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CLT

Charlotte 14 at Indiana 52

IU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:58 · Tayven Jackson pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+9.4Home team on offense+33.8Score differential+28.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.5Garbage-time factor+12.5Blowout margin+15.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:50: Justice Ellison 2 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick) — CLT win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:19: Isaiah Myers 25 Yd pass from Trexler Ivey (Stephen Rusnak Kick) — CLT win probability +3.6 pts (now 12%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 3:05: Kurtis Rourke 12 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick) — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:26: Ke'Shawn Williams 19 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Nicolas Radicic Kick) — IU win probability +3.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:13: Ty Son Lawton 5 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick) — IU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:34CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:59CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08IU 4th & 8 at CLT 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:02CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:04CLT 4th & 1 at IU 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:22CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:58IU 4th & 16 at IU 36, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:37CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:32IU 4th & 6 at CLT 38, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:36IU 4th & 1 at CLT 13, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:58IU 4th & 6 at CLT 28, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:01CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 37, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:55CLT 4th & 4 at IU 35, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 5:19CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:05IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:26IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:13IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:42IU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:36IU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:224% → 5%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
95.7%
Trexler Ivey run for 3 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 5 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+21
95.5%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 40 yds , Myles Price returns for 21 yds to the CLT 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 2:2896% → 95%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
95.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the CLT 48Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 1 yd to the CLT 47Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+12
95.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 12 yds to the CLT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
95.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 3 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+24
95.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Andison Coby for 24 yds to the CLT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:075% → 5%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Sean Brown for 13 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.9%
Cartevious Norton run for 4 yds to the CLT 42Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-2
94.8%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jake Clemons for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+22
94.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 37 yds , Myles Price returns for 22 yds to the IU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:4195% → 95%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
94.9%
Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
94.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the CLT 32Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
94.8%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the CLT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
94.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the CLT 19Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+9
95.5%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the CLT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
95.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the CLT 8Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
95.3%
Nicolas Radicic 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:215% → 6%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the CLT 30Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
95.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the CLT 31Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
95.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 14 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
94.7%
Cartevious Norton run for 2 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
94.6%
CJ Stokes run for 7 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
94.5%
CJ Stokes run for 6 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+33
94.5%
Henry Rutledge run for 33 yds to the IU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
94.2%
CJ Stokes run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 8Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.1%
CJ Stokes run for no gain to the IU 8Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
94.3%
(13:56) IVEY, Trexler pass up the middle complete for 8 yards to WEBER, Colin caught at the IND0 and advanced to the IND0, TOUCHDOWN CHA, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:54 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY CHA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MAYES, Mitchell enforced 5 yards from the IND8 to the IND13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
94.5%
CJ Stokes 13 Yd Run (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5795% → 93%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the IU 25Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.9%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+37
94.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 37 yds to the CLT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
95.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 29 yds to the CLT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
95.1%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds Indiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (Carter Smith) to the CLT 12Similar
Q2 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
95.1%
Myles Price run for 4 yds to the CLT 8Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
95.1%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CLT 6Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.9%
(09:59) ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the right incomplete intended for HORTON, Zach thrown to the CHA0, clock 09:54. PENALTY CHA Pass Interference on MCGEE, Treyveon enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the CHA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
94.9%
(09:59) ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the right incomplete intended for HORTON, Zach thrown to the CHA0, clock 09:54. PENALTY CHA Pass Interference on MCGEE, Treyveon enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the CHA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Justice Ellison 2 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:317% → 12%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
92.6%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
92.6%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Sean Brown for 5 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
92.4%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
50
0
91.9%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
50
+19
92.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jairus Mack for 19 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
91.5%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
91.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 6 yds to the IU 25Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
87.8%
Isaiah Myers 25 Yd pass from Trexler Ivey (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1489% → 93%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
89.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam West for 37 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
90.0%
Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the CLT 31 for a 1ST down Charlotte Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Mordecai McDaniel) to the CLT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
90.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the CLT 11Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-1
89.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 12Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
92.5%
Kurtis Rourke 12 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:598% → 8%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the CLT 23Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
92.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 21Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
92.1%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
92.3%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:3092% → 96%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
50
+7
92.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
92.3%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the CLT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
92.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 11 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
92.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
92.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 10 yds to the CLT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
95.9%
Ke'Shawn Williams 19 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
95.0%
(00:16) [SG] Kneel down by IVEY, Trexler at CHA4 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4595% → 98%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
95.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
50
+39
95.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 39 yds to the CLT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
95.9%
Charlotte Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the CLT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.1%
Ty Son Lawton 5 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 52 yds · 5:032% → 2%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
97.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 9 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+11
97.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds to the CLT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
98.0%
Cartevious Norton run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
50
+4
98.0%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+10
98.1%
Cartevious Norton run for 10 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
98.1%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the IU 35Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+8
98.1%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 8 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-3
98.0%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1799% → 100%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.5%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the IU 35Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
98.7%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
98.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 11 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.8%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the CLT 45Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+8
98.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 8 yds to the CLT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
99.1%
Kaelon Black run for 16 yds to the CLT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
Kaelon Black 21 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Jordan Spasojevic-Moko) to the CLT 20Similar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Jordan Spasojevic-Moko) to the CLT 20Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
99.8%
Cartevious Norton run for 11 yds to the CLT 31Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
99.8%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 29Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 47 yds , Myles Price returns for 1 yd to the IU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.8%
Justice Ellison run for 17 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 40Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Tayven Jackson run for 3 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q3 0:12
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-7
99.8%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Donovan Spellman for a loss of 7 yards to the IU 36Similar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 16
OWN 36
-2
99.8%
James Evans punt for 50 yds , Henry Rutledge returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.9%
Cartevious Norton run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 10Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Adam Hopkins IV for no gain to the CLT 10Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Bryce Kennon for no gain to the CLT 10Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
(12:30) JACKSON, Tayven pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COBY, Andison broken up by CULP, Elijah at the CHA5, clock 12:25. PENALTY CHA Holding on CULP, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the IND48 to the CHA42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the CLT 38Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+16
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Miles Cross for 16 yds to the CLT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.9%
(10:55) BLACK, Kaelon rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the CHA15 (MACK, Jaavan;NOEL, Breon), clock 10:51. PENALTY IND Holding on WALKER, Trey enforced 10 yards from the CHA22 to the CHA32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+14
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 14 yds to the CLT 13Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Elijah Green 13 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
100.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 32 fumbled, recovered by IU Bryson Bonds B. Bonds return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Khobie Martin run for 3 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Khobie Martin run for 1 yd to the CLT 28Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 6
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:570% → 0%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Terez Traynor for 6 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 1 yd to the CLT 35Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 2 yds to the CLT 37Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for 3 yds to the CLT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Jack Reynolds for 6 yds to the CLT 46Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Rod Gainey Jr. run for no gain to the CLT 46Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+13
100.0%
(04:28) IVEY, Trexler pass up the middle incomplete intended for BURRIS, Miles thrown to the IND41, clock 04:25. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on SHARPE, Jamari enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the IND41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
100.0%
Henry Rutledge run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 43Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Trexler Ivey pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 8 yds to the IU 35Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Trexler Ivey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Khobie Martin run for 4 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Khobie Martin run for 3 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
100.0%
Elijah Green run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+3
100.0%
Khobie Martin run for 3 yds to the CLT 47Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Khobie Martin run for 2 yds to the CLT 45Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-3
100.0%
(00:20) Kneel down by JACKSON, Tayven at CHA48 (team loss of 3), clock 00:11.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:19
Isaiah Myers 25 Yd pass from Trexler Ivey (Stephen Rusnak Kick)
-3.6
TD · Q2 0:26
Ke'Shawn Williams 19 Yd pass from Kurtis Rourke (Nicolas Radicic Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q2 3:05
Kurtis Rourke 12 Yd Run (Nicolas Radicic Kick)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com