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MINN

Minnesota 24 at Michigan 27

MICH
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:35 · Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Home team on offense+25.2Pregame prior+11.7Score differential+11.3Blowout margin+7.5Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:34: Kalel Mullings 27 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick) — MICH win probability +2.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:59: Kalel Mullings 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick) — MICH win probability +6.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:48: Tyler Morris 11 Yd pass from Alex Orji (Dominic Zvada Kick) — MINN win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:10: Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 44 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +4.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:01: Darius Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:36MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:06MINN 4th & 11 at MICH 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%
    40% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:06MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:05MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:54MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:22MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04MINN 4th & 21 at MINN 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00MICH 4th & 14 at MICH 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:35MICH 4th & 1 at MICH 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:36MICH 4th & 4 at MINN 35, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:12MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:27MINN 4th & 11 at MICH 27, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:06MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:33MICH 4th & 8 at MINN 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:03MINN 4th & 6 at midfield, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:48MINN 4th & 1 at MICH 13, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:34MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:59MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:2526% → 27%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
74.1%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MINN 17Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
73.9%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 23Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
73.8%
Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the MINN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.7%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
73.5%
pass incomplete to Frank BiermanSimilar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
73.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 23Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
73.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 56 ydsSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.4%
Alex Orji pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:5773% → 75%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.4%
Alex Orji pass incomplete to Fredrick Moore, broken up by Maverick BaranowskiSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
73.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 22Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+15
73.0%
Alex Orji run for 15 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
73.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
73.4%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 43Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
72.9%
Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 6 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
73.1%
Alex Orji pass incomplete for a 1ST down Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Logan-Redding) to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
73.2%
Mullings,Kalel rush left (Baranowski,Maverick;Williams,Devon).Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
73.1%
Alex Orji pass complete to Marlin Klein for 9 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+27
75.3%
Kalel Mullings 27 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:2425% → 25%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
74.8%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MINN 21Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
74.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Marcus Major for 13 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
74.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Cristian Driver for 14 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
74.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 16 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
74.0%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
73.6%
pass incomplete to Kenric Lanier IISimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-3
74.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 37Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+55
74.9%
Dragan Kesich 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5575% → 75%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
75.4%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
75.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 43Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
75.6%
Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
75.2%
Tommy Doman punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5525% → 24%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
74.9%
Taylor,Darius rush (Hall,Aamir;Hausmann,Ernest), PENALTY MIN holding (Cooper,Tyler) 6 yards to the MIN19. Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Cooper) to the MINN 7Similar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 16
OWN 7
+5
75.1%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 12Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
75.1%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Marcus Major, broken up by Rayshaun BennySimilar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+8
75.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 20Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
75.8%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:2876% → 75%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
76.0%
Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.5%
Mullings,Kalel rush middle (Baranowski,Maverick).Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
76.4%
pass incomplete to Kendrick BellSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
75.5%
pass incomplete to Colston LovelandSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
74.8%
Tommy Doman punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:5025% → 25%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
75.0%
Minnesota Penalty, false start (Greg Johnson) to the MINN 15Similar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-3
75.1%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 12Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+7
75.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds Max Brosmer fumbled, recovered by MICH Zeke BerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:2377% → 83%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
77.0%
Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
77.2%
Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
Kalel Mullings 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0311% → 11%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
89.1%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Brandyn HillmanSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
89.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2490% → 91%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.4%
Alex Orji run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 24Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
90.9%
Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the MICH 26Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
91.0%
pass incomplete to Marlin KleinSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+22
90.6%
Tommy Doman punt for 54 yds , Koi Perich returns for 22 yds to the MINN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:0710% → 8%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.7%
Taylor,Darius rush middle (Rolder,Jimmy;Guy,T.J.).Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
90.1%
Max Brosmer sacked by Kenneth Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 41Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-10
90.8%
Max Brosmer sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 10 yards to the MINN 31Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+7
91.6%
punt for no gain , Christian Boivin returns for 7 yds to the MINN 38 Minnesota Penalty, illegal formation (Le'Meke Brockington) to the MINN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Max Brosmer pass intercepted by HILL, JyaireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.0%
Tyler Morris 11 Yd pass from Alex Orji (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4197% → 97%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+2
97.1%
Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the MICH 44Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-8
97.4%
Alex Orji sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 8 yards to the MICH 36Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
97.3%
Tommy Doman punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:412% → 7%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
97.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for no gain to the MINN 22 for a 1ST down Michigan Penalty, roughing passer (Jaishawn Barham) to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
97.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 36Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+10
97.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
97.0%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
97.4%
Max Brosmer sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 7 yards to the MINN 41Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+7
97.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 7 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+20
97.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
97.1%
Minnesota Penalty, false start (Greg Johnson) to the MICH 37Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 15
OPP 37
-8
97.4%
Max Brosmer sacked by Rayshaun Benny and Derrick Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the MICH 45Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 23
OPP 45
+44
92.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 44 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 7:2196% → 98%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 26Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.1%
pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
96.1%
Alex Orji pass complete to Kendrick Bell for 8 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.1%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.0%
Kalel Mullings run for 3 yds to the MICH 39Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+10
97.2%
Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.4%
Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 9
50
0
97.6%
Alex Orji pass complete to Donovan Edwards for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 9
50
+9
97.8%
Alex Orji run for 9 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
97.9%
Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-2
98.1%
Fredrick Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 37Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+2
98.0%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+53
98.0%
Dominic Zvada 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:242% → 2%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Taylor,Darius rush right (Hausmann,Ernest).Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 2 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.0%
Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds , Tyler Morris returns for 3 yds to the MICH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:5798% → 99%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-9
98.4%
Alex Orji pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 1 yd to the MICH 29 Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (Fredrick Moore) to the MICH 19Similar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 19
OWN 19
+16
98.5%
Alex Orji pass complete to Kendrick Bell for 16 yds to the MICH 35Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+10
98.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 10 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Alex Orji pass intercepted by ROBINSON, EthanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 4:562% → 1%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
98.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.5%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
98.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 3 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
98.7%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
98.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for no gain to the MINN 46 Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Quinn Carroll) to the MINN 36Similar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+13
98.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+11
98.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.9%
Michigan Penalty, off-side (Rayshaun Benny) to the MICH 35Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+9
98.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 9 yds to the MICH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.8%
Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the MICH 22Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
98.8%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Kenneth GrantSimilar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-5
98.9%
Minnesota Penalty, false start (Quinn Carroll) to the MICH 27Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
98.9%
pass incomplete to Daniel JacksonSimilar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+14
99.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Nick Kallerup, broken up by Mason Graham for a 1ST down Michigan Penalty, personal foul (Mason Graham) to the MICH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
98.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 10 yds to the MICH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.3%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MICH 34Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
99.4%
Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+60
99.4%
Tommy Doman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MICH 17 , Koi Perich returns for 60 yds to the MICH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
99.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MICH 8Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
99.0%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MICH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.0%
Darius Taylor 4 Yd Run (Dragan Kesich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:2999% → 100%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.5%
Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.5%
Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.5%
Alex Orji pass complete to Colston Loveland for 15 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.6%
Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 48Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+8
99.6%
Kalel Mullings run for 8 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+10
99.7%
Kalel Mullings run for 10 yds to the MINN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Alex Orji pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards, broken up by Jah JoynerSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.7%
Kalel Mullings run for 19 yds to the MINN 11 Michigan Penalty, Offensive holding (C.J. Charleston) to the MINN 21Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
99.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MINN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MINN 18Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+1
99.8%
Kalel Mullings run for 1 yd to the MINN 17Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
99.8%
pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
99.7%
Dominic Zvada 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 2 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 19 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
99.7%
Max Brosmer sacked by TJ Guy for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 44Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
99.7%
pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+6
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 6
50
+12
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.7%
pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 6 yds to the MICH 32Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+10
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.7%
pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.7%
pass incomplete to Nick KallerupSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MICH 13Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+1
99.7%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MICH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Daniel Jackson 12 Yd pass from Max Brosmer (Dragan Kesich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25Uncategorized
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.9%
Kalel Mullings run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 40Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-11
99.9%
Alex Orji run for a loss of 11 yards to the MICH 49 Alex Orji fumbled, recovered by MICH Alex OrjiSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 23
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the MICH 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:59
Kalel Mullings 1 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)
+6
FG · Q2 0:10
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 44 yds to the MICH 1 for a 1ST down
-4.5
TD · Q1 6:34
Kalel Mullings 27 Yd Run (Dominic Zvada Kick)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com