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SDAK

South Dakota 13 at Wisconsin 27

WIS
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+4.2WIS 86.7%Nathanial Vakos 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 20 · Q3 2:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:21 · Nathanial Vakos 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+14.9Home team on offense+11.9Garbage-time factor+5.5Score differential+2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:48: Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 50 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +1.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:07: Nathanial Vakos 24 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:38: Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 35 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK) — SDAK win probability +8.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:21: Nathanial Vakos 50 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +4.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:41: Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +5.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7SDAK made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:13SDAK 4th & 2 at WIS 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:10SDAK 4th & 8 at SDAK 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42SDAK 4th & 8 at WIS 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 25, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:14SDAK 4th & 7 at WIS 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:07WIS 4th & 2 at SDAK 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.2
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:07WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:50SDAK 4th & 7 at WIS 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:06SDAK 4th & 15 at WIS 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−6.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:21WIS 4th & 8 at SDAK 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:27SDAK 4th & 1 at SDAK 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:29WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:40SDAK 4th & 9 at SDAK 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:41WIS 4th & 1 at SDAK 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−3.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−12.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:18SDAK 4th & 15 at SDAK 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SDAK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:03WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:38SDAK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:41WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4491% → 91%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the WIS 33 Chez Mellusi fumbled, recovered by WIS return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+32
90.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 32 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
90.8%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Mi'Quise Grace for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 38Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+6
90.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+22
90.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 22 yds to the SDAK 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
90.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the SDAK 9Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
90.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:509% → 10%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.6%
South Dakota Penalty, Delay Of Game (Roman Tillmon) to the SDAK 20Similar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+25
90.6%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 25 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
90.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Quaron Adams for 4 yds to the SDAK 49Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
90.3%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the WIS 48Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+1
90.2%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
90.2%
Tyler Ebel punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5390% → 90%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.3%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the WIS 22Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
90.2%
Cade Yacamelli run for 11 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
90.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
90.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
89.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds, downed at the SDAK 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5110% → 10%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
89.9%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
89.9%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 2 yds to the SDAK 14Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
90.0%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
90.0%
Tyler Ebel punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:1490% → 92%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
90.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
90.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 2
50
+50
91.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 50 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 4:069% → 9%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
91.0%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 16 yds to the SDAK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
90.8%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 40Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
90.9%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 5 yds to the SDAK 45Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
90.9%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 7 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
90.5%
Aidan Bouman sacked by Darryl Peterson for a loss of 7 yards to the SDAK 45Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 17
OWN 45
0
90.7%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+9
90.8%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 9 yds to the WIS 46Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
90.8%
Tyler Ebel punt for 41 yds, downed at the WIS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3591% → 91%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
91.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+9
91.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 9 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
91.4%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 13Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+2
91.3%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 2 yds to the WIS 15Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+10
91.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 10 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+13
91.0%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 53 yds , Carter Bell returns for 13 yds to the SDAK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 8FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:389% → 11%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.6%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 38Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+24
90.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 24 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.2%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
90.2%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Tristan Michaud for 10 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
89.7%
Carter Bell run for 2 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
89.7%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the WIS 23Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-5
90.1%
South Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 28Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+17
90.8%
Travis Theis run for 17 yds to the WIS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
90.3%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 12Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 11
OPP 12
0
90.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+4
90.7%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 4 yds to the WIS 8Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
89.4%
Will Leyland 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:0190% → 93%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.2%
(07:08) VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the left complete for 11 yards to PAULING, Will caught at the WIS36 and advanced to the WIS36 (GANUES, Josiah), clock 06:58. PENALTY WIS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRUNNER, Joe enforced 5 yards from the WIS25 to the WIS20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+29
90.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 29 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
90.6%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the SDAK 48Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
90.7%
Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the SDAK 44Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
90.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the SDAK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the SDAK 33Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
91.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the SDAK 31Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+5
90.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the SDAK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
91.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 4 yds to the SDAK 22Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
91.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 7 yds to the SDAK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
91.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the SDAK 11Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-2
91.5%
Tyler Van Dyke run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDAK 13Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+6
91.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 6 yds to the SDAK 7Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
92.6%
Nathanial Vakos 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.7%
(00:07) Kneel down by BOUMAN, Aidan at USD23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:228% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.6%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDAK 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
91.2%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 13 yds to the SDAK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
91.1%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 17 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
90.6%
Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Elijah Hills) to the WIS 35Similar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+35
82.4%
Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 35 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2386% → 84%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
86.0%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 4 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
86.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-7
85.5%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Nick Gaes for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 24Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
84.4%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:1815% → 16%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
84.8%
Carter Bell run for 8 yds to the SDAK 39Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
83.4%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
83.9%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDAK 48Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-5
82.9%
South Dakota Penalty, False Start (JJ Galbreath) to the SDAK 43Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+18
83.7%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 18 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
82.3%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
82.4%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the WIS 36Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
82.1%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+28
83.7%
Tyler Ebel punt for 28 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for no gain to the WIS 8 , returns for no gain to the WIS 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 14FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3620% → 20%
Q3 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.3%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
80.2%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 7Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
81.3%
Aidan Bouman sacked by Elijah Hills for a loss of 8 yards to the WIS 15Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.9%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
80.5%
Will Leyland 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:4081% → 87%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
80.6%
Cade Yacamelli run for 14 yds to the WIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
81.3%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 2 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+21
81.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 21 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
83.1%
(03:24) VAN DYKE, Tyler pass to the right complete for 8 yards to GREEN, Bryson caught at the USD37 and advanced to the USD37 (MCKELVEY, Teven), out of bounds, clock 03:21. PENALTY USD Holding on HARDMAN, Gabriel enforced 10 yards from the USD45 to the USD35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
83.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 2 yds to the SDAK 33Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
82.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
86.7%
Nathanial Vakos 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4617% → 15%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Keyondray Jones-Logan for 4 yds to the SDAK 29Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
82.8%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
84.3%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 2 yds to the SDAK 34Similar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.8%
Tyler Ebel punt for 39 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 3 yds to the WIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5088% → 88%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
88.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-5
89.3%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 34Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
90.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
88.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
87.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDAK 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5516% → 15%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
84.0%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
85.0%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 6 yds to the SDAK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.7%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.8%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 39Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
86.7%
Tyler Ebel punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
85.3%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:4289% → 96%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
88.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 8 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST down South Dakota Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on MCKELVEY, Teven enforced (Teven McKelvey) to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+22
90.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 7 yds to the SDAK 49 for a 1ST down South Dakota Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Teven McKelvey) to the SDAK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
90.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the SDAK 29Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+15
90.4%
South Dakota Penalty, Targeting on SHORTER, Dennis enforced (Dennis Shorter) to the SDAK 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
91.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
91.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the SDAK 9Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+5
91.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the SDAK 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
91.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 3 yds to the SDAK 1Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.8%
South Dakota Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SDAK 0 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.8%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the SDAK 1Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:156% → 5%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.4%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 4 yds to the SDAK 29Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
94.5%
Aidan Bouman sacked by Christian Alliegro for a loss of 9 yards to the SDAK 20Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
95.3%
Tyler Ebel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:4497% → 99%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
97.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 9 yds to the SDAK 48Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+1
97.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 1 yd to the SDAK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
97.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 5 yds to the SDAK 42Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
97.4%
Darrion Dupree run for 6 yds to the SDAK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
97.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the SDAK 28Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
97.9%
Dilin Jones run for no gain to the SDAK 28Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
97.8%
Dilin Jones run for 3 yds to the SDAK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 3 yds to the SDAK 22Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
98.2%
Darrion Dupree run for 4 yds to the SDAK 18Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+5
98.6%
Darrion Dupree run for 5 yds to the SDAK 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
98.7%
Dilin Jones run for 6 yds to the SDAK 7Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+5
98.7%
Dilin Jones run for 5 yds to the SDAK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:38
Keyondray Jones-Logan run for 35 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q4 7:41
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+5.6
FG · Q3 2:21
Nathanial Vakos 50 yd FG GOOD
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com