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UTEP

UTEP 7 at Nebraska 40

NEB
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:48 · Adam Jacklin punt for 38 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+21.5Home team on offense+32.0Score differential+27.5Garbage-time factor+7.9Blowout margin+14.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:24: Kam Thomas 38 Yd pass from Skyler Locklear (Buzz Flabiano Kick) — UTEP win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: Isaiah Neyor 59 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (Tristan Alvano Kick) — NEB win probability +1.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:34: Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:02: Jahmal Banks 21 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (Tristan Alvano Kick) — NEB win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:34: Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK) — NEB win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:35UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:06NEB 4th & 5 at UTEP 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:17NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:19UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:38UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 41, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:48UTEP 4th & 7 at NEB 49, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:22NEB 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:31NEB 4th & 10 at UTEP 29, up 33
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:03UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 31, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:59NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 36, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:00NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:24UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04NEB Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:34NEB Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:02NEB Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:34NEB Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
17 plays · 72 yds · 6:0097% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
96.5%
(15:00) Bowman,Joe kickoff 65 yards to the NEB00, Touchback PENALTY UTEP Offside offsetting NEB Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
96.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
96.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+2
96.2%
Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.1%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
96.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
95.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran BonnerSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
95.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
95.9%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
95.8%
PENALTY NEB False Start (Benhart,Bryce) 5 yards from UTEP35 to UTEP40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 15
OPP 40
-15
95.7%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short left to Barney Jr.,Jacory caught at UTEP40, for 16 yards to the UTEP24, End Of Play PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Fidone II,Thomas) 15 yards from UTEP40 to NEB45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 30
OWN 45
+19
95.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+16
95.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
95.5%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete deep left to Neyor,Isaiah thrown to UTEP00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTEP Offside declined UTEP Pass Interference (Shelton,Jaylon) 15 yards from UTEP20 to UTEP05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.8%
Dante Dowdell run for 5 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:254% → 5%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.7%
(08:59) PENALTY UTEP False Start (Pitts III,Otis) 5 yards from UTEP35 to UTEP30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+2
95.7%
Skyler Locklear run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
95.6%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Marcus VinsonSimilar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-5
95.6%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Smith,Brennan) 5 yards from UTEP37 to UTEP32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+2
95.5%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam ThomasSimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+4
95.4%
Adam Jacklin punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 4 yds to the NEB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:1695% → 95%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
95.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 12 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
95.5%
Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
95.4%
Dante Dowdell run for 10 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
95.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
95.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-3
95.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
95.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah NeyorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:255% → 7%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
95.1%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
94.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 13 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
93.3%
Kam Thomas 38 Yd pass from Skyler Locklear (Buzz Flabiano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5194% → 94%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
93.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
93.5%
Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:557% → 7%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
93.2%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
93.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+6
93.1%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+13
93.1%
Adam Jacklin punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:5294% → 93%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
93.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
93.4%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
93.2%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+5
92.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass complete short middle to Neyor,Isaiah caught at UTEP38, for 4 yards to the UTEP38 (Dyman,Nate) PENALTY UTEP Offside (Chapman,Kory) 5 yards from UTEP42 to UTEP37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+14
93.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
92.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+12
92.7%
Dante Dowdell run for 12 yds to the UTEP 3 Dante Dowdell fumbled, recovered by UTEP Dorian HopkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:158% → 8%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
91.7%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
92.4%
Ty Robinson SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:1093% → 94%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.5%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
94.1%
Isaiah Neyor 59 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (Tristan Alvano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:416% → 6%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.4%
Cade McConnell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
94.4%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
94.5%
Adam Jacklin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:3794% → 97%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
93.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
93.9%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.1%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the NEB 48Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran BonnerSimilar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+42
93.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 42 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
94.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone IISimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.5%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12INT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:145% → 5%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
95.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+11
95.4%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam Thomas for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
95.2%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+10
95.1%
Cade McConnell run for 10 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
95.0%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun McConnell,Cade rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTEP45, out of bounds at UTEP45 PENALTY UTEP Holding (Wright,Isaiah) 10 yards from UTEP44 to UTEP34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+4
95.3%
Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+5
95.4%
Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
95.3%
Cade McConnell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 1:5796% → 98%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
96.4%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Sione Tonga'Uiha for a loss of 6 yards to the NEB 35Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+4
96.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 39Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+15
96.6%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.8%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
96.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
96.1%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
96.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
96.1%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.4%
Jahmal Banks 21 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (Tristan Alvano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 4:112% → 2%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
97.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.7%
Jaden Smith run for 1 yd to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+11
97.9%
Skyler Locklear run for 11 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.9%
Skyler Locklear run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+2
98.1%
Shay Smith run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 17
OWN 41
0
98.1%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 17
OWN 41
+8
98.2%
Adam Jacklin punt for 40 yds , Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda returns for 8 yds to the NEB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:5898% → 100%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+14
98.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
98.3%
Rahmir Johnson run for 13 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
98.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
98.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Carter Nelson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
98.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
98.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+5
98.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive Holding (Maurice Westmoreland) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.4%
Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.5%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Raiola,Dylan pass incomplete short right to Banks,Jahmal thrown to UTEP00 PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Odums,AJ) 1 yard from UTEP02 to UTEP01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam ThomasSimilar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 12 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.7%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the NEB 49Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Skyler Locklear pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Adam Jacklin punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
22 plays · 87 yds · 9:09100% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Carter NelsonSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Carter NelsonSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+12
99.8%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 5 yds to the NEB 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 11 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Keelan SmithSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Maurice Mazzccua Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Maurice Mazzccua Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+11
99.9%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass incomplete short right to Bullock,Alex thrown to UTEP06, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Odums,AJ) 11 yard from UTEP17 to UTEP06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
99.9%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass incomplete short left to Garcia-Castaneda,Isaiah thrown to UTEP00 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Smith,Keelan) 15 yards from UTEP06 to UTEP21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
Kwinten Ives run for 5 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+14
99.9%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Haarberg,Heinrich pass incomplete short right to Bullock,Alex thrown to UTEP00 PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Odums,AJ) 14 yards from UTEP16 to UTEP02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Maurice Mazzccua Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Maurice Mazzccua Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Maurice Mazzccua Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
99.9%
Tristan Alvano 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18INT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 2 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+7
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+21
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
100.0%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 18
50
+4
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 22
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Skyler Locklear pass intercepted Rahmir Stewart return for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 22
OWN 46
0
100.0%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ivan Escobar) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.9%
Jalyn Gramstad pass complete to Roman Mangini for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Kwinten Ives run for no gain to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jalyn Gramstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jalyn Gramstad pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Jalyn Gramstad run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Cade McConnell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 9 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Corey Wren run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Adam Jacklin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda at the NEB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Kenneth Williams run for 5 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Mekhi Nelson run for 2 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Kwinten Ives run for 1 yd to the NEB 36Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+29
100.0%
Brian Buschini punt for 53 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 29 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
Shay Smith pass complete to Ashton NickelberrySimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-4
100.0%
Shay Smith sacked by Mason Goldman for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+11
100.0%
Shay Smith pass complete to Joshua Dye to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:34
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 0:02
Jahmal Banks 21 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (Tristan Alvano Kick)
+2.3
TD · Q2 10:04
Isaiah Neyor 59 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (Tristan Alvano Kick)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com