Try the model
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:34 · Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 7 yds to the IU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+5.5Home team on offense+26.3Score differential+10.5Garbage-time factor+7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:23: Ty Son Lawton run for 13 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +1.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:53: Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK) — IU win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:48: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +5.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:44: Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 28 — IU win probability +3.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:51: Nicolas Radicic 35 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:44IU 4th & 5 at IU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:56FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58FIU 4th & 21 at FIU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:22FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:20IU 4th & 4 at FIU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:51IU 4th & 10 at FIU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:20FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:23IU 4th & 12 at IU 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:07FIU 4th & 13 at IU 43, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:10IU 4th & 17 at IU 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:33FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:34FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 38, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:31IU 4th & 13 at FIU 30, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:00FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:14IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:23IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:53IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:48FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:06IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1693% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.7%
James Evans punt for 45 yds, downed at the FIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:217% → 8%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
92.6%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 21Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-1
92.5%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Aiden Fisher for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 20Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
92.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:5392% → 92%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
92.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-5
92.2%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (Omar Cooper Jr.) to the IU 40Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+15
92.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 15 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
92.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 9 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
91.9%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
91.8%
Justice Ellison run for 10 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
91.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 14 yds to the FIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 9 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:168% → 9%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 26Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
91.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 27 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone JenkinsSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
91.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 8 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
91.5%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
91.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 1 yd to the FIU 41Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
91.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
91.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 35 yds , Myles Price returns for no gain to the IU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:2491% → 93%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
91.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 9 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
91.5%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
91.3%
Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
91.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 5 yds to the IU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
91.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 26 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
91.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+12
91.1%
Myles Price run for 12 yds to the FIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 13 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:258% → 8%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.1%
(01:23) JENKINS, Keyone pass short to the left incomplete intended for MIAMEN, Josiah thrown to the FIU29, clock 01:18. PENALTY IND Roughing the Passer on FISHER, Aiden enforced 15 yards from the FIU25 to the FIU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
92.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Desna Washington for 8 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
91.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the IU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
91.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 3 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+1
91.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the IU 44Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 6
OPP 44
-15
92.0%
Florida International Penalty, Personal Foul (JaDarious Lee) to the FIU 41Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 21
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
19 plays · 93 yds · 8:0593% → 97%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
92.5%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the IU 12Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+10
92.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 10 yds to the IU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
92.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+9
92.7%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for no gain to the IU 38 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by IU Kurtis Rourke K. Rourke return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.6%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the left incomplete intended for VANHORSE, Solomon thrown to the IND48, clock 10:33. PENALTY FIU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the IND38 to the IND43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+9
92.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 9 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
92.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 49Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-10
92.4%
(09:25) ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the left complete for 0 yards to PRICE, Myles caught at the IND49 and advanced to the FIU49 (STERLIN, Shamir;ANDERSON, J.T.), clock 09:17. PENALTY IND Holding on SARRATT, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the FIU49 to the IND41 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 21
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+30
91.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 30 yds to the FIU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
92.4%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 31 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by IU Kurtis Rourke K. Rourke return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+5
92.0%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+10
91.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 10 yds to the FIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
92.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 13 yds to the FIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the FIU 2Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:034% → 10%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Shaborne Demps run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
95.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 3 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
95.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
95.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 8 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+7
95.7%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the IU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
95.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the IU 46Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
95.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for no gain to the IU 46Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+11
95.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 11 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
95.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
95.6%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the IU 30Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+23
95.6%
Kejon Owens run for 23 yds to the IU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
93.5%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:358% → 7%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
92.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 8 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
92.1%
Nazeviah Burris run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 33Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+3
92.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 3 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
92.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
92.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 6:2693% → 96%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
92.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the IU 19Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+15
93.0%
Ty Son Lawton run for 15 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
93.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 5 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
93.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 5 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
93.7%
Justice Ellison run for 14 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
93.7%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Jeramy Passmore for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+1
93.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the FIU 45Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+9
93.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 9 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+19
93.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for 19 yds to the FIU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
94.3%
Ty Son Lawton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
94.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the FIU 17Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
94.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
95.8%
Nicolas Radicic 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:395% → 4%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.4%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 23Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-6
95.5%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FIU 17 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone Jenkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
95.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 54 yds , Myles Price returns for no gain to the IU 20Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
96.0%
(04:12) ROURKE, Kurtis scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the IND24 (WALLS III, Eddie;POTTS, Jamal), clock 04:05. PENALTY Before the snap, IND Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the IND20 to the IND15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:2596% → 96%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+9
96.0%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
96.2%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the IU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
96.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the IU 37Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
96.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the IU 39Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-10
96.6%
(01:07) ROURKE, Kurtis pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Ke'Shawn thrown to the FIU45, clock 01:01. PENALTY IND Holding on EVANS, Drew enforced 10 yards from the IND39 to the IND29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-5
96.3%
Indiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the IU 24Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+7
96.3%
Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
96.1%
James Evans punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:104% → 3%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+12
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 12 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for no gain to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Desna Washington for 13 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
96.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 7
50
+10
96.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 10 yds to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the IU 39Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-8
96.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Andrew Turvy for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 47Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+4
96.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 13
OPP 43
-20
97.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Amare Ferrell return for 20 yds to the IU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4898% → 97%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.5%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the IU 49Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-10
97.5%
(10:24) LAWTON, Ty Son rush to the right for no gain to the IND49 (BLADES II, Brian), clock 10:19. PENALTY IND Holding on COOPER JR., Omar enforced 10 yards from the IND49 to the IND39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the IU 39Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
97.1%
James Evans punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:313% → 2%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 5 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
97.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 3 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
97.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+1
97.2%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 11 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-9
97.4%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Marcus Burris Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 19
OWN 38
+7
97.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Eric Rivers for 7 yds to the IU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 20 yds · 1:5598% → 99%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+13
98.4%
Elijah Green run for 13 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.6%
Elijah Green run for 11 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
98.7%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-10
98.7%
(04:06) ROURKE, Kurtis pass to the right complete for 11 yards to CROSS, Miles caught at the FIU13 and advanced to the FIU13, out of bounds, clock 03:57. PENALTY IND Holding enforced 10 yards from the FIU24 to the FIU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+4
98.7%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 13
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 13
OPP 30
-1
98.9%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Dwight Nunoo for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
99.3%
Amari Jones run for 7 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 40Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-1
99.3%
Amari Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-12
99.6%
run for a loss of 12 yards to the IU 49 fumbled, recovered by IU Naeer Jackson N. Jackson return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 22
OWN 49
+51
99.8%
Elijah Green run for 51 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
(00:33) JONES, Amari pass up the middle incomplete intended for MAURICE JR., Luby thrown to the FIU31, clock 00:31. PENALTY FIU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FERGUSON, Antonio enforced 5 yards from the FIU25 to the FIU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the FIU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:48
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Rocky Beers for 7 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-5.5
TD · Q2 4:53
Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds for a TD (Nicolas Radicic KICK)
+4.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:44
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the IU 28
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com