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BGSU

Bowling Green 27 at Penn State 34

PSU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:20 · John Henderson punt for 48 yds , Kaden Saunders returns for a loss of 7 yards to the PSU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+31.4Home team on offense−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential−2.6Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:32: Jamal Johnson run for 41 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:10: Sander Sahaydak 28 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PSU +2 timeouts on the defense).
  3. TD · Q3 6:13: Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 14 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK) — PSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:09: Nicholas Singleton run for 41 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK) — PSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:47: Jackson Kleather 42 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 4:50BGSU 4th & 1 at PSU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:31PSU 4th & 18 at PSU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:29BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:28PSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 26, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:10PSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:20BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:14BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:14PSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:01BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:03PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−3.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:09PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:47BGSU 4th & 4 at PSU 24, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.7%−1.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:39BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:14PSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:48BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:48PSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:32BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:13PSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:09PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
98.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 30 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.4%
Justin Pegues run for 4 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+6
98.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
98.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 29 yds to the PSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2598% → 98%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 12 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+26
98.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 26 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
98.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 17 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
98.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the BGSU 5Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.9%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:242% → 3%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.9%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
97.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
97.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.8%
Justin Pegues run for no gain to the PSU 46Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
97.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the PSU 39Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+15
97.8%
BAZELAK, Connor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Rahkeem thrown to the PSU19. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on MILLER, Cam enforced 15 yards to the PSU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 1 yd to the PSU 23Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
97.8%
Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the PSU 20Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+5
97.8%
Penn State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the PSU 15Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
97.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+33
96.9%
Jackson Kleather 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 28Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
96.9%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-11
96.8%
ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the right complete for 16 yards to WALLACE III, Harrison caught at the PSU44 and advanced to the PSU44, out of bounds. PENALTY PSU Holding on SHELTON, Drew enforced 11 yards from the PSU28 to the PSU17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
96.8%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
96.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 56 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the BGSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:433% → 7%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BGSU 27Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
96.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 6 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+6
96.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+14
95.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 14 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.4%
Harold Fannin Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+32
95.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 32 yds to the PSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
95.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the PSU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-5
95.3%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 15Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+15
93.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0093% → 95%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
93.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 22 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
93.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 24 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
95.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 29 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:195% → 7%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
94.5%
Bowling Green Penalty, Offsides (Finn Hogan) to the BGSU 29Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
94.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for no gain to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
94.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
93.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
93.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:0194% → 94%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
94.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+6
94.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
94.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
94.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-2
94.2%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 26Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
93.7%
Sander Sahaydak 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:567% → 14%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
92.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 18 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
91.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+41
85.8%
Jamal Johnson run for 41 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2288% → 89%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 28Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+30
87.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 30 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
87.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 15 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
88.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the BGSU 26Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+14
88.4%
Drew Allar run for 14 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
88.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the BGSU 9Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
88.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the BGSU 9Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-2
86.0%
Drew Allar run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 11Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
88.5%
Sander Sahaydak 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.4%
[NH] Kneel down by BAZELAK, Connor at BGS23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 3:1387% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.3%
Beau Pribula run for 8 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
88.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 13 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
88.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
88.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-23
88.0%
Drew Allar sacked by Charles Rosser for a loss of 23 yards to the PSU 25Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 31
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2717% → 17%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
83.5%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 25Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
83.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 5 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
83.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 6
OWN 30
-7
83.3%
John Henderson punt for 48 yds , Kaden Saunders returns for a loss of 7 yards to the PSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 4:0783% → 90%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
82.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the PSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
82.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 29 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
85.0%
Drew Allar sacked by Myles Bradley and Jordan Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 14
50
+23
83.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 23 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
85.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the BGSU 21Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+4
85.9%
Beau Pribula run for 4 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
85.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Julian Fleming for 3 yds to the BGSU 14Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
89.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 14 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:5414% → 12%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
86.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-5
87.1%
Bowling Green Penalty, False Start (Alex Padgett) to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+2
87.5%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
88.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
88.2%
John Henderson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaden Saunders at the PSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 5:1488% → 87%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
88.1%
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PSU 45Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
88.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 7 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
89.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-15
89.2%
Penn State Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Omari Evans) to the PSU 40Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+5
87.8%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 45Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+12
87.3%
Drew Allar run for 12 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+5
88.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 5 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
89.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 26 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
87.1%
Drew Allar pass intercepted Jacorey Benjamin return for 3 yds to the BGSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5915% → 16%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
84.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+5
85.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+9
85.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
84.0%
Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the BGSU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-3
84.3%
BAZELAK, Connor pass to the right complete for 3 yards to JOHNSON JR., Malcolm caught at the BGS12 and advanced to the BGS20 (REED, Jaylen;ELSDON, Tyler). PENALTY BGS Holding on HOGAN, Finn enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the BGS17 to the BGS9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 9
+10
85.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 10 yds to the BGSU 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
84.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
84.4%
John Henderson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5886% → 83%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
85.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
85.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the BGSU 48 Penn State Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the PSU 37Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+4
84.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 41Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
84.2%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
82.9%
Riley Thompson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19INT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2719% → 21%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
81.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 20Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+5
82.1%
Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Amin Vanover) to the BGSU 25Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+8
81.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
80.7%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BGSU 33Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
81.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+3
78.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 3 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.2%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Tony Rojas return for no gain to the PSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2784% → 82%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 39Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
83.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 42Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
83.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
82.0%
Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:5316% → 12%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
84.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
84.4%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 14Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
88.3%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Zakee Wheatley return for no gain to the BGSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
95.6%
Nicholas Singleton run for 41 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:224% → 10%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
96.0%
Justin Pegues run for 14 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.6%
Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the BGSU 49Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
95.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the PSU 47Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+6
96.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
96.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
95.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the PSU 25Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
95.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the PSU 24Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
95.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
89.9%
Jackson Kleather 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
97.0%
[SG] Kneel down by ALLAR, Drew at PSU44 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:09
Nicholas Singleton run for 41 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 3:32
Jamal Johnson run for 41 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-5.9
FG · Q4 0:47
Jackson Kleather 42 yd FG GOOD
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com