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COLO

Colorado 10 at Nebraska 28

NEB
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:30 · Mark Vassett punt for 54 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+6.3Score differential+1.7Pregame prior+14.5Garbage-time factor+0.3Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:46: Tommi Hill 7 Yd Interception Return (Tristan Alvano Kick) — NEB win probability +3.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:44: Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +10.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:40: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:54: Jace Feely kickoff for 61 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. return for 19 yds to the NEB 23 — COLO win probability +4.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:46: Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 24 — NEB win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9COLO made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:56COLO 4th & 19 at COLO 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31COLO 4th & 1 at NEB 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57NEB 4th & 7 at COLO 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:30COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:33COLO 4th & 6 at NEB 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:25COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:24NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 29, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:24NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 29, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:38COLO 4th & 10 at NEB 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:44NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 33, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:00COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:00COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 41, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:54NEB 4th & 14 at COLO 40, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:51COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:49NEB 4th & 25 at COLO 43, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:02NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:56COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:34NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:46NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:44NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:40NEB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:45COLO Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5629% → 29%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
70.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-9
70.8%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 12Similar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 19
OWN 12
+12
70.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 12 yds to the COLO 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:0371% → 72%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
70.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 49Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+2
70.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the COLO 49Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+12
70.5%
Dylan Raiola run for 12 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
70.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 8 yds to the COLO 29Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+4
70.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 4 yds to the COLO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
70.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 13 yds to the COLO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
72.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 12 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4429% → 29%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-11
71.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Nash Hutmacher for a loss of 11 yards to the NEB 48Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 21
OPP 48
+10
71.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 10 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+10
71.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 10 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
71.4%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 2 yds to the NEB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:2772% → 72%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
72.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 28Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+4
71.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 4 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-3
71.9%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 7 yds to the NEB 39 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Neyor) to the NEB 29Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+9
71.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 9 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
72.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-7
75.3%
Tommi Hill 7 Yd Interception Return (Tristan Alvano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0625% → 24%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
75.1%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by MJ Sherman for a loss of 5 yards to the COLO 20Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
75.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the COLO 25Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
75.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:1577% → 77%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
77.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 9 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
77.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the COLO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
77.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the COLO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
77.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLO 32Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+15
78.0%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep left to Fidone II,Thomas thrown to CU 00 PENALTY CU Pass Interference (Silmon-Craig,Cam'Ron) 15 yards from CU 32 to CU 17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
78.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the COLO 15Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
78.3%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Dowdell,Dante rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CU 03 (Silmon-Craig,Cam'Ron) PENALTY NEB Holding (Benhart,Bryce) 10 yards from CU 15 to CU 25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+5
78.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 5 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+6
77.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 6 yds to the COLO 14Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
77.4%
Tristan Alvano 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:1924% → 22%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
76.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the COLO 24Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
76.2%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the COLO 23Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
77.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 9 yds to the COLO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
76.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Sav'ell Smalls for 2 yds to the COLO 34Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-2
77.0%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 32Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
77.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 4:2679% → 91%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
78.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 13 yds to the NEB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
78.9%
PENALTY CU Offside (Barnes Jr.,Anquin) 5 yards from NEB27 to NEB32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 5
OWN 32
0
79.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
79.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
78.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
80.2%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short right to Banks,Jahmal thrown to NEB48 PENALTY CU Personal Foul (Barnes Jr.,Anquin) 15 yards from NEB38 to CU 47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
80.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 7 yds to the COLO 40Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
80.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLO 39Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
79.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+36
80.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 36 yds to the COLO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 2:5612% → 11%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 6 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+28
88.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 28 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.7%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
87.9%
(05:33) PENALTY CU False Start (Brown,Tyler) 5 yards from NEB41 to NEB46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+19
88.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 19 yds to the NEB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
87.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 11 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
88.3%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 4 yds to the NEB 12Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
88.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
89.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
89.4%
Alejandro Mata 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ty RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1593% → 92%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
92.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 5 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
92.8%
Dylan Raiola run for 1 yd to the NEB 24Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
92.6%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
92.2%
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the COLO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:349% → 9%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
91.0%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 4 yds to the COLO 33Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-10
90.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,Shedeur pass incomplete short right to Wester,LaJohntay thrown to CU 36 PENALTY CU Holding (Zilinskas,Hank) 10 yards from CU 33 to CU 23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+2
91.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 2 yds to the COLO 25Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 14
OWN 25
-5
91.3%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Sanders,Shedeur sacked for loss of 17 yards to the CU 08 (Umanmielen,Princewill) PENALTY NEB Offside (Williams,James) 5 yards from CU 25 to CU 30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:2993% → 98%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
93.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 6 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+31
93.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 16 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Targeting (Trevor Woods) to the COLO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
93.7%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short right to Banks,Jahmal thrown to CU 16 PENALTY CU Pass Interference (McKinney,D.J.) 15 yards from CU 33 to CU 18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
97.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:343% → 2%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
97.2%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 14 yds to the COLO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
96.9%
Shedeur Sanders run for 3 yds to the COLO 46Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+11
97.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 11 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+61
97.7%
Jace Feely 61 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:2298% → 98%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
98.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 24Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
98.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+5
98.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 5 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+14
98.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 14 yds to the COLO 41Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+14
98.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 14 yds to the COLO 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:231% → 3%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
98.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
98.6%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 9 yds to the NEB 36Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+30
98.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 30 yds to the NEB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
98.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 10Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
96.8%
Alejandro Mata 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3697% → 98%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
97.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 14 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
97.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
97.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for no gain to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
97.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+1
97.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 54 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 1 yd to the COLO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:393% → 2%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
97.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+21
97.5%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 21 yds to the COLO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
97.5%
Shedeur Sanders sacked by Princewill Umanmielen for a loss of 6 yards to the COLO 35Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+6
97.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 6 yds to the COLO 41Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 4 yds to the NEB 16Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.0%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 4 yds to the NEB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:5798% → 99%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
98.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the NEB 10Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+12
98.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 12 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
98.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 28Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+4
98.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
98.8%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 31Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-9
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 1 yd to the NEB 32 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NEB 22Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 20
OWN 22
-4
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 6 yds to the NEB 28 Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NEB 18Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 24
OWN 18
+25
98.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 25 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
99.1%
Jacory Barney Jr. run for 21 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the COLO 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-5
99.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the COLO 40Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
99.3%
Dylan Raiola punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 8 yds to the COLO 28Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
99.1%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the COLO 29Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Shedeur Sanders run for no gain to the COLO 29Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+1
99.2%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the COLO 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the COLO 31Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+3
99.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the COLO 28Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+10
99.5%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short right to Neyor,Isaiah caught at CU 26, for 6 yards to the CU 22 (Hunter,Travis) PENALTY NEB Holding (Evans,Justin) 10 yards from CU 28 to CU 38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 20
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 20
OPP 38
+5
99.5%
PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game 5 yards from CU 38 to CU 43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 25
OPP 43
+1
99.5%
Brian Buschini punt blocked by BJ Green II, punt out-of-bounds at the COLO 42 blocked by BJ Green IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:531% → 4%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
99.4%
Dallan Hayden run for 17 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+21
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 21 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
99.4%
Nebraska Penalty, Targeting (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.4%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 5Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.1%
Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 11 yds · 4:1298% → 99%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
97.9%
Dylan Raiola run for 4 yds to the NEB 17Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+3
98.0%
Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-1
98.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 9 yds to the NEB 29 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rahmir Johnson) to the NEB 19Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+15
98.3%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep middle to Banks,Jahmal thrown to NEB50 PENALTY CU Roughing The Passer (Green,B.J.) 15 yards from NEB19 to NEB34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
98.4%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Fidone II,Thomas) 5 yards from NEB34 to NEB29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+2
98.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-12
98.3%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson,Rahmir rush left for 0 yards to the NEB31, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Holding (Scott,Ben) 12 yards from NEB31 to NEB19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+2
98.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 25
OWN 19
+6
98.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 6 yds to the NEB 25Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 19
OWN 25
+7
98.6%
Dante Dowdell run for 7 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for no gain to the COLO 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:142% → 2%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
98.1%
Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the COLO 15Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+3
98.0%
Ryan Staub run for 3 yds to the COLO 18Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
98.1%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.1%
Ryan Staub pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
98.2%
Ryan Staub run for 9 yds to the COLO 30Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Ryan Staub pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+3
98.0%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
98.0%
Ryan Staub sacked by Willis McGahee IV for a loss of 8 yards to the COLO 25 Ryan Staub fumbled, recovered by NEB Jimari Butler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 5 yds to the COLO 20Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
99.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the COLO 19Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-2
99.6%
D. Raiola takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:44
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+10.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:46
Dante Dowdell run for 1 yd to the NEB 24
+5
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:54
Jace Feely kickoff for 61 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. return for 19 yds to the NEB 23
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com