Try the model
IDHO

Idaho 14 at Oregon 24

ORE
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Autzen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:19 · Jack Layne pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior+15.6Home team on offense+10.1Garbage-time factor+2.1Score differential+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:00: Jordan James run for 6 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +5.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:15: Jake Cox 36 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Cameron Pope Kick) — IDHO win probability +15.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:45: Jack Layne run for 4 yds for a TD (Cameron Pope KICK) — IDHO win probability +18.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:45: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan Stewart — ORE win probability +5.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:36: Tez Johnson 12 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Atticus Sappington Kick) — ORE win probability +15.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:35IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:01IDHO 4th & 14 at IDHO 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:00IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00ORE 4th & 14 at IDHO 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:41IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:19IDHO 4th & 2 at ORE 42, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%
    30% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:36ORE 4th & 18 at ORE 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−3.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:42IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:19ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.7%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:27IDHO 4th & 12 at ORE 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:22ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.5%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:43ORE 4th & 8 at IDHO 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−10.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:45ORE 4th & 7 at IDHO 17, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−16.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:36ORE 4th & 2 at IDHO 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−3.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−22.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:35IDHO 4th & 28 at IDHO 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:35IDHO 4th & 28 at IDHO 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:02ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:19ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:00ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:15IDHO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:45IDHO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:36ORE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2521% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Elisha CummingsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
79.4%
Elisha Cummings run for 1 yd to the IDHO 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
79.4%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
79.1%
LJ Harm punt for 37 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:1679% → 80%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
79.1%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+12
79.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
79.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
79.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
79.2%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the IDHO 23Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+1
79.2%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the IDHO 22Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+11
79.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
79.2%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the IDHO 8Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+1
79.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
79.8%
Tez Johnson 7 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:1821% → 20%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.4%
Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the IDHO 27Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
79.3%
Jack Layne sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the IDHO 24Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
79.6%
Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the IDHO 26Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
79.7%
Harm,LJ punt 38 yards to the ORE36 fair catch by Johnson,Tez at ORE36 PENALTY IDA Illegal Formation (Echols,Xander) 5 yards from IDA26 to IDA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
79.8%
LJ Harm punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0780% → 79%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
79.9%
Jordan James run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 4
50
-6
80.0%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Keyshawn James-Newby for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 44Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
78.9%
Ross James punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jordan Dwyer at the IDHO 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:5421% → 21%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
79.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
79.2%
Jack Layne pass complete to Nate Thomas for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
78.8%
Jack Layne sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 4 yards to the IDHO 35 Jack Layne fumbled, recovered by IDHO Jack Layne , return for 0 yards , return for 1 yd to the IDHO 35Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
79.3%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+7
79.5%
Jack Layne pass complete to Alex MooreSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
79.4%
LJ Harm punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:0079% → 79%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.3%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
79.4%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 30Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
79.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kyler Kasper for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass complete short middle to Ferguson,Terrance caught at IDA38, for 11 yards to the IDA38 (Eck,Jaxton) PENALTY ORE Illegal Formation (Cornelius,Ajani) 5 yards from IDA49 to ORE46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+3
79.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+21
79.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
80.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass complete short middle to James,Jordan caught at IDA15, for 17 yards to the IDA13 (Eck,Jaxton) PENALTY ORE Illegal Formation (Cornelius,Ajani) 5 yards from IDA30 to IDA35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+5
79.9%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the IDHO 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-4
80.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 34
0
79.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+52
79.4%
Atticus Sappington 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7INT
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:3620% → 22%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
79.8%
Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete deep left to Dwyer,Jordan thrown to ORE35 PENALTY ORE Pass Interference (Turner,Tyler) 15 yards from IDA34 to IDA49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
78.9%
Elisha Cummings run for 23 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
77.7%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
78.0%
Elisha Cummings run for 5 yds to the ORE 23Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
78.3%
Jack Layne pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:2480% → 86%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
80.0%
Jordan James run for 12 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
80.1%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
80.7%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+24
80.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
81.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
81.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick HerbertSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
81.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
85.7%
Jordan James run for 6 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1915% → 14%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
84.9%
Jack Layne run for 4 yds to the IDHO 34Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+9
84.8%
Nate Thomas run for 9 yds to the IDHO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
84.7%
Jack Layne run for 6 yds to the IDHO 49Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
84.1%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
84.2%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
85.7%
LJ Harm punt for 42 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:1587% → 90%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
86.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
86.8%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
86.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
86.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+17
87.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
87.5%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the IDHO 46Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
87.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
87.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-9
89.6%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Keyshawn James-Newby for a loss of 9 yards to the IDHO 31 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, recovered by IDHO Dallas Afalava , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:0714% → 14%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
86.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Mark Hamper to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
50
0
85.1%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
50
0
85.8%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
50
+8
86.2%
Elisha Cummings run for 8 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:1989% → 88%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
89.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
89.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
89.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan JamesSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+15
88.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:2488% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
87.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
87.4%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Conerly Jr.,Josh) 5 yards from ORE30 to ORE25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-8
87.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Dallas Afalava for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 17Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
87.2%
Ross James punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5413% → 12%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
87.0%
Nate Thomas run for 1 yd to the IDHO 37Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
87.1%
Jack Layne pass complete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-2
87.1%
Jack Layne pass complete to Alex MooreSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
88.4%
LJ Harm punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2389% → 90%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
89.0%
Jordan James run for 16 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
89.4%
PENALTY ORE False Start (Laloulu,Iapani) 5 yards from ORE38 to ORE33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+4
89.0%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 4 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
89.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius LoweSimilar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+4
88.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+1
89.5%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 1 yd to the ORE 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5213% → 11%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.9%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
87.2%
Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
88.0%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
88.9%
LJ Harm punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:0591% → 91%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
90.5%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 15Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+5
90.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete deep right to Kasper,Kyler thrown to ORE35 PENALTY IDA Offside (Afalava,Dallas) 5 yards from ORE15 to ORE20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+7
90.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
90.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Patrick HerbertSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
90.7%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 32Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
90.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18TD
1 play · 36 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
76.3%
Jake Cox 36 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Cameron Pope Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 6:3282% → 89%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
82.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
83.5%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+11
83.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
84.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
84.3%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the IDHO 43Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
83.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
84.6%
Noah Whittington run for 8 yds to the IDHO 27Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+7
84.6%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the IDHO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
88.1%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the IDHO 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+9
88.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
88.1%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the IDHO 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
88.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
89.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon rush left for 2 yards gain to the IDA01 (Bertram,Mathias) PENALTY ORE Holding (Laloulu,Iapani) 10 yards from IDA03 to IDA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
88.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q4 12:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
89.0%
Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5811% → 33%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
88.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Mark Hamper for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
86.4%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+34
86.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Elisha Cummings for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
85.4%
Jack Wagner run for 8 yds to the ORE 1Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+3
85.4%
Jack Wagner run for 3 yds to the ORE 4Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
67.1%
Jack Layne run for 4 yds for a TD (Cameron Pope KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0977% → 93%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
78.4%
Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
78.9%
Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+7
79.5%
Jordan James run for 7 yds to the IDHO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
80.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
81.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
81.4%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the IDHO 17Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
81.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
80.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 17
0
77.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+5
77.9%
Shotgun Gabriel,Dillon pass incomplete short left to Holden,Traeshon thrown to IDA00 PENALTY IDA Offside (Afalava,Dallas) 5 yards from IDA17 to IDA12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+12
93.2%
Tez Johnson 12 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 3:017% → 4%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Mark HamperSimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
92.3%
Jack Layne run for 2 yds to the IDHO 33Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
92.5%
Elisha Cummings run for 4 yds to the IDHO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.6%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-9
92.6%
Jack Layne sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 9 yards to the IDHO 28Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 19
OWN 28
-9
93.8%
Jack Layne sacked by Derrick Harmon for a loss of 9 yards to the IDHO 19 Jack Layne fumbled, recovered by IDHO Nate Azzopardi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 28
OWN 19
0
96.0%
LJ Harm punt for 44 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 37Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 28
OWN 19
0
96.0%
LJ Harm punt for 44 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the ORE 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:3396% → 96%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
95.5%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ORE 24Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+8
95.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
95.7%
Ross James punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:143% → 3%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.2%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
97.2%
Jack Wagner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
97.1%
Jack Wagner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:4897% → 97%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
96.9%
D. Gabriel takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-1
96.8%
D. Gabriel takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
-1
96.6%
D. Gabriel takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:45
Jack Layne run for 4 yds for a TD (Cameron Pope KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q4 5:36
Tez Johnson 12 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Atticus Sappington Kick)
+15.4
TD · Q3 4:15
Jake Cox 36 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Cameron Pope Kick)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com