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LOU

Louisville 41 at Kentucky 14

UK
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:08 · Brady Hodges punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense−3.2Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.9Pregame prior−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:07: Isaac Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +3.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:16: Duke Watson run for 58 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +9.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:45: Brock Travelstead 21 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +4.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:22: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +12.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 4:59: Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear R. Puryear return for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK) — LOU win probability +8.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 7LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 12:21LOU 4th & 6 at UK 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:22UK 4th & 7 at UK 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54UK 4th & 10 at UK 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:08LOU 4th & 7 at UK 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00LOU 4th & 3 at UK 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36UK 4th & 10 at UK 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:48UK 4th & 10 at UK 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:45LOU 4th & 4 at UK 4, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.1%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12UK 4th & 7 at UK 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:22LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:19LOU 4th & 13 at UK 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−2.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:13UK 4th & 6 at UK 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:37UK 4th & 10 at LOU 40, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:29LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 42, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:07LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:16LOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:22UK Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:43LOU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:49UK Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:01LOU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:1044% → 44%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
43.6%
Jamarion Wilcox run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 26Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+14
43.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 14 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
44.1%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 15 yds to the UK 47 Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by LOU Tamarion McDonald T. McDonald return for 8 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5856% → 56%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
43.9%
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the UK 47Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
43.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+4
44.0%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the UK 43Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
44.3%
Brady Hodges punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5544% → 44%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
44.4%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
44.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the UK 15Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
44.4%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+2
44.4%
Aidan Laros punt for 47 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 2 yds to the LOU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:0156% → 59%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
44.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 23 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
44.3%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Duke Watson for 8 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+4
44.2%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
44.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
44.4%
Isaac Brown run for 14 yds to the UK 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
44.3%
Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the UK 3Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
44.4%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the UK 2Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
44.6%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the UK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.5%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:0943% → 42%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
42.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 16Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+11
42.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 11 yds to the UK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
42.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the UK 27Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
42.3%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
42.0%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
41.7%
Aidan Laros punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:3758% → 59%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
41.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 10 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
41.1%
Duke Watson run for 3 yds to the LOU 44Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
41.0%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 9 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
40.7%
Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the UK 46Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
40.6%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 2 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
40.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
41.0%
Brady Hodges punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0142% → 41%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
41.5%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 9 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+6
41.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
41.6%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
41.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-15
41.2%
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Farmer) to the UK 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:5361% → 61%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
39.3%
Isaac Brown run for 16 yds to the UK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
39.2%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 6Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
39.0%
(13:52) SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the left complete for 6 yards to BELL, Chris caught at the UK0 and advanced to the UK0, TOUCHDOWN UL, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:43 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UL Illegal Touch-Pass on BELL, Chris enforced 0 yards from the UK6 to the UK6, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
39.2%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 3Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
39.3%
Brock Travelstead 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1638% → 36%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
38.0%
Cutter Boley sacked by Rene Konga and Dezmond Tell for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 14Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 17
OWN 14
0
37.6%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+7
36.9%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the UK 21Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
36.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 42 yds, downed at the LOU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
1 play · 58 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
26.9%
Duke Watson run for 58 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2030% → 29%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
30.2%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 4 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-4
30.2%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 29Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
29.1%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+12
29.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 59 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 12 yds to the LOU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:5174% → 82%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
26.4%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 4 yds to the LOU 28Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
25.8%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 31Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
25.7%
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
26.2%
Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the LOU 41Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
24.4%
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+51
23.8%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 51 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
22.8%
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 4Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
22.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
22.6%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
18.2%
Brock Travelstead 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:4123% → 21%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
23.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 45Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+29
23.3%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 29 yds to the LOU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
23.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the LOU 17Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
23.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the LOU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
22.9%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-3
22.8%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 17Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 13
OPP 17
-15
20.8%
Kentucky Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Cutter Boley) to the LOU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:5087% → 88%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
13.5%
Duke Watson run for 8 yds to the LOU 49Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+10
12.4%
Duke Watson run for 10 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
12.5%
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the UK 40Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-4
12.3%
Chris Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 44 Chris Bell fumbled, recovered by UK Jamon Dumas-Johnson J. Dumas-Johnson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:4020% → 20%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
19.6%
Cutter Boley sacked by TJ Quinn and Ramon Puryear for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 39Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+5
18.0%
Cutter Boley run for 5 yds to the UK 44 Cutter Boley fumbled, recovered by UKSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+3
17.9%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
19.5%
Aidan Laros punt for 52 yds, downed at the LOU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
16.3%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2986% → 86%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
14.2%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-4
14.2%
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 27Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+6
14.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 6 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
14.3%
Brady Hodges punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:5319% → 30%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
19.0%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 28Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
16.0%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
16.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 13 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
15.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the LOU 40Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+34
16.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 34 yds to the LOU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
17.3%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the LOU 4Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:5578% → 82%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
22.0%
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the LOU 24Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
21.8%
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 25Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+15
21.5%
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hughes for 15 yds to the LOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
18.9%
Keyjuan Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 45Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
16.6%
Keyjuan Brown run for 9 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
16.1%
Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
15.9%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-5
16.0%
Louisville Penalty, False Start (Mark Redman) to the UK 49Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
16.5%
Tyler Shough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 13
OPP 49
+5
17.7%
Brady Hodges punt for 40 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 5 yds to the UK 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20FUMBLE TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
9.1%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear R. Puryear return for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:459% → 7%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
9.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
9.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
7.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
6.9%
Aidan Laros punt for 26 yds, downed at the LOU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 3:2195% → 98%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
4.9%
Isaac Brown run for 15 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
4.6%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+9
4.3%
Isaac Brown run for 9 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
4.1%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
3.3%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+24
1.6%
Duke Watson run for 24 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:573% → 3%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
50
+7
2.9%
Chip Trayanum run for 7 yds to the LOU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
3.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the LOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
2.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the LOU 40Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
2.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+4
2.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the LOU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.7%
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 39Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
0.7%
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 38Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+4
0.7%
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the LOU 42Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
0.7%
Brady Hodges punt for 53 yds, downed at the UK 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 1:261% → 3%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
0.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 9Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+8
0.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
2.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 83 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4797% → 100%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.6%
Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
0.4%
Isaac Brown run for 67 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 27INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
0.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 17 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
0.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Quincy Riley return for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 28DOWNS
13 plays · 68 yds · 6:35100% → 100%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
0.3%
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the LOU 30Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
0.3%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the LOU 31Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
0.2%
Pierce Clarkson run for 5 yds to the LOU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.2%
Travis Egan run for 2 yds to the LOU 38Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
0.2%
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Zion Childress) to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
0.2%
Keyjuan Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+18
0.2%
Maurice Turner run for 18 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
0.1%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 20Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+1
0.1%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the UK 19Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+9
0.1%
Pierce Clarkson run for 9 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
0.1%
Kentucky Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the UK 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
0.1%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 14 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
0.1%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the UK 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:22
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q2 11:16
Duke Watson run for 58 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-9.1
FUMBLE · Q3 4:59
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear R. Puryear return for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com