Try the model
ORE

Oregon 49 at Oregon State 14

ORST
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Reser Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—ORST 0.2%Atticus Sappington 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 49 - HOME 14 · Q4 4:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:34 · Atticus Sappington 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior−4.1Home team on offense−54.5Score differential−41.1Garbage-time factor−18.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:01: Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +4.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:36: Dillon Gabriel run for 54 yds for a TD (K. Sadiq Run For Two-point Conversion) — ORE win probability +2.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:43: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 20 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +3.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:15: Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK) — ORST win probability +6.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:36: Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +7.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:13ORST 4th & 6 at ORE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:47ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:51ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 10:25ORE 4th & 6 at ORST 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:28ORST 4th & 3 at ORST 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:16ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 28, down 18
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:30ORST 4th & 7 at ORST 40, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:20ORST 4th & 6 at ORE 46, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:34ORE 4th & 2 at ORST 21, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:16ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 49, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:39ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:01ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:36ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:43ORE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15ORST Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:36ORE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:52ORE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:43ORE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:4610% → 12%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
9.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
9.7%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+27
9.8%
Gevani McCoy run for 42 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
10.0%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the ORST 45Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
10.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 15 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
10.6%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
10.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 10 yds to the ORE 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
11.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
11.3%
Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
11.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 3 yds to the ORE 21Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-5
11.8%
Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 26Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
11.9%
Everett Hayes 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Matayo UiagaleleiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:2588% → 89%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
11.8%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
11.9%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
12.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 13 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
12.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
12.2%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORST 22Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+15
12.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 15 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
12.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 3 yds to the ORST 4Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.5%
Jordan James run for 4 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:3812% → 18%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.0%
Oregon Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jordan Burch) to the ORST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
12.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
12.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+6
12.9%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 6 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
13.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
13.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the ORE 40Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+13
13.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 13 yds to the ORE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
13.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 25Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+8
14.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
14.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORE 15Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
14.5%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 7 yds to the ORE 8Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
14.4%
Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the ORE 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2583% → 87%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 5 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
16.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
50
-4
16.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for a loss of 4 yards to the ORE 46Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+54
13.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 54 yds for a TD (K. Sadiq Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4914% → 14%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.5%
Jam Griffin run for 7 yds to the ORST 32Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
14.0%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
14.0%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 31 fumbled, recovered by ORST Gabarri Johnson G. Johnson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+6
13.8%
Gabarri Johnson pass complete to Jam Griffin for 6 yds to the ORST 37Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+2
13.8%
Gabarri Johnson run for 2 yds to the ORST 39Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+9
13.8%
Josh Green punt for 54 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 9 yds to the ORE 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:5186% → 90%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
14.2%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 19Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
14.4%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 21Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
14.7%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
14.4%
Jayden Limar run for 2 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
14.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+12
14.3%
Jordan James run for 12 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
13.7%
(07:40) GABRIEL, Dillon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for STEWART, Evan thrown to the OSU20, clock 07:34. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on JORDAN JR., Andre enforced 15 yards to the OSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
13.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 20 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
10.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 20 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 6:2211% → 19%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
11.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the ORST 23Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
11.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 4 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+10
11.8%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 10 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
12.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 34Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+12
11.9%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 12 yds to the ORST 46Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
13.0%
Salahadin Allah run for no gain to the ORST 46Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
12.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
50
+14
13.0%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 14 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
12.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 4 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
13.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 5 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
12.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
13.6%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
13.5%
Gevani McCoy run for 10 yds to the ORE 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
14.6%
(00:08) Kneel down by ORE at ORE28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:3585% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
14.8%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
14.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 10 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
14.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
13.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart for 11 yds to the ORST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
13.9%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+20
14.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 20 yds to the ORST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
14.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the ORST 11Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
14.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 4 yds to the ORST 7Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
14.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
14.1%
Atticus Sappington 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5014% → 13%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
13.8%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the ORST 18Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
13.9%
run for no gain to the ORST 18 fumbled, recovered by ORST Grant Starck G. Starck return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+4
13.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the ORST 22Similar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+51
13.2%
Josh Green punt for 51 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 25 , returns for 4 yds to the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3886% → 95%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.1%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
14.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
13.7%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+20
13.2%
Noah Whittington run for 20 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
13.0%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORST 35Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
12.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+27
13.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 27 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
12.7%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the ORST 1Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.8%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:137% → 7%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
7.3%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 4 yds to the ORST 26Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
7.3%
Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the ORST 28Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
7.3%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
7.1%
Josh Green punt for 54 yds, downed at the ORE 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 3:1296% → 99%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
4.3%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+13
4.3%
Jordan James run for 13 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
4.2%
Jordan James run for 14 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
3.7%
Traeshon Holden run for 21 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
3.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
0.7%
Noah Whittington run for 27 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:221% → 1%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 9 yds to the ORST 34Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
0.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 3 yds to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for no gain to the ORST 40Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Josh Green punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.6%
Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORE 25Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-10
0.6%
Oregon Penalty, Illegal Block (Terrance Ferguson) to the ORE 17Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+18
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 18 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+65
0.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jayden Limar for 65 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.2%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 24Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
0.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Trent Walker for 13 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
0.2%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
50
0
0.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
50
+4
0.2%
Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
0.2%
Jay Harris run for 5 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
0.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 7 yds to the ORST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
0.2%
Jay Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 44Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+15
0.2%
MOORE, Dante pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KASPER, Kyler thrown to the OSU10. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 15 yards to the OSU29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
0.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jay Harris for 2 yds to the ORST 27Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
0.2%
Jay Harris run for no gain to the ORST 27Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+6
0.2%
Dante Moore pass complete to Jayden Limar for 6 yds to the ORST 21Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
0.2%
Atticus Sappington 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
Gevani McCoy sacked by Terrance Green for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 23Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-10
0.1%
QB Keeper MCCOY, Gevani rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the OSU26 (GRAY, Tionne), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Holding on STARCK, Grant enforced 10 yards from the OSU23 to the OSU13 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+18
0.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 18 yds to the ORST 31Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
0.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 10 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 47Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+2
0.1%
Gevani McCoy pass complete to Taz Reddicks for 2 yds to the ORST 49Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Gevani McCoy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
0.1%
Kneel down by MOORE, Dante at ORE49 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-2
0.1%
Kneel down by MOORE, Dante at ORE47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:36
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q2 0:15
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+6
TD · Q1 0:01
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com