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TEX

Texas 17 at Texas A&M 7

TA&M
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-3.8TA&M 35.0%Arch Manning 15 Yd Run (Bert AuburnKick)AWAY 7 - HOME 0 · Q1 3:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:07 · Arch Manning 15 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Home team on offense−3.4Pregame prior−11.2Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:19: Jaydon Blue 7 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +7.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:45: Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27 — TA&M win probability +9.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:28: Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 43 — TEX win probability +6.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Jared Zirkel kickoff for 64 yds , Matthew Golden return for 27 yds to the TEX 28 — TA&M win probability +6.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:42: Will Lee III 93 Yd Interception Return (Randy Bond Kick) — TA&M win probability +10.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:39TA&M 4th & 1 at TEX 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07TEX 4th & 2 at TA&M 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:43TA&M 4th & 17 at TEX 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:23TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50TEX 4th & 8 at TA&M 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−6.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30TA&M 4th & 3 at TEX 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:54TEX 4th & 3 at TA&M 40, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−2.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:38TA&M 4th & 8 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:51TA&M 4th & 13 at TEX 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:48TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:36TA&M 4th & 1 at TEX 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−6.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−11.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:49TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 25, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:07TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:19TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:42TA&M Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:1636% → 39%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.3%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
36.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 27 yds to the TEX 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
36.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 49Similar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+4
36.9%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TEX 47Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+7
37.2%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the TEX 40Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
37.5%
Texas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Barryn Sorrell) to the TEX 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
37.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 16 yds to the TEX 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
38.1%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TEX 14Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
38.5%
Terry Bussey run for 3 yds to the TEX 11Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
38.5%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TEX 10Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
38.6%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TEX 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2962% → 61%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
38.3%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
38.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 13Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
38.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar HelmSimilar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
39.0%
Michael Kern punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:1239% → 40%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
39.1%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+6
39.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 6 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
39.7%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted Michael Taaffe return for no gain to the TEX 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 4:3161% → 65%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
38.9%
Wisner, Quintrevion rush for loss of 2 yards to the TEX5, PENALTY TA&M personal foul 15 yards to the TEX22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
38.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 19Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+3
39.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 3 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+26
39.7%
Quinn Ewers run for 26 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
38.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 44Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+22
39.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 22 yds to the TA&M 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
38.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 11 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
38.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 25Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+10
38.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 10 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
38.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr., broken up by Will Lee IIISimilar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+15
35.0%
Arch Manning 15 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 5:1736% → 35%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.7%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
35.8%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
35.8%
Jahdae Walker run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
35.8%
Marcel Reed run for 6 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
36.7%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
36.6%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+10
36.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 10 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
37.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-7
36.9%
Marcel Reed sacked by Vernon Broughton for a loss of 7 yards to the TEX 49Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 17
OPP 49
0
35.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for no gain to the TEX 49Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
34.5%
Tyler White punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:2365% → 76%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
35.0%
Jaydon Blue run for no gain to the TEX 20Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.1%
Isaiah Bond run for 3 yds to the TEX 23Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+14
35.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 14 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
33.8%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Taurean York for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 33Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+44
34.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 44 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
32.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Amari Niblack for 2 yds to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Roughing Passer (10 Yards) to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
32.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the TA&M 7Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
24.5%
Jaydon Blue 7 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
23.8%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Freddie Dubose) to the TA&M 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4226% → 25%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
26.4%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-1
26.0%
Marcel Reed sacked by Vernon Broughton for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 27Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+4
25.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
25.4%
Tyler White punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:3075% → 83%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
25.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 9 yds to the TEX 29Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
24.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
24.7%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+35
24.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 35 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
23.1%
Quinn Ewers run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 34Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
23.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon BlueSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+22
23.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 22 yds to the TA&M 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
22.3%
Arch Manning run for 2 yds to the TA&M 10Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
20.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TA&M 8Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+3
20.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TA&M 5Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 3
OPP 5
-5
21.8%
Texas Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 10Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
17.5%
Bert Auburn 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:1528% → 24%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.5%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
26.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 6 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
24.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
28.3%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the TA&M 38Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
28.3%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
24.6%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
50
+4
29.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 4 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
27.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to EJ Smith for 4 yds to the TEX 42Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-1
24.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to EJ Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 43Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+1
23.7%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the TEX 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:2883% → 86%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
17.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 43Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
16.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+24
16.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 24 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
13.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
13.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+48
14.1%
Bert Auburn 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:5182% → 83%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
18.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the TEX 36Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
17.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
17.5%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Bond, Isaiah, PENALTY TA&M pass interference (Mayes, BJ) 15 yards to the TA&M47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
16.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm, broken up by Albert RegisSimilar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
16.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
16.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
17.5%
Michael Kern punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:1218% → 18%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
18.3%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+24
18.1%
Marcel Reed run for 24 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
19.3%
Terry Bussey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 8
50
0
18.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker, broken up by Alfred CollinsSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 8
50
0
18.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Amari DanielsSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 8
50
0
18.1%
Tyler White punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13INT TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:5384% → 77%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
16.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 4 yds to the TEX 19Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+17
15.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 17 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
15.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
15.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 38Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+8
14.6%
Quinn Ewers run for 8 yds to the TEX 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
14.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 12 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
13.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+25
12.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 25 yds to the TA&M 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
12.6%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 18Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-3
12.8%
Arch Manning run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 21Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 18
OPP 21
+14
12.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 14 yds to the TA&M 7Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-93
22.6%
Will Lee III 93 Yd Interception Return (Randy Bond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14FUMBLE
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:3676% → 82%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
23.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
23.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
22.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the TEX 41Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
21.2%
Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the TEX 45Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
21.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
20.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 13 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
20.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+12
19.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 12 yds to the TA&M 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
19.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TA&M 13Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+6
19.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TA&M 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
19.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 10Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 0
OPP 10
-1
18.4%
Quinn Ewers run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 11 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Cashius Howell, recovered by TA&M Taurean YorkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:1021% → 17%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
21.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah Thomas, broken up by Michael TaaffeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
21.1%
Texas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaylon Guilbeau) to the TA&M 16Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+6
21.2%
Marcel Reed run for 6 yds to the TA&M 22 Marcel Reed fumbled, recovered by TA&MSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
20.7%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the TA&M 23Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
20.4%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+13
19.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 13 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
21.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 16 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
21.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-3
21.2%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 47Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
18.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Tre Watson, broken up by Andrew MukubaSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
17.0%
Tyler White punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 3:0183% → 86%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
17.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 8 yds to the TEX 28Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+16
14.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 16 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
13.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 8 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-5
12.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 5 yards to the TEX 47Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
12.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
13.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Jahdae WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0919% → 12%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
18.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 8 yds to the TEX 11Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 11
-10
18.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TEX 21Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+16
17.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 16 yds to the TEX 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
17.1%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the TEX 2Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
16.9%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.8%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
12.1%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:4390% → 96%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
10.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 9 yds to the TEX 13Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 1
OWN 13
0
10.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the TEX 13Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+5
10.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
8.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
6.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 25Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
4.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the TEX 25Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+10
4.4%
Michael Kern punt for 43 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 10 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:145% → 5%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
4.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 13 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
4.7%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TEX 43 Marcel Reed fumbled, forced by Trey Moore, recovered by TEX Vernon BroughtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1096% → 96%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 42Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 41Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-1
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:42
Will Lee III 93 Yd Interception Return (Randy Bond Kick)
+10.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:45
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27
+9.3
TD · Q2 8:19
Jaydon Blue 7 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com