Try the model
PSU

Penn State 34 at West Virginia 12

WVU
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:24 · Riley Thompson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Home team on offense−35.7Pregame prior−8.4Score differential−20.2Garbage-time factor−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:46: Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 20 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK) — PSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:06: Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 18 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK) — PSU win probability +9.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:16: Nicholas Singleton run for 40 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK) — PSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:49: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WVU win probability +7.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:00: Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 19 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK) — PSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:32WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15PSU 4th & 6 at WVU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15WVU 4th & 1 at PSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35WVU 4th & 1 at PSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.4%−0.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:31WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:31PSU 4th & 4 at WVU 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:15WVU 4th & 6 at PSU 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:13PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00WVU 4th & 1 at PSU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−1.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37WVU 4th & 2 at PSU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:18WVU 4th & 16 at WVU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:24PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:42WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 43, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:42PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00WVU 4th & 10 at PSU 15, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−3.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:48PSU 4th & 11 at WVU 29, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 14:53PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:46PSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:06PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:16PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:49WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:00PSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2828% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.9%
Jahiem White run for 12 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
27.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 1 yd to the WVU 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
27.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
27.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for no gain to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
29.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:5471% → 70%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
29.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 23Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
29.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the PSU 26Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+7
29.0%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
29.8%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 28 fumbled, recovered by WVU T.J. Jackson T. Jackson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · -19 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-19
30.6%
run for a loss of 19 yards to the PSU 47 fumbled, recovered by PSU Jaylen Reed J. Reed return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1570% → 70%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
29.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
29.5%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
29.6%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the WVU 49Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
30.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 64 yds · 7:4031% → 35%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
30.6%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 9 yards to the WVU 9 Garrett Greene fumbled, recovered by WVU Garrett GreeneSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+5
30.5%
Penn State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the WVU 14Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+10
30.6%
Jahiem White run for 10 yds to the WVU 24Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+20
30.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 20 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
31.1%
Garrett Greene run for 11 yds to the PSU 45 Garrett Greene fumbled, recovered by WVU return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
31.3%
Jahiem White run for 10 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
31.4%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the PSU 34Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+8
31.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 8 yds to the PSU 26Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
31.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the PSU 26Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
31.0%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the PSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
31.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 3 yds to the PSU 22Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
31.4%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
31.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 6 yds to the PSU 16Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
34.9%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the PSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4267% → 70%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
33.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 18 yds to the PSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
33.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+14
33.8%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
50
+50
29.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 50 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1731% → 31%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
31.1%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 22Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+3
31.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Treylan Davis for 3 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
31.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:4570% → 76%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
30.4%
Beau Pribula run for 11 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
29.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
29.8%
Drew Allar run for 15 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
29.3%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
29.3%
Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 15
50
+17
29.9%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 17 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
29.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
29.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-2
29.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 27Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+7
30.1%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
23.6%
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 20 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:3126% → 28%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
25.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 10 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
25.9%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+16
25.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 16 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
27.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the PSU 49Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+25
27.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 25 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
28.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
28.7%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the PSU 23Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+3
27.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 3 yds to the PSU 20Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
27.8%
Michael Hayes II 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5774% → 73%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
26.1%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
26.2%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 22Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
26.6%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
27.1%
Riley Thompson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 4:3628% → 31%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
27.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 7 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
28.3%
Ric'Darious Farmer run for 2 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
28.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
28.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the PSU 48Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
28.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
28.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
28.0%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the PSU 37Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+7
27.8%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the PSU 30Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
27.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the PSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
29.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 9 yds to the PSU 20Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-1
28.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 21Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
26.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
30.7%
Michael Hayes II 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:2673% → 87%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
26.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the PSU 27Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+55
27.2%
Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 55 yds to the WVU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
13.4%
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 18 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
17.7%
Jaylen Anderson run for 7 yds to the WVU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:3981% → 94%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
19.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 23Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
19.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 25Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+10
19.3%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
18.8%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+13
18.0%
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 13 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
17.7%
Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for no gain to the WVU 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
17.7%
Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+10
17.9%
Drew Allar run for 10 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
17.5%
Penn State Penalty, False Start (Anthony Donkoh) to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+40
6.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 40 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5810% → 8%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.3%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 26Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
10.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 2 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
10.2%
Garrett Greene sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 9 yards to the WVU 19Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
8.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5494% → 93%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
5.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 38Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
5.5%
Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the PSU 39Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+4
5.5%
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 4 yds to the PSU 43Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
4.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 11Similar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
7.5%
GREENE, Garrett pass to the left complete for 3 yards to GALLAGHER III, Rodney caught at the WVU19 and advanced to the WVU14 (ROJAS, Tony). PENALTY PSU Offsides on CARTER, Abdul enforced 5 yards from the WVU11 to the WVU16 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:428% → 6%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+15
7.6%
Penn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Abdul Carter) to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
8.0%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the WVU 38Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
8.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+5
7.9%
GREENE, Garrett pass up the middle incomplete intended for RAY, Traylon thrown to the PSU50. PENALTY PSU Offsides on DENNIS-SUTTON, Dani enforced 5 yards from the WVU38 to the WVU43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
8.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
5.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0096% → 98%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
3.9%
ALLAR, Drew pass to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Luke thrown to the PSU12. PENALTY WVU Offsides on FRENCH, Ty enforced 5 yards from the PSU12 to the PSU17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 5
OWN 17
+4
3.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 21Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+3
3.9%
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
3.9%
Drew Allar pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
3.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 26Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+5
2.5%
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the PSU 31Similar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
2.5%
Riley Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:535% → 14%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
4.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 25 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
4.9%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the PSU 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+25
4.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 25 yds to the PSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
4.6%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 5 yards to the PSU 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+5
4.4%
GREENE, Garrett pass to the left incomplete intended for WHITE, Jahiem thrown to the PSU20. PENALTY PSU Offsides on CARTER, Abdul enforced 5 yards from the PSU20 to the PSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
4.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
4.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+14
4.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 14 yds to the PSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.3%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the PSU 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 3:4694% → 99%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+40
6.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 40 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
5.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
5.8%
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+3
5.9%
Drew Allar run for 3 yds to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
5.7%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the WVU 19Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
1.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 19 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.9%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
1.9%
GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Justin thrown to the PSU32. PENALTY PSU Pass Interference on KIMBER, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the WVU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
50
-6
1.9%
Garrett Greene sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the WVU 43 Garrett Greene fumbled, recovered by PSU Dani Dennis-Sutton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22MISSED FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 4:1299% → 99%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
1.0%
Cam Wallace run for 2 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
1.0%
Cam Wallace run for 1 yd to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+12
1.0%
Beau Pribula run for 12 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
1.0%
Cam Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+1
1.0%
Cam Wallace run for 1 yd to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
0.5%
Cam Wallace run for no gain to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+47
0.6%
Sander Sahaydak 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
0.9%
Nicco Marchiol run for 8 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+5
0.9%
Jaylen Anderson run for 5 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass intercepted Elliot Washington II return for no gain to the PSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.4%
Cam Wallace run for 3 yds to the PSU 33Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
0.4%
Cam Wallace run for 11 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
0.3%
Cam Wallace run for 2 yds to the PSU 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
0.3%
Cam Wallace run for 6 yds to the WVU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:16
Nicholas Singleton run for 40 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q2 0:06
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 18 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q4 12:49
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com