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RUTG

Rutgers 26 at Virginia Tech 23

VT
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:50 · Jakob Anderson punt for 51 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 34 yds to the RUTG 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−31.3Pregame prior+2.9Score differential−15.1Garbage-time factor−8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:00: Bhayshul Tuten run for 23 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +5.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:44: Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:06: Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds for a TD (Kyron Drones pass to Benji Gosnell for Two-Point Conversion) — VT win probability +17.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:35: Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyron Drones pass to Stephen Gosnell for Two-Point Conversion) — VT win probability +46.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:56: Jai Patel 24 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +30.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:57VT 4th & 7 at VT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:28RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56VT 4th & 4 at RUTG 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:29RUTG 4th & 8 at VT 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:08VT 4th & 1 at VT 29, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:42RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 45, up 9
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:18RUTG 4th & 1 at VT 1, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.4%−3.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−14.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:32VT 4th & 5 at VT 6, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:54RUTG 4th & 6 at VT 35, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:18VT 4th & 10 at RUTG 36, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:50RUTG 4th & 24 at RUTG 22, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−4.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:57RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 46, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:56RUTG 4th & 5 at VT 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−32.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:41RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:58RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:00VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:44RUTG Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:06VT Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:35VT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    39.7%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0362% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.0%
Jaylin Lane run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 24Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
62.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 4 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
61.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
61.9%
Peter Moore punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2138% → 38%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
62.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-4
61.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Sam Brumfield and Cole Nelson for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
62.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+1
62.1%
Jakob Anderson punt for 41 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 1 yd to the VT 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:3838% → 42%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
61.6%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 32Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+4
61.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+14
61.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 14 yds to the VT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
61.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 7 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
61.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 5Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
61.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 1Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the VT 1Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:4559% → 58%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.0%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
59.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
58.9%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the VT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
59.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 12 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
59.3%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the RUTG 41Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
59.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
58.8%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the RUTG 39Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
57.9%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:5244% → 51%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+34
56.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 19 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Quentin Reddish) to the VT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
55.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 8 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+7
55.1%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the VT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
54.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
54.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the VT 3Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
49.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5950% → 56%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
50.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
50.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 38Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
50.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the VT 38Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+34
49.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 34 yds to the RUTG 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.4%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
50.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the RUTG 23Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
56.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 23 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:3146% → 48%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
53.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 22 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
52.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 22 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
51.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the VT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
50.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 18Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
50.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
51.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
52.1%
Jai Patel 36 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1853% → 52%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
53.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 18Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
52.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+11
51.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
52.3%
Peter Moore punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9FUMBLE
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:2348% → 56%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
52.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
51.4%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
49.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 7 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
48.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+16
47.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 16 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
47.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 18 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
46.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the VT 21Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+2
45.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+6
46.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 6 yds to the VT 13Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+5
47.0%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Offsides (Aeneas Peebles) to the VT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
44.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 5 yds Kenny Fletcher fumbled, recovered by VT Jaden Keller J. Keller return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10SF
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:3247% → 42%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
46.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 3 yds to the VT 6Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 6
-1
46.0%
Malachi Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 5Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 5
-5
41.9%
Wesley Bailey SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:1756% → 59%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
42.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
43.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
40.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
40.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
41.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
41.2%
Jakob Anderson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the VT 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:3040% → 44%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
40.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 7 yds to the VT 17Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
39.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 2 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+31
39.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 31 yds to the 50 yard line Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, recovered by VT , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
50
0
43.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1658% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
41.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 17 yds to the RUTG 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
39.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
39.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+7
39.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 7 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
38.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+23
37.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 23 yds to the VT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
36.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 12 yds to the VT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
21.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
26.4%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 22 Kyron Drones fumbled, recovered by RUTG Malcolm Ray M. Ray return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0979% → 81%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
21.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the VT 18Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+13
20.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 13 yds to the VT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
19.8%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the VT 5Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
19.6%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 8Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
19.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the VT 1Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4023% → 22%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
22.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 5 yds to the VT 6Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
22.1%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
21.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
21.6%
Peter Moore punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2983% → 85%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
17.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 10 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
16.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-5
15.2%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Ian Strong) to the VT 42Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
14.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+7
15.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-5
15.6%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the VT 40Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 11
OPP 40
+5
15.4%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the VT 35Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
15.5%
Jai Patel 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3620% → 20%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
20.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 10 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
21.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 47Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
21.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 5 yds to the RUTG 48Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+12
21.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 12 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
21.3%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
21.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the RUTG 36Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
20.2%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
19.6%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:2091% → 91%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
9.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Aeneas Peebles for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 30Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 16
OWN 30
-8
9.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland for a loss of 8 yards to the RUTG 22Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 24
OWN 22
0
9.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 24
OWN 22
+34
9.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 51 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 34 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:2919% → 37%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
18.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 25 yds to the RUTG 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
36.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds for a TD (Kyron Drones pass to Benji Gosnell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 5:0774% → 80%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
26.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 8 yds to the RUTG 33Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
23.5%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
20.0%
Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 4 yards to the RUTG 36Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+2
21.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+9
20.3%
(11:20) KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BLACK, Ben thrown to the RU44, clock 11:17. PENALTY HOKIES Pass Interference on DELANE, Mansoor enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the RU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
18.5%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
17.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the VT 45Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
16.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the VT 44Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-5
18.0%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the VT 49Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 6
OPP 49
-5
18.4%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (Ian Strong) to the RUTG 46Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
19.7%
Jakob Anderson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:1124% → 70%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
23.7%
Kyron Drones run for 33 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
27.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Takye Heath for 5 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+15
26.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 15 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
26.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the RUTG 22Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+5
24.6%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the RUTG 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
24.3%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the RUTG 14Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+12
23.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 12 yds to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyron Drones pass to Stephen Gosnell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:3746% → 85%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+63
53.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 63 yds to the VT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
44.7%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 13Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
45.1%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the VT 13Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+6
47.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
15.5%
Jai Patel 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:3233% → 29%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.7%
Kyron Drones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
29.4%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Robert Longerbeam return for no gain to the VT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5190% → 96%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
10.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the VT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
9.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 15Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
8.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the VT 8Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
8.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the VT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-7
4.5%
(00:31) [SG] Kneel down by KALIAKMANIS, Athan at HOKIES13 (team loss of 7), clock 00:27.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:35
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyron Drones pass to Stephen Gosnell for Two-Point Conversion)
+46.3
FG · Q4 1:56
Jai Patel 24 yd FG GOOD
-30.9
TD · Q4 14:06
Bhayshul Tuten run for 14 yds for a TD (Kyron Drones pass to Benji Gosnell for Two-Point Conversion)
+17.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com