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Oklahoma 17 at LSU 37

LSU
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:31 · Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense+22.3Pregame prior+3.5Score differential+9.3Garbage-time factor+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:09: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 18 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:22: Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +9.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:13: Zach Schmit 44 yd FG GOOD — OU win probability +4.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:45: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +12.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:48: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 45 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +13.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:36LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:15OU 4th & 8 at OU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53OU 4th & 6 at OU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:20LSU 4th & 9 at OU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24OU 4th & 6 at OU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39LSU 4th & 16 at OU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:13OU 4th & 12 at LSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:39OU 4th & 8 at OU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:31LSU 4th & 1 at OU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.0%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47LSU 4th & 4 at OU 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:02OU 4th & 17 at OU 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:21LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:29OU 4th & 6 at OU 37, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:19LSU 4th & 7 at OU 15, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:09LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:22OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:45LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:48LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2464% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
63.8%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
63.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 7 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
63.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
63.6%
Peyton Todd punt for 46 yds, downed at the OU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2136% → 36%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
63.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
63.7%
Xavier Robinson run for no gain to the OU 12Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+2
63.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 2 yds to the OU 14Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
63.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 4:0664% → 67%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.0%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
50
+16
64.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 16 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
64.1%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+11
64.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton for 11 yds to the OU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
64.1%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the OU 18Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
64.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for no gain to the OU 18Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
66.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 18 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0834% → 34%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
65.8%
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the OU 36Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+8
65.4%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 8 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
65.4%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
65.3%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the OU 48Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
65.4%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+1
66.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 44 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 1 yd to the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2766% → 62%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
66.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 9 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+1
66.9%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
66.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
66.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
62.2%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked for a loss of 10 yards Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, recovered by OU R Mason Thomas , return for 0 yards for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:5863% → 62%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
62.7%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
62.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 2 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+15
62.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 15 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
63.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for no gain to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
63.2%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
63.5%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
63.1%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-7
64.2%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 43
0
63.1%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+8
62.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
62.0%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Peyton Bowen at the OU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5639% → 38%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
61.3%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the OU 11Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
61.5%
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the OU 15Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-1
61.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Xavier Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 14Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
62.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Aaron Anderson at the LSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:5764% → 65%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+50
63.8%
Caden Durham run for 50 yds to the OU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
65.4%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the OU 11Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
65.4%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-6
64.6%
LSU Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the OU 17Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
63.5%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+34
64.6%
Damian Ramos 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1736% → 48%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
63.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 50 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
60.5%
Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Snap on EVERETT, Troy enforced (-5 Yards) to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+28
61.2%
Jackson Arnold run for 28 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.6%
Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:5536% → 42%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.1%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
64.3%
Jackson Arnold run for 12 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
63.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Zion Ragins for 8 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
62.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
62.3%
Jackson Arnold run for 10 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
61.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 17 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
60.4%
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-1
60.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 12
OPP 26
0
62.5%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
57.7%
Zach Schmit 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:1364% → 79%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
63.6%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
65.2%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
64.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
65.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 7 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+7
66.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 7 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
79.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:2128% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.7%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the OU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
71.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 2 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
72.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 15 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
70.4%
Xavier Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 42Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+3
72.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
73.1%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
74.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 4:5175% → 90%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
74.6%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 10Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
74.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for no gain to the LSU 10Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+14
73.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 14 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
74.9%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
75.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for no gain to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+7
74.3%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 7 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
75.8%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+16
76.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 16 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
89.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 45 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 4:2613% → 12%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 11 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 3 yds to the OU 39Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
86.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 3 yds to the OU 42Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
86.0%
Jackson Arnold run for 5 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
85.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 5 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
85.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 8 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
85.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 4 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-16
88.5%
Bauer Sharp pass intercepted Sage Ryan return for 16 yds to the LSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:3593% → 96%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
92.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+3
92.6%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 3 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
93.1%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+42
94.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ka'Morreun Pimpton for 42 yds to the OU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.3%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the OU 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
95.8%
Damian Ramos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:456% → 5%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
94.2%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Dominick McKinley for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 24Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-6
94.5%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Davhon Keys for a loss of 6 yards to the OU 18Similar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
95.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds, downed at the LSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:4197% → 97%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.0%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-10
97.0%
NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass to the right incomplete thrown to the OU45. PENALTY LSU Holding on DURHAM, Caden enforced 10 yards from the LSU44 to the LSU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+15
96.7%
Caden Durham run for 15 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-5
97.0%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Miles Frazier) to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-5
97.0%
LSU Penalty, False Start (DJ Chester) to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+7
96.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+6
97.3%
Peyton Todd punt for 48 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 6 yds to the OU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:524% → 3%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
96.4%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Dominick McKinley for a loss of 5 yards to the OU 7Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 15
OWN 7
-1
96.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Sam Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 6Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+15
96.6%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the OU 6 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Whit Weeks) to the OU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
96.3%
Jackson Arnold run for 12 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
96.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 2 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
96.1%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
96.2%
ARNOLD, Jackson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHARP, Bauer broken up by BURNS, Major at the LSU40. PENALTY LSU Offsides on RELIFORD, Gabriel enforced 5 yards from the OU35 to the OU40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-3
96.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Sam Franklin for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 37Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 6
OWN 37
-9
97.0%
Jackson Arnold sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OU 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OU , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1098% → 100%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
98.3%
Zavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the OU 22Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+4
98.3%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the OU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.3%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the OU 16Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
98.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+1
99.5%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the OU 15Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
99.7%
Damian Ramos 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:121% → 1%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.5%
Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the OU 22Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
99.5%
Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the OU 23Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+34
99.5%
Sam Franklin run for 34 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.4%
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+8
99.3%
Sam Franklin run for 8 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 8 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+5
99.3%
Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
99.4%
Sam Franklin run for 11 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:48
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 45 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+13.1
TD · Q2 0:45
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 40 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q2 7:22
Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com