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NU

Northwestern 5 at Washington 24

WASH
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDSAFETYFGTDEnd of GameFG—WASH 78.5%Grady Gross 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q2 14:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:11 · Grady Gross 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+20.7Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:12: Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +7.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q2 6:38: Will Rogers pass incomplete for a SAFETY Washington Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the WASH 0 — NU win probability +3.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:12: Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 13 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down — WASH win probability +4.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:17: A.J. Henning run for 9 yds to the WASH 24 — NU win probability +3.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:02: Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +6.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NU made the numbers' call on 10 of 14
  1. Q1 13:21NU 4th & 3 at NU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41WASH 4th & 12 at WASH 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:36NU 4th & 9 at NU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:47NU 4th & 4 at NU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:47NU 4th & 4 at NU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11WASH 4th & 3 at NU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:11NU 4th & 15 at NU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:43NU 4th & 22 at WASH 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:06NU 4th & 1 at WASH 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%−1.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:03NU 4th & 18 at NU 48, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:54WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 48, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:34WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 32, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:26NU 4th & 8 at NU 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:07NU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−7.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:45NU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    -2.4%−6.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:45NU 4th & 1 at WASH 1, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    -2.4%−6.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:06WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 8, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:06WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 8, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:29WASH 4th & 1 at NU 9, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:23NU 4th & 6 at NU 12, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:23NU 4th & 6 at NU 12, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:57WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:12WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:02WASH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2922% → 23%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
77.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 1 yd to the NU 12Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+6
77.4%
Jack Lausch run for 6 yds to the NU 18Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
77.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
77.3%
Luke Akers punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2777% → 77%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
77.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 6 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
77.2%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-8
77.1%
Will Rogers sacked by Anto Saka for a loss of 8 yards to the WASH 35Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+18
76.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 49 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 18 yds to the NU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
76.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
76.7%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 35Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
76.6%
Northwestern Penalty, Illegal Motion (Coco Azema) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+5
76.7%
Luke Akers punt for 43 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 5 yds to the WASH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:3477% → 78%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
76.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 30Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
76.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+11
76.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 11 yds to the WASH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
76.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+11
76.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 11 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
78.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 46 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5722% → 22%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
77.7%
Jack Lausch run for 11 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
77.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 36Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
77.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the NU 38Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
77.6%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 41Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+11
77.8%
Luke Akers punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 20 , Denzel Boston returns for 11 yds to the WASH 48 Washington Penalty, Illegal Block (Peyton Waters) to the WASH 20Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+11
77.8%
Luke Akers punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 8 , Denzel Boston returns for 11 yds to the WASH 48 Washington Penalty, Illegal Block (Peyton Waters) to the WASH 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:3378% → 79%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
77.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 11Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+14
77.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the WASH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
78.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 18 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
78.6%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+20
78.5%
Will Rogers run for 20 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
78.7%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the NU 29Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+18
78.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 18 yds to the NU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
78.8%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the NU 7Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
78.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the NU 4Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
78.5%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
78.5%
Grady Gross 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2921% → 20%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.8%
Jack Lausch run for 5 yds to the NU 20 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by NU Joseph Himon IISimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
79.0%
Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 23Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
79.4%
Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 20Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+25
79.7%
Luke Akers punt for 36 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 25 yds to the NU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:5080% → 88%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
79.7%
Will Rogers run for 5 yds to the NU 26Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+11
79.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
80.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the NU 13Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
87.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:2114% → 13%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.9%
(10:12) Shotgun Lausch,Jack pass incomplete deep left to Henning,A.J. thrown to WASH48 PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Shaw,Jordan) 15 yards from NU25 to NU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
85.5%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 15 yds to the WASH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
85.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 6 yds to the WASH 39Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
85.2%
(08:50) Shotgun Komolafe,Caleb rush left for 2 yards gain to the WASH37 (House,Khmori) PENALTY WASH Offside (Holtzclaw,Lance) 5 yards from WASH39 to WASH34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-7
85.1%
Jack Lausch sacked by Voi Tunuufi for a loss of 7 yards to the WASH 41Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 17
OPP 41
0
85.9%
Jack Lausch run for no gain to the WASH 41Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 17
OPP 41
-5
86.4%
(07:09) PENALTY NU False Start (Tiernan,Caleb) 5 yards from WASH41 to WASH46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 22
OPP 46
0
86.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 22
OPP 46
0
86.7%
Hunter Renner punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10SF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0588% → 85%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
87.8%
(06:43) PENALTY WASH False Start (Azzopardi,Drew) 3 yards from WASH06 to WASH03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 13
OWN 3
0
84.7%
Will Rogers pass incomplete for a SAFETY Washington Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the WASH 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 3:2217% → 14%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
83.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
83.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 8 yds to the WASH 47Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
83.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the WASH 46Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
84.6%
Caleb Komolafe run for 2 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
84.3%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WASH 43Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
84.5%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 43
-9
85.0%
Jack Lausch sacked by Isaiah Ward for a loss of 9 yards to the NU 48Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 18
OWN 48
0
86.2%
Luke Akers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:0287% → 88%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
87.4%
Cameron Davis run for 12 yds to the WASH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
87.4%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the WASH 29Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+9
86.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+8
86.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
87.1%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
88.6%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
88.1%
Washington Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 8
OWN 48
+19
87.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 32 , A.J. Henning returns for 19 yds to the NU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:3015% → 16%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
85.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
84.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
85.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 14 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.7%
Jack Lausch pass intercepted Carson Bruener return for no gain to the WASH 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:1288% → 89%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
88.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 13 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
88.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the NU 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+51
88.7%
Grady Gross 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2388% → 87%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 29Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
88.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 32Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
87.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
87.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 38 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0313% → 12%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 30Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
87.3%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the NU 31Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+11
87.9%
Jack Lausch run for 11 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
87.0%
Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
87.1%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
87.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
88.1%
Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:5590% → 90%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
89.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 9 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+7
89.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.9%
Will Rogers run for no gain to the WASH 33 Will Rogers fumbled, recovered by NU Xander MuellerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:1014% → 14%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
86.2%
A.J. Henning run for 9 yds to the WASH 24Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
86.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
86.7%
Jack Lausch run for 5 yds to the WASH 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
86.3%
Joseph Himon II run for 15 yds to the WASH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
86.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 2 yds to the WASH 2Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.3%
Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WASH 1 Jack Lausch fumbled, recovered by NUSimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
86.0%
Jack Olsen 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:5089% → 98%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
88.6%
Will Rogers run for 5 yds to the WASH 28Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
88.9%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the WASH 31Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+12
88.6%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
90.2%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 12 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.4%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the NU 40Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
90.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 7 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
91.2%
Demond Williams Jr. sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+16
91.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 16 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
91.4%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the NU 18Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
91.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 10 yds to the NU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:595% → 4%
Q4 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.4%
(13:49) Shotgun Lausch,Jack pass incomplete short right to Henning,A.J. thrown to WASH00 PENALTY WASH Holding (Dixon,Thaddeus) 1 yard from WASH02 to WASH01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.4%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.8%
Caleb Komolafe run for no gain to the WASH 1Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.9%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.0%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3297% → 97%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
97.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 4Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
97.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
97.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+2
97.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 2 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+2
97.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 2 yds to the NU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:423% → 3%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
96.6%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 43Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-10
96.9%
(10:17) Shotgun Lausch,Jack pass complete short right to Kirtz,Bryce caught at WASH42, for 15 yards to the WASH42, End Of Play PENALTY NU Holding (Carsello,Jackson) 10 yards from NU43 to NU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.7%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.7%
Jack Lausch pass intercepted Khmori House return for no gain to the NU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:4498% → 99%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
98.4%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the NU 37Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
98.4%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
98.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 1 yd to the NU 32Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+5
98.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the NU 27Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+9
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 9 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
98.8%
Cameron Davis run for 9 yds to the NU 9Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
98.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
98.9%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the NU 9Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
98.8%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the NU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
98.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the NU 12Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Jack Lausch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+9
98.3%
Luke Akers punt for 54 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 9 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+9
98.3%
Luke Akers punt for 54 yds , Denzel Boston returns for 9 yds to the WASH 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:1599% → 99%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.0%
Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+18
99.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 3 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Personal Foul (Mac Uihlein) to the NU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Adam Mohammed for 5 yds to the NU 36Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
99.2%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the NU 32Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
99.2%
Adam Mohammed run for 4 yds to the NU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.3%
W. Rogers takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:12
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q4 14:02
Jonah Coleman run for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
+6.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:12
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 13 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com