Try the model
HOW

Howard 7 at Rutgers 44

RUTG
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · SHI Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+28.2Garbage-time factor+12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.8Blowout margin+12.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:51: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 2 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: Eden James run for 2 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK) — HOW win probability +2.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:04: Jai Patel 36 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +0.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:06: Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:33: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 34 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 5HOW made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:01RUTG 4th & 6 at HOW 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27HOW 4th & 7 at HOW 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56RUTG 4th & 1 at HOW 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:20HOW 4th & 7 at HOW 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:44RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:51HOW 4th & 6 at HOW 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:51HOW 4th & 2 at RUTG 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:07HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:24RUTG 4th & 1 at HOW 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:53HOW 4th & 3 at HOW 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:32HOW 4th & 1 at RUTG 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:08HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:13RUTG 4th & 1 at HOW 13, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:15HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 31, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HOW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:53RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:51RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:40HOW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:06RUTG Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:33RUTG Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:16RUTG Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4898% → 98%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
98.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 12 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
98.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the HOW 47Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
98.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
98.3%
Jakob Anderson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 2INT TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:432% → 2%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.2%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the HOW 10Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.2%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Nathanial Clark for 5 yds to the HOW 15Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+8
98.1%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 8 yds to the HOW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.0%
Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 26Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+18
98.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 18 yds to the HOW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.9%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 4 yds to the HOW 48Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
97.8%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 47Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-52
97.9%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass intercepted Eric Rogers return for 52 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:152% → 2%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.9%
Eden James run for 11 yds to the HOW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.9%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Eden James for 6 yds to the HOW 42Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
97.8%
Eden James run for 2 yds to the HOW 44Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-5
97.7%
Howard Penalty, Offsides (-5 Yards) to the HOW 39Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Jaydon Green punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 6:2198% → 97%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 20Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
97.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 15 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
97.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 10 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the RUTG 46Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+10
97.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 10 yds to the HOW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
97.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the HOW 35Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
97.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the HOW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
97.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the HOW 26Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
97.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the HOW 24Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
97.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the HOW 21Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
96.9%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the HOW 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:363% → 4%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
96.9%
Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOW 19Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+16
96.9%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 16 yds to the HOW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the HOW 35Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.4%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Isaih Williams for 3 yds to the HOW 38Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
96.4%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
96.5%
Jaydon Green punt for 22 yds, downed at the RUTG 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3697% → 96%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Long for 4 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
96.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
96.4%
Jakob Anderson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Richie Ilarraza at the HOW 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:484% → 4%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
96.2%
Eden James run for no gain to the HOW 15Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
96.1%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for no gain to the HOW 15Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+4
96.2%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Eden James for 4 yds to the HOW 19Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
96.1%
Jaydon Green punt for 36 yds, downed at the RUTG 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:5596% → 97%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+39
96.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 39 yds to the HOW 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.4%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the HOW 16Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+9
96.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 9 yds to the HOW 7Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+1
95.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the HOW 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
95.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the HOW 1Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 2Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 2 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 9TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 4:053% → 6%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
96.6%
Howard Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HOW 19Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+6
96.7%
Eden James run for 6 yds to the HOW 25Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-2
96.6%
Eden James run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOW 23Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+26
96.6%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Isaih Williams for 26 yds to the HOW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.2%
Richie Ilarraza run for no gain to the HOW 49Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
96.3%
(02:32) SCROGGINS, Ja'Shawn pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Isiah thrown to the RU15, clock 02:30. PENALTY RU Roughing the Passer on LEWIS, Aaron enforced 15 yards from the HU49 to the RU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
96.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 5 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
95.7%
Isaih Williams run for 4 yds to the RUTG 27Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+16
95.9%
Eden James run for 16 yds to the RUTG 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
95.5%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 7 yds to the RUTG 4Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
95.5%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 2 yds to the RUTG 2Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
Eden James run for 2 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FG
6 plays · 61 yds · 0:3096% → 96%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
95.5%
Rutgers Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the RUTG 20Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 11
OWN 20
+15
95.1%
Howard Penalty, Personal Foul (Kedrick Green) to the HOW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
95.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 16 yds to the HOW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+36
95.6%
Jai Patel 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SCROGGINS, Ja'Shawn at HU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:095% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
94.8%
Jarett Hunter run for 16 yds to the HOW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
94.5%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 12 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
94.2%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 2 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
94.2%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the RUTG 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+6
94.3%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 6 yds to the RUTG 39Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-2
94.3%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Jarett Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:4195% → 98%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
95.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 6 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
95.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 1
50
+1
94.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the HOW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
94.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 17 yds to the HOW 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
94.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 13 yds to the HOW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
94.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 12 yds to the HOW 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kyle Monangai for no gain to the HOW 7Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:403% → 3%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
97.0%
Howard Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ja'Shawn Scroggins) to the HOW 13Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+6
97.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the HOW 19Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Jaydon Green punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:3498% → 99%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
97.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
97.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the HOW 49Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
97.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the HOW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+16
97.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 16 yds to the HOW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
97.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 9 yds to the HOW 22Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
97.8%
Samuel Brown V run for 3 yds to the HOW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-15
97.8%
Rutgers Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the HOW 34Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 25
OPP 34
+34
99.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 34 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:351% → 1%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Jarett Hunter run for 6 yds to the HOW 31Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.1%
Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the HOW 33Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
99.1%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 9 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.1%
Jarett Hunter run for 6 yds to the HOW 48Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+1
99.2%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 1 yd to the HOW 49Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+18
99.2%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 18 yds to the RUTG 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.1%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 11 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.1%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.2%
Jarett Hunter run for 6 yds to the RUTG 16Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
99.2%
Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the RUTG 13Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
99.2%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the RUTG 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 8:1299% → 100%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the RUTG 18Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+6
99.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 6 yds to the RUTG 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
99.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 6 yds to the RUTG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 8 yds to the HOW 46Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
99.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the HOW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Victor Konopka for 12 yds to the HOW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 6 yds to the HOW 24Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+4
99.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the HOW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the HOW 15Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+12
99.7%
Samuel Brown V run for 12 yds to the HOW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Kenny Fletcher for 3 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
run for 2 yds to the HOW 17Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-2
99.9%
Eden James run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOW 15Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+19
100.0%
Jaydon Green punt for 40 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 19 yds to the HOW 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
99.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 14 yds to the HOW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the HOW 20Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the HOW 17Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
Ajani Sheppard run for 4 yds to the HOW 13Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 13
-1
100.0%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
100.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 16 yds to the HOW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-9
100.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins sacked by Jordan Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the HOW 21Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+10
100.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Isaih Williams for 10 yds to the HOW 31Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
100.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 20 yds to the HOW 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Antwan Raymond run for 11 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:06
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 0:40
Eden James run for 2 yds for a TD (Dylan West KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q3 2:33
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Samuel Brown V for 34 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com