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NEV

Nevada 0 at Minnesota 27

MINN
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:35 · Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Pregame prior+28.2Home team on offense+3.5Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor+1.3Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 15:00: pass complete to Jace Henry for 8 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down — MINN win probability +2.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: 3rd down).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 1:45: Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27 — NEV win probability +2.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:03: Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:32: Darius Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +5.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:58: Darius Taylor run for 80 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:31MINN 4th & 2 at NEV 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01NEV 4th & 6 at MINN 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:52MINN 4th & 2 at MINN 14, up 3
    Close callPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47MINN 4th & 3 at NEV 3, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:38NEV 4th & 5 at MINN 24, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:35MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:49NEV 4th & 17 at NEV 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:00NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:57NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 45, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:52NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 22, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:29MINN 4th & 18 at NEV 32, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:06NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 49, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:33MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 19, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:10MINN 4th & 1 at NEV 36, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 4:03MINN Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:32MINN Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:58MINN Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:2489% → 88%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
88.9%
Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the MINN 22Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
88.8%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the MINN 23Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+6
88.6%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+29
88.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 29 yds to the NEV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
88.4%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEV 47Similar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
88.3%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the NEV 46Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+11
88.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the NEV 35Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
88.1%
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the NEV 34Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+52
87.9%
Dragan Kesich 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:2612% → 13%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.8%
Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
87.6%
(09:53) LEWIS, Brendon pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to RED, Savion caught at the NEV31 and advanced to the NEV31 (BARANOWSKI, Maverick;LINDENBERG, Cody), clock 09:48. PENALTY UMN Offsides on JOYNER, Jah enforced 5 yards from the NEV27 to the NEV32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
87.4%
Minnesota Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (15 Yards) to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
87.3%
Nevada Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cortez Braham Jr.) to the NEV 38Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 19
OWN 38
+5
87.4%
Patrick Garwo III run for 5 yds to the NEV 43Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-1
87.3%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 42Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+9
87.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 9 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Guy Gillespie punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0687% → 86%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
86.8%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the MINN 6Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+8
86.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 8 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 14
0
86.3%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the MINN 14Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
85.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.0%
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Kerry Brown return for no gain to the MINN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:5687% → 86%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
87.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+39
86.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 39 yds to the NEV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
86.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 2 yds to the NEV 4Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.6%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
86.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 1 yd to the NEV 3Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
86.4%
Dragan Kesich 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 19:2211% → 15%
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
88.9%
pass complete to Jace Henry for 8 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
86.2%
Savion Red run for 1 yd to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
85.8%
Savion Red run for 10 yds to the NEV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
85.2%
(14:19) QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the UMN47 (GOUSBY, Aidan), clock 14:15. PENALTY NEV Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NEV46 to the NEV36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+3
85.9%
Savion Red run for 3 yds to the NEV 39Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+7
85.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the NEV 46Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+25
85.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 25 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
83.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 2 yds to the MINN 27Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
83.5%
Savion Red run for 3 yds to the MINN 24Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
83.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
84.6%
Marcus Bellon 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0086% → 86%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
86.3%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
86.2%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 22Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+5
85.8%
Nevada Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MINN 27Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
85.8%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
85.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:3415% → 13%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
85.4%
Patrick Garwo III run for 4 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
85.4%
Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the NEV 39Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-14
85.2%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 14 yards to the NEV 25Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+16
86.7%
Guy Gillespie punt for 53 yds , Koi Perich returns for 16 yds to the MINN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:4187% → 87%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
86.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
86.9%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+19
87.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 19 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
87.2%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the NEV 20Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
87.2%
Max Brosmer pass intercepted, touchback. Keyshawn Cobb return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5813% → 13%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
86.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the NEV 21Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
86.9%
Savion Red run for no gain to the NEV 21Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-17
87.2%
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Patrick Garwo III return for 17 yds to the NEV 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:3887% → 92%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
87.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 6 yds to the NEV 10Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
91.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:599% → 8%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.0%
Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
91.1%
(03:17) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to BRAHAM, Cortez caught at the NEV46 and advanced to the NEV46 (GREEN, Darius), out of bounds, clock 03:13. PENALTY NEV Holding on LOVELL, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the NEV27 to the NEV17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+5
91.5%
Patrick Garwo III run for 5 yds to the NEV 22Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
91.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 6 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
92.4%
Guy Gillespie punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 1:2293% → 96%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
92.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 11 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
92.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.1%
Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the NEV 40Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
93.2%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+22
92.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 22 yds to the NEV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
93.1%
(00:46) BROSMER, Max pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the NEV3, clock 00:43. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on COATS JR., Michael enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NEV4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.1%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
96.4%
Patrick Garwo III run for 1 yd to the NEV 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 5:004% → 3%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Patrick Garwo III for 6 yds to the NEV 31Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.0%
Patrick Garwo III run for 2 yds to the NEV 33Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.3%
Patrick Garwo III run for 3 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
96.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Kitan Crawford for 6 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
95.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Savion Red run for no gain to the NEV 48Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-6
95.8%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Jack Henderson and Maverick Baranowski for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 42Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+3
96.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 3 yds to the NEV 45Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
96.7%
Guy Gillespie punt for 46 yds, downed at the MINN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 0:4797% → 99%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
96.8%
Minnesota Penalty, Offensive Holding (Aireontae Ersery) to the MINN 4Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 14
OWN 5
0
96.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+15
96.9%
Nevada Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kristopher Ross) to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
99.3%
Darius Taylor run for 80 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 9 yds to the NEV 34Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-10
99.3%
(08:17) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the left incomplete thrown to the NEV50; QB hurried by SMITH, Anthony, clock 08:11. PENALTY NEV Holding on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the NEV34 to the NEV24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
99.5%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Darius Green for a loss of 6 yards to the NEV 22Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+6
99.5%
Guy Gillespie punt for 38 yds , Koi Perich returns for 6 yds to the MINN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 5:18100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.6%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.6%
Marcus Major run for 18 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
99.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Cristian Driver for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 38Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+11
99.7%
Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the NEV 27Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
99.7%
Max Brosmer run for 3 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.7%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the NEV 19Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-4
99.7%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 23Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-9
99.8%
Max Brosmer sacked by Aedan Seiuli for a loss of 9 yards to the NEV 32Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+50
99.8%
Dragan Kesich 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 9 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 5 yds to the NEV 49Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Guy Gillespie punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 21Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-2
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Daniel Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 19Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the NEV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21INT
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:290% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for no gain to the NEV 40Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 12 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the MINN 42Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the MINN 39Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 13 yds to the MINN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the MINN 18Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted, touchback. Ethan Robinson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22END OF GAME
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:36100% → 100%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 20 yds to the NEV 40 for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kitan Crawford) to the NEV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.9%
Marcus Major run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 48Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+12
99.9%
Darius Taylor run for 12 yds to the NEV 36Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the NEV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the NEV 31Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
100.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the NEV 28Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+7
100.0%
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the NEV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
100.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 9 yds to the NEV 12Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+2
100.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NEV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
100.0%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Phillip Daniels) to the NEV 15Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+2
100.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the NEV 13Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
100.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the NEV 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:32
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 4:03
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
+4.7
KEY PLAY · Q1 15:00
pass complete to Jace Henry for 8 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST down
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com