Try the model
UNI

Northern Iowa 3 at Nebraska 34

NEB
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUNI aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUNI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:50 · run for 3 yds to the NEB 34 fumbled, recovered by UNI Aidan Dunne
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+34.8Home team on offense+12.5Score differential+4.4Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:40: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for 24 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — UNI win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:04: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 18 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:51: Jacory Barney Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:17: Tristan Alvano 31 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:31: Emmett Johnson run for 36 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK) — NEB win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 4UNI made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 5:12UNI 4th & 1 at NEB 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:32UNI 4th & 5 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:56UNI 4th & 6 at UNI 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:50UNI 4th & 5 at NEB 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:30NEB 4th & 3 at UNI 25, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:30NEB 4th & 3 at UNI 25, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:17NEB 4th & 10 at UNI 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:54UNI 4th & 21 at UNI 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:43NEB 4th & 3 at UNI 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:43UNI 4th & 10 at NEB 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:04UNI 4th & 3 at UNI 48, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:31UNI 4th & 5 at NEB 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:16UNI 4th & 8 at NEB 8, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:40NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:04NEB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:51NEB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:31NEB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 15:0098% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
97.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
97.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 7 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
97.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
97.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 14 yds to the UNI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+14
97.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for 14 yds to the UNI 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
97.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for 24 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
96.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
96.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 7 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
96.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
96.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 14 yds to the UNI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 2FG
21 plays · 62 yds · 10:083% → 4%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Aidan Dunne run for 3 yds to the UNI 28Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dunne,Aidan pass complete short right to Hutson,Desmond caught at UNI34, for 18 yards to the UNI46 (Hartzog Jr.,Malcolm) PENALTY UNI Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Penning,Jared) 5 yards from UNI28 to UNI23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
97.5%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 8 yds to the UNI 31Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
97.5%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 16 yds to the UNI 47 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.5%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 49Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
97.5%
PENALTY NEB Offside (Sherman,MJ) 5 yards from UNI49 to NEB46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
97.5%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Tye Edwards for 4 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.5%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 2 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+9
97.5%
Tye Edwards run for 9 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
97.4%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 9 yds to the NEB 22Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+1
96.5%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the NEB 23Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
96.6%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the NEB 22Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+4
96.7%
Aidan Dunne run for 4 yds to the NEB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
96.5%
Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the NEB 15Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
96.5%
Aidan Dunne run for 2 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
96.2%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
96.0%
Caden Palmer 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2896% → 97%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep middle to Fidone II,Thomas thrown to NEB47 PENALTY UNI Pass Interference (Cabral-Martin,Jonathan) 15 yards from NEB25 to NEB40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
96.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 17 yds to the UNI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the UNI 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+7
95.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the UNI 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+15
95.7%
Dylan Raiola run for 15 yds to the UNI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
95.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 4 yds to the UNI 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
95.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the UNI 18Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
96.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 18 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:084% → 4%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for no gain to the UNI 25Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Aidan Dunne run for 4 yds to the UNI 29Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
96.5%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 15 yds to the UNI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
96.3%
Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNI 45Similar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 9
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Aidan Dunne run for no gain to the UNI 45Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-15
96.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dunne,Aidan pass incomplete short left to Hutson,Desmond thrown to UNI45 PENALTY UNI Pass Interference 15 yards from UNI45 to UNI30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 24
OWN 30
+18
96.5%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 18 yds to the UNI 48Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
96.3%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
96.1%
Noah Pettinger punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:0596% → 97%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the NEB 20Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
96.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 11 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+59
96.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 59 yds to the UNI 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.3%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:013% → 4%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.0%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 8 yds to the UNI 33Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
96.7%
Tye Edwards run for 5 yds to the UNI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.9%
Aidan Dunne run for 9 yds to the UNI 47Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
96.7%
Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
50
+14
96.7%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Derek Anderson for 14 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
96.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB35 (Shavers Jr.,Vincent) PENALTY UNI Holding (Kamerling,Keean) 10 yards from NEB36 to NEB46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+1
96.8%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 1 yd to the NEB 45Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+5
96.9%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+9
96.9%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 9 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+3
96.3%
run for 3 yds to the NEB 34 fumbled, recovered by UNI Aidan DunneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 1:2097% → 98%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
97.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 17 yds to the UNI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
97.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 17 yds to the UNI 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
97.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 5 yds to the UNI 27Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
97.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNI 25Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
97.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
97.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.9%
Kneel down by UNI at UNI22 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 9INT
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:073% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.7%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
96.7%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 35Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+6
96.7%
Aidan Dunne run for 6 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
96.5%
Aidan Dunne run for 7 yds to the UNI 48Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+7
96.4%
Tye Edwards run for 7 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
96.3%
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the NEB 44Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+21
96.4%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 6 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (Keona Davis) to the NEB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.1%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Aidan Dunne pass intercepted Dwight Bootle II return for no gain to the NEB 19Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
96.7%
Aidan Dunne pass intercepted Malcolm Hartzog Jr. return for no gain to the NEB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3198% → 99%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
97.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-10
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short middle to Barney Jr.,Jacory caught at NEB21, for 11 yards to the NEB32 (Dervil,JJ; Moko,Keith), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". PLAY OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #15 D.Raiola pass complete short middle to #17 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB21, for 11 yards to the NEB32 (#3 J.Dervil; #20 K.Moko) PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (#4 J.Banks) 10 yards from NEB21 to NEB11. NO PLAY).Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
98.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 13 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
98.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+38
98.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 38 yds to the UNI 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.1%
Janiran Bonner run for no gain to the UNI 13Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
98.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
98.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
98.6%
Tristan Alvano 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 0 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
98.6%
Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 7Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
98.6%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+8
98.6%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 8 yds to the UNI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
98.5%
Aidan Dunne sacked by John Bullock for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 14Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
98.5%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
98.5%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 11
OWN 14
-7
98.5%
PENALTY UNI UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Morancy,Sergio) 7 yards from UNI14 to UNI07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 18
OWN 7
-3
98.6%
PENALTY UNI False Start 3 yards from UNI07 to UNI04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 21
OWN 4
0
98.8%
Noah Pettinger punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNI 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:1199% → 99%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
98.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep right to Bonner,Janiran thrown to UNI10 PENALTY UNI Pass Interference (Dervil,JJ) 15 yards from UNI36 to UNI21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
98.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 8 yds to the UNI 13Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+5
98.6%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the UNI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
98.6%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the UNI 7Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 6 yds to the UNI 1Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
99.0%
Dylan Raiola run for 2 yds to the UNI 3Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.2%
Tristan Alvano 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:171% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.3%
Aidan Dunne run for 4 yds to the UNI 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
99.3%
Tye Edwards run for 5 yds to the UNI 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-15
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dunne,Aidan pass complete short right to Edwards,Tye caught at UNI30, for 1 yard to the UNI32 (Singleton,DeShon) PENALTY UNI Personal Foul (Pryor,Layne) 15 yards from UNI31 to UNI16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+8
99.3%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 8 yds to the UNI 24Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+15
99.4%
Pettinger,Noah punt 61 yards to the NEB15, out of bounds at NEB15 PENALTY NEB Roughing The Kicker (Neyor,Isaiah) 15 yards from UNI24 to UNI39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.3%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to Desmond Hutson for a loss of 2 yards to the UNI 37Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+16
99.4%
Aidan Dunne pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for 16 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Tye Edwards run for no gain to the NEB 47Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Aidan Dunne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Noah Pettinger punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.4%
Dylan Raiola pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.4%
Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 46Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dunne,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Pryor,Layne thrown to NEB35 broken up by Branch,Derek QB hurried by Gbayor,Mikai. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". PLAY OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Dunne pass incomplete short middle to #45 L.Pryor thrown to NEB35 PENALTY NEB Targeting (#29 M.Buford) 15 yards from UNI46 to NEB39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. Nebraska #29 M.Buford has been disqualified).Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+2
99.4%
Matthew Schecklman run for 2 yds to the UNI 48Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+2
99.4%
Noah Pettinger punt for 34 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 2 yds to the NEB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 21Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
99.4%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
99.4%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Carter Nelson for 4 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the NEB 30Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
99.4%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+24
99.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 24 yds to the UNI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.6%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Carter Nelson for 6 yds to the UNI 36Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+36
100.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 36 yds for a TD (John Hohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 14 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman run for 8 yds to the UNI 47Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+10
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Derek Anderson for 10 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
100.0%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for 4 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+30
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 21 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Amare Sanders) to the NEB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Harrison Bey-Buie run for no gain to the NEB 8Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Matthew Schecklman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
100.0%
Sergio Morancy run for 6 yds to the NEB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
100.0%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:51
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 13:04
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 18 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q3 6:17
Tristan Alvano 31 yd FG GOOD
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com