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Prairie View A&M 0 at Michigan State 40

MSU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadPV aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scorePV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:50 · Efren Jasso punt for 50 yds, downed at the MSU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+27.6Home team on offense+32.1Score differential+27.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Blowout margin+14.0Garbage-time factor+8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:13: Aidan Chiles run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK) — PV win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:07: Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 17 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK) — PV win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:45: Nate Carter run for 60 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK) — MSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:42: Cameron Peters pass intercepted Charles Brantley return for 100 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim PAT MISSED) — MSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:24: Jonathan Kim 33 yd FG GOOD — MSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3PV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:24PV 4th & 27 at PV 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23PV 4th & 1 at PV 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:58PV 4th & 9 at MSU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:00MSU 4th & 1 at MSU 12, up 14
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:43PV 4th & 20 at MSU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:24MSU 4th & 8 at PV 15, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:50PV 4th & 11 at PV 39, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:46MSU 4th & 5 at PV 5, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:24PV 4th & 9 at PV 31, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:19PV 4th & 11 at PV 37, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:13MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:07MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:45MSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:42MSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:49MSU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PVDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 2:361% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Connor Wisham run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
99.1%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, False Start (Shemar Savage) to the PV 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+17
99.1%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 17 yds to the PV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.1%
Connor Wisham run for 4 yds to the PV 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 31
-12
99.1%
Cameron Peters sacked by Ken Talley for a loss of 12 yards to the PV 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-8
99.1%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cameron Peters) to the PV 32Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 27
OWN 19
+8
98.9%
Efren Jasso punt for 49 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 8 yds to the MSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 6:1199% → 99%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
98.9%
Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 48Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-4
98.9%
Aidan Chiles run for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 44Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
98.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 11 yds to the PV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
98.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 7 yds to the PV 38Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+8
98.9%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the PV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the PV 25Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
98.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the PV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
98.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the PV 11Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+4
98.9%
Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the PV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 6Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.5%
Aidan Chiles run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:502% → 2%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.5%
PETERS, Cameron pass to the right complete for 6 yards to HERRON, Chris caught at the PV24 and advanced to the PV31 (MARTINEZ, Nikai;TURNER, Jordan). PENALTY PV Holding on SAVAGE, Shemar enforced 10 yards from the PV25 to the PV15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+13
98.5%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 13 yds to the PV 28Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.5%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Christiful Herron for 6 yds to the PV 34Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Efren Jasso punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 31Similar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
98.3%
Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:1699% → 99%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
98.5%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+2
98.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MSU 28Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+34
98.5%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 34 yds to the PV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
98.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 37Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-4
98.6%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the PV 41Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+20
98.5%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 20 yds to the PV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.6%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.6%
Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the PV 17Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+17
98.6%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 17 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:022% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
98.2%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Shemar Savage for 26 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.1%
Scooter Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
98.2%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Efren Jasso punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
98.2%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
98.2%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+9
98.2%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 9 yds to the MSU 12Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Ryan Eckley punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:172% → 2%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
98.1%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 9 yds to the PV 42Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
98.0%
Scooter Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
98.0%
Scooter Adams run for 17 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
98.0%
Scooter Adams run for 4 yds to the MSU 36Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
97.9%
Scooter Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 35Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+26
98.0%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 26 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
97.9%
Prairie View A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 14Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-6
97.9%
Christiful Herron run for a loss of 6 yards to the MSU 20Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
98.0%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
0
98.0%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+37
97.6%
Guillermo Garcia Rodriguez 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:5898% → 99%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MSU 25Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MSU 26Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
98.2%
Aidan Chiles run for 6 yds to the MSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.2%
Nick Marsh run for 8 yds to the MSU 40Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+60
99.2%
Nate Carter run for 60 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 9INT TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:031% → 0%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the PV 27Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.7%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the PV 30Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.7%
PETERS, Cameron pass short to the right intercepted by BRANTLEY, Charles at the PV35. Brantley return for 35 yards to the PV0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:30 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Roughing the Passer on GROSE, Angelo enforced 15 yards from the PV30 to the PV45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.7%
Lamagea McDowell run for 1 yd to the PV 46Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
98.7%
Lamagea McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 45Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
98.7%
PETERS, Cameron sacked for a loss of 5 yards at the PV40 (MATTHEWS, Wayne). PENALTY MSU Face mask on TALLEY, Ken enforced 15 yards from the PV45 to the MSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
98.6%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 7 yds to the MSU 33Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
98.5%
Cameron Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+6
98.6%
Connor Wisham run for 6 yds to the MSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-100
99.6%
Cameron Peters pass intercepted Charles Brantley return for 100 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.7%
Lamagea McDowell run for 3 yds to the PV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 11FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 6:36100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Michael Masunas for 5 yds to the MSU 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.7%
Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 10 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.7%
Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
99.7%
Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.7%
Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the PV 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+33
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Aziah Johnson for 33 yds to the PV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Nick Marsh for 7 yds to the PV 8Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+1
99.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the PV 7Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
CHILES, Aidan pass short to the left incomplete intended for VELLING, Jack thrown to the PV2. PENALTY PV Offsides on COLEMAN JR., Terrell enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the PV7 to the PV3 and results in a 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.7%
Michigan State Penalty, Tripping (Yards) to the PV 5Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
99.7%
QB Keeper CHILES, Aidan rush up the middle for a gain of 17 yards to the PV0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 09:27 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Holding on BALDWIN, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the PV17 to the PV27. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 20
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+12
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 12 yds to the PV 15Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Aidan Chiles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
99.8%
Jonathan Kim 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Cameron Peters sacked by Cal Haladay for a loss of 1 yard to the PV 24Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for 4 yds to the PV 28Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.8%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 12 yds to the PV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for 5 yds to the PV 45Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-3
99.8%
Lamagea McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the PV 42Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
99.8%
Cameron Peters pass complete to Tre'jon Spiller for 7 yds to the PV 49Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-10
99.7%
MCDOWELL, Lamagea rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the PV50 (SPENCER, Malik). PENALTY PV Holding on BOWERS, Caden enforced 10 yards from the PV49 to the PV39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Efren Jasso punt for 50 yds, downed at the MSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 84 yds · 7:04100% → 100%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
99.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the MSU 20Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the MSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jay Coyne for 12 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Antonio Gates Jr. for 4 yds to the MSU 46Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 13 yds to the PV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the PV 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+10
99.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Antonio Gates Jr. for 10 yds to the PV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 15 yds to the PV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
99.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the PV 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-10
99.9%
CARTER, Nate rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the PV12 (SHAW, JR., Steven). PENALTY MSU Holding on SMITH, Jaelen enforced 10 yards from the PV11 to the PV21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Zach Gillespie for 3 yds to the PV 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Zach Gillespie for 13 yds to the PV 5Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.9%
Jonathan Kim 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jamarious Brooks run for no gain to the PV 30Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Jamarious Brooks run for 5 yds to the PV 35Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-4
99.9%
Jamarious Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the PV 31Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+24
99.9%
Efren Jasso punt for 49 yds , Montorie Foster Jr. returns for 24 yds to the MSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:35100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Joseph Martinez run for 1 yd to the MSU 45Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Tommy Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+28
100.0%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Antonio Gates Jr. for 28 yds to the PV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
100.0%
Brandon Tullis run for 4 yds to the PV 23Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+9
100.0%
Brandon Tullis run for 9 yds to the PV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
100.0%
Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PV 19Similar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+12
100.0%
Tommy Schuster pass complete to Brennan Parachek for 12 yds to the PV 7Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+5
100.0%
Makhi Frazier run for 5 yds to the PV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
FRAZIER, Makhi rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the PV4 (KATE, III, James;FAIRROW, Davier). PENALTY PV Offsides on FAIRROW, Davier enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the PV2 to the PV1. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
100.0%
Tommy Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
100.0%
Brandon Tullis run for no gain to the PV 1Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Tommy Schuster run for 1 yd for a TD (Tarik Ahmetbasic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Jalen Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the PV 23Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
100.0%
QB Keeper JOHNSON, Jaden rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the PV20 (SMITH, Armorion). PENALTY MSU Horse Collar Tackle on SMITH, Armorion enforced 15 yards from the PV23 to the PV38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
100.0%
Jalen Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the PV 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 16
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jalen Smith run for no gain to the PV 32Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Jalen Smith run for 5 yds to the PV 37Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Efren Jasso punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Montorie Foster Jr. at the MSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 17END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by MSU at MSU18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:45
Nate Carter run for 60 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 0:42
Cameron Peters pass intercepted Charles Brantley return for 100 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim PAT MISSED)
+1
TD · Q1 6:13
Aidan Chiles run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com