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CONN

UConn 7 at Maryland 50

MD
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:35 · Chris Freeman 43 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+26.7Home team on offense+9.6Score differential+3.9Garbage-time factor+1.7Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:51: Nolan Ray run for 48 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +1.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:29: Jack Howes 29 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:43: Jack Howes 33 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:11: Roman Hemby run for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:16: Joseph Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 27 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 10CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:16MD 4th & 4 at CONN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:16CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30MD 4th & 1 at MD 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:31CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:57MD 4th & 1 at MD 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:13CONN 4th & 17 at CONN 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:29MD 4th & 9 at CONN 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:35CONN 4th & 2 at MD 25, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43MD 4th & 5 at CONN 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:03MD 4th & 5 at CONN 5, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:06CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 21, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:20MD 4th & 10 at MD 49, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:45MD 4th & 6 at MD 49, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:50CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 48, down 29
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:36CONN 4th & 5 at MD 26, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:09MD 4th & 9 at MD 23, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:20CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 20, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:54MD 4th & 5 at MD 45, up 36
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:32MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:51MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:11MD Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:16CONN Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:02MD Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:26MD Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:17MD Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2891% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
90.5%
Tai Felton run for 19 yds to the MD 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
90.4%
Roman Hemby run for 13 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
90.3%
(14:20) EDWARDS JR., Billy pass short to the left complete for 9 yards to FELTON, Tai caught at the UCO41 and advanced to the UCO34 (CROSS, Stan;FAUMUINA-BROWN, Tui), out of bounds, clock 14:03. PENALTY Before the snap, UMD Illegal Shift on HOWARD, Preston enforced 5 yards from the UCO43 to the UCO48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
90.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the CONN 46Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+11
90.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for 11 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-2
90.1%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 37Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+5
90.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 5 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
89.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 14 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1310% → 10%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
90.0%
Cam Edwards run for 16 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
89.8%
Jayden Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 38Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
89.7%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 3:1490% → 91%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
89.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 3 yds to the MD 11Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
89.8%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 17Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
89.5%
run for 5 yds to the MD 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
89.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 6 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
89.6%
Roman Hemby run for 6 yds to the MD 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
89.5%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 18 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
91.0%
Nolan Ray run for 48 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3110% → 10%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
90.5%
Nick Evers run for 7 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
90.4%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
90.4%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
90.4%
Nick Evers run for 1 yd to the CONN 37Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
90.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
90.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+2
90.5%
Connor Stutz punt for 50 yds , Braeden Wisloski returns for 2 yds to the MD 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:3891% → 91%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
90.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the MD 23Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+8
90.9%
Colby McDonald run for 8 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
90.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for 5 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
91.0%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Roman Hemby run for no gain to the MD 40Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
90.8%
Bryce McFerson punt for 56 yds, downed at the CONN 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:5710% → 9%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
90.4%
Nick Evers run for 3 yds to the CONN 7Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+5
90.5%
Cam Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 12Similar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+8
90.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jasaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the CONN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
90.2%
(15:00) BROWN, Jayden rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the UCO30 (TRADER JR., Dante;MILLER, Glendon), clock 14:51. PENALTY UCO Holding on SENN, Valentin enforced 10 yards from the UCO20 to the UCO10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+3
90.2%
Nick Evers run for 3 yds to the CONN 13Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+1
90.4%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 14Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+10
90.4%
Nick Evers pass complete to Cam Edwards for 10 yds to the CONN 24Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
90.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 44 yds, downed at the MD 32Similar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
91.0%
Maryland Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MD 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2091% → 90%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+7
91.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the MD 34Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
91.0%
MJ Morris run for 2 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
90.9%
MJ Morris run for 5 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
90.3%
Bryce McFerson punt for 48 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3510% → 10%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
89.7%
Nick Evers pass complete to Victor Rosa for 8 yds to the CONN 19Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
89.5%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the CONN 19Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-15
89.8%
run for a loss of 15 yards to the CONN 4Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 17
OWN 4
0
90.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 35 yds, downed at the CONN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:3991% → 93%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
91.0%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
91.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+15
90.7%
(08:33) EDWARDS JR., Billy pass to the left complete for 11 yards to PRATHER, Kaden caught at the UCO24 and advanced to the UCO24, End of Play, clock 08:22. PENALTY UCO Roughing the Passer on MCLEAN, Malachi enforced 15 yards from the UCO00 to the UMD15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-9
90.6%
run for a loss of 9 yards to the CONN 21Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 19
OPP 21
0
90.5%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 19
OPP 21
+10
90.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 10 yds to the CONN 11Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
92.5%
Jack Howes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:548% → 9%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.9%
Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 5 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+37
91.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to Skyler Bell for 37 yds to the MD 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
90.6%
Nick Evers pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the MD 28Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
90.5%
Jayden Brown run for 3 yds to the MD 25Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
90.8%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
90.9%
Chris Freeman 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 3:4793% → 98%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Nolan Ray for 2 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
92.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 8 yds to the MD 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
93.0%
Maryland Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-6 Yards) to the MD 41Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+15
93.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 15 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
93.4%
Roman Hemby run for 13 yds to the CONN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
94.5%
Roman Hemby run for 8 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
94.4%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
94.5%
Roman Hemby run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 20Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-1
94.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Roman Hemby for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 21Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+7
95.1%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 7 yds to the CONN 14Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+33
97.6%
Jack Howes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Nick Evers pass intercepted Glendon Miller return for no gain to the CONN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:3298% → 97%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
97.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Dylan Wade for 25 yds to the CONN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
97.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Dylan Wade for 13 yds to the CONN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.5%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the CONN 5Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.6%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
96.8%
Jack Howes 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.5%
(00:03) Kneel down by EVERS, Nick at UCO24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:01.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:544% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.2%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
96.1%
Nick Evers pass incomplete UConn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Nick Evers) to the CONN 21Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
96.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
96.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 47 yds , Braeden Wisloski returns for no gain to the MD 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:4497% → 99%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
96.7%
Nolan Ray run for 1 yd to the MD 23Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+39
96.7%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 39 yds to the CONN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
97.0%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+6
97.1%
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
97.2%
Maryland Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CONN 31Similar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 18
OPP 31
+27
97.2%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 27 yds to the CONN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:061% → 1%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2399% → 100%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.4%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Kaden Prather for 14 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Nolan Ray run for no gain to the MD 49Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Bryce McFerson punt for 31 ydsSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.5%
(09:15) BROWN, Jayden rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the UCO26 (FLOWERS, Keyshawn), clock 09:08. PENALTY Before the snap, UCO Illegal Motion on BELL, Skyler enforced 5 yards from the UCO20 to the UCO15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Jayden Brown run for no gain to the CONN 15Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
99.6%
Nick Evers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+15
99.6%
Maryland Penalty, Personal Foul (Caleb Wheatland) to the CONN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.5%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+35
99.6%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 35 yds to the MD 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.5%
Victor Rosa run for 6 yds to the MD 17Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
99.4%
Joseph Fagnano pass intercepted Ruben Hyppolite II return for no gain to the MD 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.7%
MJ Morris run for 3 yds to the MD 18Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
99.7%
MJ Morris pass complete to Ryan Manning for 5 yds to the MD 23Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+22
99.7%
Colby McDonald run for 22 yds to the MD 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
MJ Morris pass complete to Shaleak Knotts for 1 yd to the MD 46Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Nolan Ray run for 3 yds to the MD 49Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
99.8%
MJ Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Bryce McFerson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the CONN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:230% → 2%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-1
99.8%
Jayden Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 17Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+14
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 14 yds to the CONN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+36
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 36 yds to the MD 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
98.5%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 27 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.8%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tai Felton for 75 yds for a TD (Jack Howes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for no gain to the CONN 25Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Durell Robinson run for 15 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.8%
MJ Morris sacked by Jevon Banks for a loss of 5 yards to the MD 15Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+15
99.8%
UConn Penalty, Targeting on JONES, Rante enforced (Rante Jones) to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.8%
Colby McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 37Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the MD 38Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+18
99.9%
Cameron Edge pass complete to Ryan Manning for 18 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Cameron Edge pass complete to Braeden Wisloski for 7 yds to the CONN 37Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for 12 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for 1 yd to the CONN 24Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Cameron Edge pass complete to Josiah McLaurin for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Marshall KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Jayden Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+27
99.9%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 27 yds to the MD 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Jayden Brown run for 2 yds to the MD 29Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the MD 26Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+4
99.9%
Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Durell Robinson for 4 yds to the MD 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the MD 24Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-1
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 23Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Cameron Edge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Bryce McFerson punt for 64 yds, downed at the CONN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
100.0%
Durell Robinson run for 7 yds to the CONN 20Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Joseph Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds , Ricardo Cooper Jr. returns for 1 yd to the MD 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
DeJuan Williams run for 6 yds to the MD 46Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-1
100.0%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 45Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Cameron Edge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+37
100.0%
Bryce McFerson punt for 37 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the CONN 19 , returns for no gain to the CONN 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
100.0%
Josiah McLaurin run for 1 yd to the CONN 18Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
100.0%
Josiah McLaurin run for 2 yds to the CONN 16Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+8
100.0%
Cameron Edge pass complete to Robert Smith for 8 yds to the CONN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
100.0%
DeJuan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 9Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
DeJuan Williams run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the CONN 21Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Durell Robinson run for 5 yds to the CONN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:43
Jack Howes 33 yd FG GOOD
+2.5
FG · Q2 6:29
Jack Howes 29 yd FG GOOD
+2.4
TD · Q3 11:11
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com