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ILL

Illinois 31 at Nebraska 24

NEB
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:26 · Hugh Robertson punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+0.2Home team on offense−5.3Score differential−4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:32: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 6 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +2.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:16: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 11 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +8.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:55: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +22.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:57: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +18.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:36: Luke Altmyer pass complete to Brandon Henderson for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +26.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 14:02NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:15NEB 4th & 3 at ILL 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−3.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:37ILL 4th & 5 at NEB 8, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:22ILL 4th & 8 at NEB 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:15ILL 4th & 6 at NEB 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:55NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:45ILL 4th & 1 at NEB 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−4.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:36ILL 4th & 2 at NEB 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−14.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:56NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−12.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:56NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−12.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:59NEB 4th & 3 at ILL 21, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%−2.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−27.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:26ILL 4th & 9 at NEB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:54ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:32NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:16NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:55ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:57NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:36ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:5876% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
76.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 17 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
76.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
75.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
75.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+15
75.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 48 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 15 yds to the ILL 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:5624% → 26%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
75.8%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the ILL 24Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
75.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+29
75.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 29 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
75.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 10 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
75.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+27
74.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 27 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3FG
20 plays · 72 yds · 8:3274% → 72%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
74.2%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Alec Bryant for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 25Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
73.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 38Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
73.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 5 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+17
73.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 17 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
73.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dante Dowdell for 4 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-1
73.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 37Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
72.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the ILL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
72.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the ILL 20Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
72.4%
Dante Dowdell run for no gain to the ILL 20Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
71.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the ILL 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
71.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 3 yds Rahmir Johnson fumbled, recovered by NEBSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+11
71.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 11 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
71.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the ILL 3Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
71.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
72.3%
John Hohl 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:1429% → 28%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
71.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for a loss of 3 yards to the ILL 23Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+14
71.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 14 yds Hank Beatty fumbled, recovered by NEB DeShon SingletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 2:0973% → 75%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
72.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 14 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
73.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the ILL 19Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+13
72.7%
Isaiah Neyor run for 13 yds to the ILL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
75.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 6 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:4226% → 30%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
73.9%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short right to Dixon,Collin caught at ILL46, for 16 yards to the ILL46, out of bounds at ILL46 PENALTY ILL Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Crisler,Zy) 5 yards from ILL30 to ILL25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+5
74.1%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short left to Dixon,Collin caught at ILL32, for 7 yards to the ILL32 (Buford Jr.,Marques) PENALTY NEB Offside (Lenhardt,Cameron) 5 yards from ILL25 to ILL30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
73.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Vincent Jackson) to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
72.5%
Josh McCray run for 8 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+1
71.9%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+20
72.3%
Luke Altmyer run for 6 yds to the NEB 27 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Ty Robinson) to the NEB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
71.7%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
71.6%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the NEB 11Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+3
72.0%
Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the NEB 8Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
70.1%
David Olano 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:2973% → 73%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
72.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+21
72.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 21 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
73.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the ILL 39Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
73.6%
Dylan Raiola run for 3 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
73.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
73.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for no gain to the ILL 36Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+9
73.0%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short left to Fidone II,Thomas caught at ILL27, for 9 yards to the ILL27, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Holding offsetting ILL Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
72.7%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:3531% → 33%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
68.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 17 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
68.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-2
66.1%
Luke Altmyer sacked by John Bullock for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 41Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
66.6%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass incomplete short right to Dixon,Collin thrown to ILL50 PENALTY NEB Holding (Wright,Ceyair) 10 yards from ILL41 to NEB49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
65.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 9 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
65.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
64.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
63.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
65.0%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+3
66.9%
Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the NEB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:0271% → 81%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
71.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
70.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Dante Dowdell for 6 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
71.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
71.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 9 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+9
71.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 9 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
72.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the ILL 38Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
72.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the ILL 38Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+27
71.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 27 yds to the ILL 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
81.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 11 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
79.3%
Kneel down by Illinois at ILL23 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 37 yds · 5:3023% → 23%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
77.4%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the ILL 18Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
77.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 20Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+12
78.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
76.9%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Altmyer,Luke pass complete short left to Laughery,Aidan caught at ILL35, for 3 yards to the ILL35 (Umanmielen,Princewill) PENALTY ILL Holding (Davis,J.C.) 10 yards from ILL32 to ILL22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+5
77.5%
(13:19) PENALTY NEB Offside (Williams,James) 5 yards from ILL22 to ILL27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+7
77.4%
Aidan Laughery run for 7 yds to the ILL 34Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
76.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 1 yd to the ILL 35Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+16
77.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 16 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
74.9%
Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-5
75.1%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Kreutz,Josh) 5 yards from NEB48 to ILL47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 14
OWN 47
0
77.0%
Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the ILL 47Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+8
77.8%
Luke Altmyer run for 8 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
77.3%
Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0280% → 80%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+29
79.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 29 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
81.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
82.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 46Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
82.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 5
OWN 46
-5
80.7%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Charles,Jeremiah) 5 yards from NEB46 to NEB41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+37
79.8%
Brian Buschini punt for 53 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 37 yds to the ILL 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:5424% → 46%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
76.2%
Josh McCray run for 4 yds to the ILL 47Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
75.1%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 5 yds to the NEB 48Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+1
74.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
74.7%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
75.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
75.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 6 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
78.3%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
76.7%
PENALTY NEB Personal Foul (Sherman,MJ) 15 yards from NEB37 to NEB22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
75.0%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
75.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the NEB 15Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+12
76.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 12 yds to the NEB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5265% → 89%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+44
64.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 44 yds to the ILL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+29
70.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 29 yds to the ILL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the ILL 1Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 1 yd for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1518% → 45%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
81.6%
Kaden Feagin run for 11 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.7%
Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the ILL 36Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+31
83.0%
Kaden Feagin run for 16 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Malcolm Hartzog Jr.) to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
79.1%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+15
78.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy for 15 yds to the NEB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
79.2%
Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the NEB 14Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
79.3%
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the NEB 13Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+7
81.4%
Luke Altmyer run for 7 yds to the NEB 6Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
55.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Brandon Henderson for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:5763% → 59%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
62.9%
Dylan Raiola sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NEB 16 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Dylan Raiola , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
62.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
62.9%
Dylan Raiola run for 9 yds to the NEB 16 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Dylan RaiolaSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-4
60.2%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Gabe Jacas for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 12 Dylan Raiola fumbled, recovered by NEB Gunnar Gottula , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+8
59.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 50 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 8 yds to the ILL 46Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+8
59.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 50 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 8 yds to the ILL 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:2348% → 50%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
52.4%
Aidan Laughery run for 21 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
49.7%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Ceyair Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 38 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by NEB Mikai Gbayor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 5:1165% → 64%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
64.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
66.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
64.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
66.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 11 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
67.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the ILL 35Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
69.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the ILL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
69.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the ILL 30Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+9
68.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 9 yds to the ILL 21Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
66.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
63.5%
John Hohl 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:1947% → 51%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
52.8%
Josh McCray run for 9 yds to the ILL 30Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
49.3%
Josh McCray run for no gain to the ILL 30Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+8
50.4%
Josh McCray run for 8 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
49.2%
Josh McCray run for 6 yds to the ILL 44Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
44.3%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
43.5%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the NEB 48Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
43.3%
Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the NEB 48Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
44.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
48.6%
Hugh Robertson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
54.7%
Kneel down by Nebraska at NEB05 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-54.7
TD · Q4 10:36
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Brandon Henderson for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
-26.4
TD · Q3 1:55
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
-22.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com