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NEB

Nebraska 28 at Purdue 10

PUR
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+6.3PUR 53.2%Spencer Porath 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q3 6:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:42 · Spencer Porath 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior−10.6Home team on offense+5.6Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 6:42: Spencer Porath 45 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +6.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:49: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 6 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +19.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:49: Reggie Love III run for no gain to the PUR 25 — PUR win probability +6.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:34: Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +12.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:13: Jacory Barney Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +7.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:15NEB 4th & 15 at PUR 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:34PUR 4th & 9 at NEB 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:45NEB 4th & 18 at PUR 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:36NEB 4th & 13 at PUR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:56PUR 4th & 23 at PUR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:02NEB 4th & 6 at PUR 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.8%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:39PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:04NEB 4th & 10 at PUR 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−7.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:42PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−3.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−12.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:04PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−4.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:34NEB 4th & 1 at PUR 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−5.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−20.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:17PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q3 2:49NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:34NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:13NEB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:38NEB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:29PUR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:4577% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
23.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for 6 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
23.5%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 31 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
23.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
24.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
24.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 10
OPP 34
-5
24.2%
Nebraska Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jahmal Banks) to the PUR 39Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
24.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4424% → 25%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
24.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
24.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
24.2%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
24.5%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:4175% → 74%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
24.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 41Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
24.5%
RAIOLA, Dylan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HAARBERG, Heinrich thrown to the PUR30. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on HELDT, Will enforced 15 yards to the PUR44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
24.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 16 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
24.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the PUR 24Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+1
24.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the PUR 23Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+4
25.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the PUR 19Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 1
OPP 19
-5
25.6%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PUR 24Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
26.3%
John Hohl 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 5:1627% → 29%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
26.5%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+19
26.5%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 19 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
26.9%
Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+13
27.1%
Reggie Love III run for 13 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
27.2%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 13 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
27.2%
Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
27.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the NEB 19Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-2
27.0%
Hudson Card sacked by James Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 21Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
29.4%
Spencer Porath 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:4971% → 69%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
29.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 25 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
28.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+27
28.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 27 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
27.7%
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the PUR 29Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
27.8%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 7 yds to the PUR 22Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
29.1%
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the PUR 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 22
-15
29.8%
(15:00) RAIOLA, Dylan pass to the right complete for 22 yards to JOHNSON, Rahmir caught at the PUR22 and advanced to the PUR0, TOUCHDOWN NEB, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NEB Pass Interference on FIDONE II, Thomas enforced 15 yards to the PUR37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 18
OPP 37
0
31.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dillon Thieneman at the PUR 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1531% → 32%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
31.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Hudson Card for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 3Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 17
OWN 3
+3
31.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 6Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+10
30.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the PUR 16Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+8
31.5%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 8 yds to the NEB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:5470% → 66%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
30.5%
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Block (Jahmal Banks) to the NEB 47Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 6
OWN 47
+15
30.4%
RAIOLA, Dylan pass to the left incomplete intended for NEYOR, Isaiah thrown to the PUR40. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Markevious enforced 15 yards to the PUR38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
30.5%
RAIOLA, Dylan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NEYOR, Isaiah thrown to the PUR10. PENALTY PUR Personal Foul on M'BA, Jeffrey declined PUR Pass Interference on GREEN, Nyland enforced 15 yards to the PUR23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
30.3%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Winston Berglund for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 31Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 18
OPP 31
+5
31.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 5 yds to the PUR 26Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
31.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+44
33.7%
John Hohl 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by LEWIS, DamarjheSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:4037% → 35%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
37.1%
Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-3
37.5%
Reggie Love III run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 49Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-15
37.1%
CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right complete for 51 yards to TIBBS, Jaron caught at the NEB32 and advanced to the NEB0, TOUCHDOWN PUR, score nullified by penalty, clock 08:03 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Kam enforced 15 yards to the PUR34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 23
OWN 34
0
35.3%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 23
OWN 34
+1
34.9%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 1 yd to the NEB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4567% → 66%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
33.3%
RAIOLA, Dylan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the NEB44. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on GREEN, Nyland enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NEB41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
31.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 12 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
31.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 7 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
31.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the PUR 38Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-5
31.4%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Dylan Raiola) to the PUR 43Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
31.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
33.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds, downed at the PUR 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2337% → 38%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
37.2%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the PUR 12Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+1
37.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 13Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+13
36.6%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 13 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
38.0%
Hudson Card sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the PUR 18Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 18
OWN 18
0
37.4%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+14
37.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to De'Nylon Morrissette for 14 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
38.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for no gain to the NEB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:3564% → 60%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
35.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 12 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
34.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 20 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
32.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 18 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
30.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
31.1%
RAIOLA, Dylan pass up the middle incomplete intended for NEYOR, Isaiah thrown to the PUR14. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on GRANT, Tarrion enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the PUR14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
30.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the PUR 14Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
30.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
32.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
34.9%
John Hohl 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
39.9%
Purdue Penalty, Illegal Snap on HARTWIG, Gus enforced (Gus Hartwig) to the PUR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-2
39.5%
[SG] Kneel down by CARD, Hudson at PUR19 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 8:0840% → 53%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
40.2%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 13Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+14
39.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 14 yds to the PUR 27Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
39.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
41.6%
Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the PUR 32Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
41.7%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 3 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
41.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 10 yds to the PUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
44.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 7 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
44.9%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the NEB 46Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+10
44.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
47.4%
Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
48.4%
Hudson Card pass complete to Reggie Love III for 5 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
46.9%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the NEB 27Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+45
53.2%
Spencer Porath 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:5351% → 74%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
49.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+16
48.7%
Purdue Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joseph Jefferson II) to the PUR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
45.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the PUR 40Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
45.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 6 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
44.2%
RAIOLA, Dylan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BANKS, Jahmal thrown to the PUR15. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on GREEN, Nyland enforced 14 yards to the PUR20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
43.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 9 yds to the PUR 11Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+4
44.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
44.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the PUR 6Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
44.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
25.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 6 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4532% → 28%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.3%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the PUR 25Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 6 yds to the PUR 31Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-13
30.4%
Hudson Card sacked by MJ Sherman and Kai Wallin for a loss of 13 yards to the PUR 18Similar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
28.2%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 5:3073% → 89%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
27.1%
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Block (Isaiah Neyor) to the NEB 28Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 19
OWN 28
+8
28.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 8 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+26
27.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 26 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
24.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 16 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
23.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the PUR 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+14
23.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 14 yds to the PUR 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
23.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.8%
Carter Nelson run for no gain to the PUR 1Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1712% → 10%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
12.0%
Hudson Card pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 5 yds to the PUR 35Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
12.3%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 39Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-15
12.7%
MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the PUR41, out of bounds. PENALTY PUR Chop Block on MOUSSA, Mahamane enforced 15 yards from the PUR39 to the PUR24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+5
11.2%
CARD, Hudson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RIGBY, Shamar thrown to the PUR45. PENALTY NEB Offsides on SHERMAN, MJ enforced 5 yards from the PUR24 to the PUR29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
10.9%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
10.4%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:5789% → 98%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
10.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 15 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
9.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the PUR 49Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-10
9.8%
Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jahmal Banks) to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 14
OWN 44
-10
10.3%
Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jahmal Banks) to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 14
OWN 44
-15
10.3%
Nebraska Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dylan Raiola) to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 29
OWN 29
+15
11.3%
Purdue Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
9.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the PUR 25Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
2.1%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:353% → 0%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.8%
Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the PUR 28Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-29
0.1%
Hudson Card pass intercepted John Bullock return for 29 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:090% → 1%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.1%
Hudson Card run for 10 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the PUR 41Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-7
0.1%
Hudson Card sacked by MJ Sherman for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 34Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+17
0.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 17 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
0.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 7 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-5
0.1%
Hudson Card sacked by James Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 47Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+12
0.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 12 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Drew Biber for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
0.1%
Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 15Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+16
0.1%
Hudson Card pass complete to Kam Brown for 16 yds to the NEB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
0.1%
Hudson Card pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
0.8%
Hudson Card pass complete to Leland Smith for 15 yds for a TD (Spencer Porath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 1:2599% → 99%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
0.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 9 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+9
0.8%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 9 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:49
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 6 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)
-19
TD · Q4 10:34
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q4 6:13
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com