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WMU

Western Michigan 14 at Wisconsin 28

WIS
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2024 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:37 · Ryan Millmore punt for 53 yds, downed at the WIS 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Pregame prior+42.7Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:02: Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +7.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:15: Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +18.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:05: Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WMU 16 — WIS win probability +10.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:35: Tawee Walker run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Van Dyke pass to Trech Kekahuna for Two-Point Conversion) — WIS win probability +26.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:17: Tyler Van Dyke run for 6 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:37WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    92.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57WIS 4th & 9 at WMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:19WMU 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:02WMU 4th & 1 at WIS 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00WIS 4th & 10 at WMU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:56WIS 4th & 6 at WMU 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:13WMU 4th & 8 at WIS 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:12WMU 4th & 6 at WIS 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:27WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:50WMU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%−4.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:54WMU 4th & 14 at WIS 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:48WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:02WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:15WMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:35WIS Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:17WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:177% → 7%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
93.1%
Hayden Wolff run for 1 yd to the WMU 28Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.0%
Ryan Millmore punt for 53 yds, downed at the WIS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2MISSED FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:3393% → 91%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
93.0%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the WIS 20Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
92.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 8 yds to the WIS 28Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+5
92.7%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
92.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Tawee Walker for 3 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
92.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
92.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+4
92.1%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
92.1%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 5 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
92.1%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+10
92.0%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 10 yds to the WMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
91.9%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+14
91.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 14 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
91.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the WMU 18Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
91.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
91.2%
Nathanial Vakos 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:329% → 10%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
91.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 9 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
90.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 8 yds to the WMU 43Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
90.4%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 3 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
90.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the WMU 48Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
89.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Chris Toudle for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 6
50
0
89.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 6
50
0
89.9%
Ryan Millmore punt for 43 yds, downed at the WIS 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
17 plays · 93 yds · 6:2990% → 91%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
89.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the WIS 15Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 15
0
89.8%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
89.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
89.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 10 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
89.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 9 yds to the WIS 37Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+12
89.7%
Cade Yacamelli run for 12 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 9
50
+10
89.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 10 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
89.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the WMU 34Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
89.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+4
89.3%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 4 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
89.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
89.2%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 6 yds to the WMU 21Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
88.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
88.6%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
90.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5TD
18 plays · 78 yds · 8:4010% → 20%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
89.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 4 yds to the WMU 26Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+11
89.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 11 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.2%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 39Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+24
89.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 24 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
88.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
87.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
88.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 8 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
87.6%
Jordin Parker run for 5 yds to the WIS 21Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+7
87.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the WIS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
87.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WIS 13Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+8
86.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 8 yds to the WIS 5Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
87.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WIS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.4%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.3%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.7%
Hayden Wolff run for no gain to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 2:5284% → 84%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
83.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
83.5%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
82.2%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+8
82.9%
Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
82.7%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+13
82.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
82.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Bryson Green for 11 yds to the WMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
83.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
83.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+13
82.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 13 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
83.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-5
82.5%
Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMU 21Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
83.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+5
81.3%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 5 yds to the WMU 16Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
83.9%
Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:4785% → 86%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
84.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WIS 39Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
85.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
85.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 1 yd to the WMU 46Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+17
84.5%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 17 yds to the WMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
85.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
85.2%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 30Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+14
83.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 14 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
84.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the WMU 14Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+8
84.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 8 yds to the WMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
84.8%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Jake Renfro) to the WMU 11Similar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
84.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the WMU 2Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
84.5%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMU 6Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
85.8%
Nathanial Vakos 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:4316% → 18%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.9%
Hayden Wolff run for no gain to the WMU 25Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
83.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 17 yds to the WMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
82.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+23
82.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 23 yds to the WIS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.3%
Anthony Sambucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
79.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
80.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for no gain to the WIS 31Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
81.9%
Palmer Domschke 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5385% → 84%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
84.8%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the WIS 36Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
85.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 7 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
86.9%
Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Isaiah Green for a loss of 9 yards to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
85.2%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 19
OWN 34
0
84.3%
Tyler Van Dyke run for no gain to the WIS 34 fumbled, recovered by WMU Tyson Lee T. Lee return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:4523% → 44%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
77.1%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
76.8%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+4
78.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 4 yds to the WIS 30Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+26
79.5%
Palmer Domschke run for 26 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
75.3%
Broc Lowry run for 2 yds to the WIS 2Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.9%
(14:17) WOLFF, Hayden pass short to the right incomplete intended for BOSMA, Blake thrown to the WIS0, clock 14:19. PENALTY Before the snap, WIS Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the WIS2 to the WIS1. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.3%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3464% → 58%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
63.9%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the WIS 26Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
63.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
63.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
62.9%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 30Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
59.4%
Tyler Van Dyke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+50
57.9%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 50 yds , DaShon Bussell returns for no gain to the WMU 20 , returns for no gain to the WMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:3068% → 91%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
68.2%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WMU 16Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
68.0%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 4 yds to the WMU 12Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
64.7%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the WMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.1%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Van Dyke pass to Trech Kekahuna for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4514% → 16%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.9%
Western Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (DaShon Bussell) to the WMU 20Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
86.1%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 9 yds to the WMU 29Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
85.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 12 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
83.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 47Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
82.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 48Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
82.7%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 1
50
0
83.8%
Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:3191% → 99%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
50
+6
91.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+4
91.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
91.9%
Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+13
92.3%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 13 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
92.7%
Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Pauling for 14 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
92.7%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the WMU 2Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
93.9%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMU 6Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.7%
Tyler Van Dyke run for 6 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:174% → 4%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
95.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 22 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
95.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 15 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
94.9%
(02:26) WOLFF, Hayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MORTIMER, Bugs thrown to the WIS12, clock 02:19. PENALTY WMI Holding on KUSHI, Tedi enforced 10 yards from the WIS38 to the WIS48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-6
95.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Elijah Hills for a loss of 6 yards to the WMU 46Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 26
OWN 46
+12
96.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 12 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Xavier Lucas return for no gain to the WIS 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16END OF GAME
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.0%
Cade Yacamelli run for 7 yds to the WIS 29Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+12
99.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 12 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.1%
Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the WIS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:35
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Van Dyke pass to Trech Kekahuna for Two-Point Conversion)
+26.4
TD · Q4 14:15
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)
-18.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:05
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the WMU 16
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com