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ISU

Iowa State 20 at Iowa 19

IOWA
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+7.4IOWA 76.5%Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 13 · Q2 1:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:11 · Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+13.9Pregame prior+4.2Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9Score differential+5.0Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:11: Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +7.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:48: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +15.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:47: Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — IOWA win probability +11.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:36: Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +19.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:06: Kyle Konrardy 54 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +61.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:06IOWA 4th & 10 at ISU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:18ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:03IOWA 4th & 8 at ISU 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:38IOWA 4th & 5 at ISU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:41ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:11IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:20ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:40IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 26, up 10
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:05ISU 4th & 5 at IOWA 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:11IOWA 4th & 3 at ISU 3, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−7.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:34ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:13IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 28, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−2.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:04ISU 4th & 3 at IOWA 49, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:37IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 11, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−6.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:32ISU 4th & 5 at IOWA 28, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−11.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:48IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 37, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−3.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:48ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 36, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−1.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:19IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−6.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:53ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 20, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:39IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−7.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:29IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:48ISU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:47IOWA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:36ISU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:5358% → 58%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
58.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 6 yds to the IOWA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
58.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Hayden Large for 10 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jacob Gill for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 6
50
+5
58.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
58.6%
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
58.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 43Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+4
58.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Zach Ortwerth for 4 yds to the ISU 39Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
58.7%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
58.3%
Rhys Dakin punt for 38 yds, downed at the ISU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:3542% → 41%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
58.4%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 4Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+5
58.4%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the ISU 9Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 9
-4
58.5%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Jarrod Hufford) to the ISU 5Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-3
58.4%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the ISU 2Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+3
58.4%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 5Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+9
58.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 47 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 9 yds to the ISU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:4459% → 62%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
59.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jacob Gill for 16 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
62.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:1139% → 37%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.3%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
61.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 6 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
61.5%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Jarrod Hufford) to the ISU 28Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
62.2%
Rocco Becht sacked by Max Llewellyn for a loss of 7 yards to the ISU 21Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+4
62.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 46 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 4 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0663% → 63%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
62.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jacob Gill for 21 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
63.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
63.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for no gain to the ISU 40Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
63.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
62.9%
Rhys Dakin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:0237% → 36%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
62.7%
Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the ISU 11Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 4
OWN 11
0
62.9%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 11Similar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 4
OWN 11
-5
63.6%
Rocco Becht pass intercepted Jayden Higgins return for 5 yds to the ISU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:1165% → 64%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
64.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the ISU 12Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
65.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+11
64.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 11 yds to the ISU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
65.0%
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 4Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
65.3%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Terrell Washington Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 5Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
64.4%
Drew Stevens 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5635% → 33%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.3%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
65.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
66.0%
(12:58) BECHT, Rocco pass to the left incomplete intended for GREEN, Eli broken up by HALL, TJ at the ISU35, clock 12:54. PENALTY UI Roughing the Passer on HIGGINS, Jay enforced 15 yards from the ISU28 to the ISU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
64.6%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 44Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
64.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 2 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+3
64.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 3 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 4
OWN 49
-5
65.7%
Iowa State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Beni Ngoyi) to the ISU 44Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
66.8%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3565% → 66%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
65.4%
Kamari Moulton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 14Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
65.2%
Kamari Moulton run for 3 yds to the IOWA 17Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
64.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
64.3%
Rhys Dakin punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 41Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
66.2%
(09:02) BECHT, Rocco pass short to the right complete for 3 yards to BRAHMER, Benjamin caught at the ISU44 and advanced to the ISU44 (SCHULTE, Quinn), out of bounds, clock 08:55. PENALTY Before the snap, ISU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the ISU41 to the ISU36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1233% → 32%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+4
67.5%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
67.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 6 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
66.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
68.3%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3467% → 67%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
67.3%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
67.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 25Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+1
67.1%
Cade McNamara run for 1 yd to the IOWA 26Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
66.8%
Rhys Dakin punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2731% → 30%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.8%
Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
67.8%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
68.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
67.4%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 7
50
+2
67.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 2 yds to the IOWA 48Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
68.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
69.7%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
13 plays · 77 yds · 1:4570% → 77%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.0%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+37
70.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 37 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
76.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 26 yds to the ISU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
75.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 9 yds to the ISU 5Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
73.9%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
71.8%
Hayden Large run for 2 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.8%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.3%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the ISU 3Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
69.1%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
76.5%
Drew Stevens 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:0921% → 25%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
78.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 17 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
77.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
76.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
76.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+15
78.2%
(00:36) GILBERT, Jace punt 33 yards to the UI19 downed, clock 00:30. PENALTY UI Roughing the Kicker on HILSON, Deavin enforced 15 yards from the ISU48 to the UI37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.2%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
76.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 12 yds to the IOWA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
75.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 2 yds to the IOWA 23Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+41
75.0%
Kyle Konrardy 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1622% → 20%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
78.4%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 11Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
79.1%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+6
79.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the ISU 17Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 17
-5
79.7%
Iowa State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jontez Williams) to the ISU 12Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
79.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.4%
Cade McNamara pass intercepted Darien Porter return for no gain to the ISU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3121% → 36%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.1%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 29Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
79.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 3 yds Carson Hansen fumbled, recovered by ISUSimilar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+28
80.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 28 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
78.8%
Abu Sama III run for 10 yds to the IOWA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
78.9%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the IOWA 30Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+21
79.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 21 yds to the IOWA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
79.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 2Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
79.5%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 3Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:5471% → 86%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+54
70.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 54 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
74.2%
Kamari Moulton run for 1 yd to the ISU 24Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
74.4%
Kamari Moulton run for 6 yds to the ISU 18Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
73.5%
Kamari Moulton run for 4 yds to the ISU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
74.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 5 yds to the ISU 9Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
75.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jacob Gill for 6 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
66.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2069% → 67%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
68.1%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
67.1%
Rhys Dakin punt for 40 yds, downed at the ISU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:0134% → 35%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
65.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
63.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
63.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
62.7%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 4
50
+1
63.1%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the IOWA 49Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
65.2%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2270% → 68%
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
70.0%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 13Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-2
69.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 11Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 12
OWN 11
0
69.3%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 12
OWN 11
0
68.4%
Rhys Dakin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:5737% → 38%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
63.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds to the IOWA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
61.1%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
60.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 1 yd to the IOWA 28Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
62.4%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
61.7%
Kyle Konrardy 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3567% → 64%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
67.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+3
65.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 3 yds to the IOWA 37Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
65.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
63.7%
Rhys Dakin punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:5536% → 36%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
63.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the ISU 25Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
62.5%
Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
63.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for no gain to the ISU 29Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
65.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 31Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+5
66.3%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ISU 36Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+19
64.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 53 yds , Kaden Wetjen returns for 19 yds to the IOWA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:1967% → 72%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
67.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
66.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for 8 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+2
72.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
74.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Reece Vander Zee for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
50
+1
76.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the ISU 49Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-7
77.6%
Cade McNamara sacked by J.R. Singleton for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 44Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
73.6%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
71.9%
Rhys Dakin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2232% → 28%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
68.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
70.7%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
71.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kaden Wetjen at the IOWA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28PUNT
12 plays · 8 yds · 2:1176% → 86%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
75.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the IOWA 40Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
78.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 42Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
81.3%
Cade McNamara run for 2 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
83.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 47Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-1
82.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 46Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
80.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 46Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
85.0%
Rhys Dakin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 22Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 8
OWN 46
-5
85.8%
Iowa Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 29FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:2727% → 94%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
73.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
72.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 30 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
66.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 2 yds to the IOWA 36Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
67.5%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+54
6.0%
Kyle Konrardy 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 30INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
17.3%
Cade McNamara pass intercepted Darien Porter return for 5 yds to the ISU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:06
Kyle Konrardy 54 yd FG GOOD
-61.5
TD · Q3 4:36
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)
-19.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com