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2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Lumen Field
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.2WASH 63.7%Dean Janikowski 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 8:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:58 · Dean Janikowski 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+13.2Home team on offense−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:16: Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 31 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK) — WASH win probability +1.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:16: John Mateer run for 23 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:21: John Mateer run for 25 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:47: Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +3.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 5:54: John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 16 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +19.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:26WSU 4th & 1 at WASH 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:58WSU 4th & 7 at WASH 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56WASH 4th & 12 at WSU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29WSU 4th & 11 at WASH 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:10WASH 4th & 5 at WSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:36WSU 4th & 8 at WASH 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:47WASH 4th & 6 at WSU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−10.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00WASH 4th & 9 at WSU 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−11.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:26WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 36, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−2.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:08WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:00WASH 4th & 11 at WSU 46, down 5
    Close callPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:40WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−4.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:07WASH 4th & 1 at WSU 1, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−30.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−37.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:16WASH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:16WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:21WSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:54WSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:3435% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
64.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 19 yds to the WSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
64.7%
Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-2 Yards) to the WSU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-5
64.7%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WSU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+21
64.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 21 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
64.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
64.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the WASH 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+5
64.7%
Washington Penalty, Offsides (Sebastian Valdez) to the WASH 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+15
64.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 15 yds to the WASH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
64.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
64.7%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WASH 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+7
64.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 7 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-2
64.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3765% → 64%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
64.5%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the WASH 10Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-1
64.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 9Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
64.3%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 11
OWN 9
+33
64.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 53 yds , Tony Freeman returns for 33 yds to the WASH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5136% → 36%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
63.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 3 yds to the WASH 26Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
63.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
63.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
63.7%
Dean Janikowski 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4264% → 66%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
63.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 17 yds to the WASH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
64.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 7 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+20
64.2%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 20 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
66.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 31 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:5135% → 39%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
65.2%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WSU 30Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
65.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
64.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
64.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 15 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
64.5%
John Mateer pass complete to Tony Freeman for 8 yds to the WASH 38Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+15
64.4%
MATEER, John pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the UW0. PENALTY UW Pass Interference on JACKSON, Elijah enforced 15 yards to the UW23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
61.4%
John Mateer run for 23 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:2062% → 63%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
62.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 14 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
62.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
62.7%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for no gain to the WASH 39Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+18
62.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 18 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
63.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the WSU 37Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+12
63.7%
Adam Mohammed run for 12 yds to the WSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.1%
Adam Mohammed run for 3 yds to the WSU 22Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
64.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-5
62.9%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 27Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
63.2%
Grady Gross 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2037% → 38%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the WSU 26Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
62.6%
MATEER, John pass to the left incomplete intended for MATHERS, Cooper thrown to the WSU34. PENALTY UW Holding on BROUSSARD, Cameron declined UW Face mask on DIXON, Thaddeus enforced 15 yards from the WSU26 to the WSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
61.6%
Kris Hutson run for 22 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
61.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
61.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 38Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
60.9%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
62.1%
Dean Janikowski punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:1963% → 66%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WASH 21Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+39
63.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 39 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
65.1%
Jonah Coleman run for 11 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
65.6%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the WSU 29Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
65.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds to the WSU 24Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
64.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
65.5%
Grady Gross 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:2538% → 37%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
62.1%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
62.5%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+16
63.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 16 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
61.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
60.9%
MATEER, John sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the UW44 (BANDES, Jacob;WARD, Isaiah). PENALTY UW Face mask on WARD, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the UW34 to the UW19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
60.7%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WASH 19Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
60.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the WASH 10Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
61.5%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WASH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
60.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
60.7%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.5%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
63.5%
Dean Janikowski 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:3466% → 66%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
65.6%
Will Rogers run for 17 yds to the WASH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
66.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the WASH 41Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
67.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 44Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
67.0%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 1 yd to the WASH 45Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
65.8%
Jack McCallister punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 1:3235% → 52%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+24
65.2%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 24 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
63.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Tony Freeman for 38 yds to the WASH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
59.3%
Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+10
59.3%
MATEER, John pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the UW0. PENALTY UW Holding on DIXON, Thaddeus enforced 10 yards from the UW25 to the UW15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
59.3%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-10
59.3%
John Mateer sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 10 yards to the WASH 25Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 20
OPP 25
+25
48.5%
John Mateer run for 25 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:2152% → 52%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
52.0%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 14 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
53.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
53.0%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+11
52.3%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:0654% → 59%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
54.4%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 23Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+12
53.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 12 yds to the WASH 35Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-5
55.3%
Washington Penalty, False Start (D'Angalo Titialii) to the WASH 30Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+6
53.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 6 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+29
54.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 29 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
59.3%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the WSU 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+21
59.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Decker DeGraaf for 21 yds to the WSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
59.3%
Adam Mohammed run for 1 yd to the WSU 10Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-5
59.3%
Washington Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WSU 15Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
58.6%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+8
55.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the WSU 7Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
58.8%
Grady Gross 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:4545% → 69%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
55.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
54.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
55.1%
Washington State Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+2
56.0%
John Mateer run for 2 yds to the WSU 31Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-5
57.1%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Rodrick Tialavea) to the WSU 26Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 18
OWN 26
+10
57.1%
MATEER, John sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the WSU19 (TUPUTALA, Alphonzo). PENALTY UW Holding on SHAW, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the WSU26 to the WSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
54.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 37 yds to the WASH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
50.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Kris Hutson for 11 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
31.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 16 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:5437% → 42%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
39.2%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the WASH 46Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
40.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds to the WSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
41.1%
Cameron Davis run for 9 yds to the WSU 40Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+3
41.4%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
41.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 2 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+6
42.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
41.2%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the WSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
43.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
42.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the WSU 25Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
40.9%
Will Rogers run for no gain to the WSU 25Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
42.3%
Grady Gross 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2963% → 63%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
37.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for 6 yds to the WSU 29Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
35.6%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+4
37.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Kyle Williams for 4 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
36.1%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WSU 36Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
35.1%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 36Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
36.8%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 36Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
37.3%
Dean Janikowski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1840% → 35%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
39.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-8
40.2%
Will Rogers sacked by Raam Stevenson for a loss of 8 yards to the WASH 17Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 15
OWN 17
-5
37.5%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Drew Azzopardi) to the WASH 12Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+13
37.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 13 yds to the WASH 25Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
35.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 45 yds , Tony Freeman returns for no gain to the WSU 25 Washington State Penalty, Illegal Block (Frank Cusano) to the WSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:5469% → 73%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
31.1%
John Mateer run for 5 yds to the WSU 35Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
30.1%
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the WSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
29.0%
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the WSU 47Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-21
26.6%
John Mateer pass intercepted Thaddeus Dixon return for 21 yds to the WASH 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1440% → 31%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
39.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the WASH 42Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+13
42.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 13 yds to the WSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-12
44.4%
Washington Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the WASH 43Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 22
OWN 43
+8
38.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the WSU 49Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+8
38.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rashid Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 41Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-5
40.0%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Keleki Latu) to the WSU 46Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
31.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tony Freeman at the WSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:2075% → 78%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
25.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the WSU 12Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+21
25.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 21 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
24.4%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
19.4%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-5
21.5%
Washington State Penalty, False Start (Devin Kylany) to the WSU 28Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+5
21.9%
Washington Penalty, Delay Of Game (Voi Tunuufi) to the WSU 33Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
21.5%
John Mateer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
22.0%
Dean Janikowski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:3329% → 25%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+45
29.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Giles Jackson for 45 yds to the WSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
36.7%
Demond Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the WSU 19Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+10
36.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 10 yds to the WSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
32.2%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 10Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
32.2%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
25.6%
Will Rogers pass complete to Denzel Boston for 9 yds to the WSU 1Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
25.2%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:0293% → 96%
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
7.5%
John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 2Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+5
7.8%
Washington Penalty, Offsides (Sebastian Valdez) to the WSU 7Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+5
7.5%
QB Keeper MATEER, John rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU5 (FABICULANAN, Kamren). PENALTY UW Offsides on PARKER, Jayvon enforced 5 yards from the WSU7 to the WSU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
6.5%
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 2Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+15
3.7%
Washington Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:54
John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 16 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-19.3
TD · Q2 0:21
John Mateer run for 25 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-10.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com