadiq pass to Terrance Ferguson for Two-Point Conversion) — ORE win probability +3.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Bryan Addison return for 96 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:34: Mateen Bhaghani 54 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +2.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:37: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED) — ORE win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 2:35UCLA 4th & 4 at ORE 9, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:55ORE 4th & 4 at UCLA 23, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:07UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:06UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:25ORE 4th & 8 at UCLA 24, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:46UCLA 4th & 15 at UCLA 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:41UCLA 4th & 13 at UCLA 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:03ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 13, up 18
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:34UCLA 4th & 12 at ORE 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:33ORE 4th & 15 at ORE 45, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:01UCLA 4th & 3 at ORE 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−1.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:26UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:05UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:38ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:53ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:11ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:04UCLA Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:37ORE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2194% → 93%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
6.0%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
6.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
6.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
6.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
6.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
6.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 4 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
6.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 8 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
6.9%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+18
7.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 18 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
7.1%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+11
7.2%
Jordan James run for 11 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
7.3%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
7.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 7:037% → 10%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.3%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.3%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
7.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 8 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
7.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-5
7.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
7.8%
T.J. Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+14
7.9%
(06:52) GARBERS, Ethan pass to the left incomplete intended for SHAW, Carter thrown to the UCLA46, clock 06:47 (Play was confirmed after official review). PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on REED, Nikko enforced 14 yards to the ORE49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
8.3%
Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+12
8.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
8.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 21 yds to the ORE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
9.1%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Jestin Jacobs and Derrick Harmon for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 16Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+3
9.3%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the ORE 13Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+4
9.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to T.J. Harden for 4 yds to the ORE 9Similar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
10.2%
Mateen Bhaghani 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:3090% → 91%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
10.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 19 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
9.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 11 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
10.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 13 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
10.1%
Tez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
10.2%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
10.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
9.5%
Atticus Sappington 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3110% → 10%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
9.8%
(14:54) GARBERS, Ethan pass to the right complete for 8 yards to STURDIVANT, J.Michael caught at the UCLA33 and advanced to the UCLA33, End of Play, clock 14:39. PENALTY Before the snap, UCLA Illegal Formation on UNIJE, Reuben enforced 5 yards from the UCLA25 to the UCLA20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
9.9%
Ethan Garbers pass intercepted Bryce Boettcher return for no gain to the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2391% → 93%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
9.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+10
9.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 10 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+12
9.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
9.6%
(13:00) JAMES, Jordan rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UCLA4 (SCHWESINGER, Carson), clock 12:55. PENALTY Before the snap, ORE Illegal Motion on STEWART, Evan enforced 5 yards from the UCLA5 to the UCLA10. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
9.7%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
9.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
10.0%
(12:03) GABRIEL, Dillon pass to the right incomplete intended for KASPER, Kyler thrown to the UCLA0, clock 11:57. PENALTY UCLA Pass Interference on DAVIES, Jaylin enforced 4 yards to the UCLA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.5%
Jordan James run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:458% → 8%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
8.1%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
8.1%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+8
8.1%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 8 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
8.1%
Brody Richter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4592% → 95%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
8.0%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (K.J. Wallace) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
50
-2
7.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 48Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+52
4.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Kenyon Sadiq pass to Terrance Ferguson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:046% → 6%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
5.5%
Keegan Jones run for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-7
5.7%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 26Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
5.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 3 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
5.8%
Brody Richter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:3195% → 97%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
4.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 6 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+11
4.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 11 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
4.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 4 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
4.4%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
4.4%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
4.3%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+14
4.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 14 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
4.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
4.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 2 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
4.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
2.6%
Atticus Sappington 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:372% → 2%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.3%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
2.4%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-7
2.3%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+12
1.9%
Brody Richter punt for 42 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 12 yds to the ORE 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11INT TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:3198% → 95%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
1.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 1 yd to the ORE 41Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
2.0%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
1.9%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+38
1.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 38 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
1.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a loss of 1 yard fumbled, forced by Kaylin Moore, recovered by ORESimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
1.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-96
4.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Bryan Addison return for 96 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
5.2%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:187% → 7%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.6%
T.J. Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
6.7%
T.J. Harden run for 21 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
7.4%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
7.2%
Ethan Garbers run for 3 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-8
7.1%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Jeffrey Bassa for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
6.6%
Brody Richter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3294% → 93%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
5.6%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 12Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+1
5.6%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the ORE 13Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
5.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
5.9%
Ross James punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
7.1%
(09:56) HARDEN, T.J. rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UCLA50 (BOETTCHER, Bryce;JOHNSON, Tysheem), clock 09:49. PENALTY UCLA Holding on PIERRE, Bryce enforced 10 yards from the UCLA47 to the UCLA37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:556% → 9%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+11
6.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Bryce Pierre for 11 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+18
7.1%
T.J. Harden run for 18 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
7.5%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 36Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
7.2%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
6.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
8.9%
Mateen Bhaghani 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:5993% → 93%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.1%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
7.0%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
7.2%
Jordan James run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
50
0
6.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
50
0
6.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 10
50
-5
6.8%
Oregon Penalty, False Start (Josh Conerly Jr.) to the ORE 45Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
7.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
7.5%
Ross James punt for 43 yds, downed at the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:199% → 10%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
8.5%
T.J. Harden run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 9Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+14
7.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 14 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
8.3%
(03:56) HARDEN, T.J. rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UCLA26 (CALDWELL, Jamaree), clock 03:50. PENALTY UCLA Holding on HOLSTEGE, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the UCLA23 to the UCLA13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+23
8.2%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Jack Pedersen for 23 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
8.7%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 4 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
9.1%
Jalen Berger run for 8 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
9.6%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 5 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
9.9%
T.J. Harden run for 2 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
9.9%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
9.5%
Ethan Garbers pass intercepted Tysheem Johnson return for no gain to the ORE 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:2295% → 99%
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
5.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 8 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+2
5.1%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
5.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
5.0%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
5.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+7
5.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 7 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
4.8%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
4.2%
Jordan James run for no gain to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
4.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 6 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-5
4.2%
Oregon Penalty, Illegal Snap on LALOULU, Iapani enforced (Iapani Laloulu) to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
1.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:232% → 1%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
1.7%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+15
1.7%
(09:22) GARBERS, Ethan pass up the middle incomplete intended for PIERRE, Bryce thrown to the UCLA15, clock 09:15. PENALTY ORE Personal Foul on CALDWELL, Jamaree enforced 15 yards from the UCLA9 to the UCLA24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
1.8%
Anthony Frias II run for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
1.7%
Justyn Martin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+7
1.7%
Justyn Martin pass complete to Kwazi Gilmer for 7 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+8
1.8%
T.J. Harden run for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
1.7%
Justyn Martin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
1.6%
Justyn Martin run for no gain to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
1.4%
Justyn Martin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+9
1.3%
Brody Richter punt for 47 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 9 yds to the ORE 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20END OF GAME
13 plays · 59 yds · 6:1399% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
1.1%
Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
1.0%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+12
0.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 12 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
0.8%
Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+15
0.8%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (K.J. Wallace) to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
0.7%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+8
0.6%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
0.6%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
0.6%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+5
0.4%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
0.4%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-2
0.4%
(00:38) Kneel down by ORE at UCLA20 (team loss of 2), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:11
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 52 yds for a TD (Kenyon Sadiq pass to Terrance Ferguson for Two-Point Conversion)
-3
TD · Q2 0:04
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Bryan Addison return for 96 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q4 9:37
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com