LOU
Louisville 41 at Kentucky 14
UK2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Kroger Field
Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:32 · Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the UK 31
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:55
Jamarion Wilcox run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 26
0.0
Q1 14:18
Jamarion Wilcox run for 14 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 13:45
Jamarion Wilcox run for 15 yds to the UK 47 Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by LOU Tamarion McDonald T. McDonald return for 8 yds
+2.5
Q1 13:19
Isaac Brown run for no gain to the UK 47
-7.5
Q1 13:09
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 13:03
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the UK 43
0.0
Q1 12:21
Brady Hodges punt for 31 yds
+0.6
Q1 12:17
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
+4.4
Q1 12:06
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the UK 15
0.0
Q1 11:27
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 11:22
Aidan Laros punt for 47 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 2 yds to the LOU 40
-0.3
Q1 11:08
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 23 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down
-3.4
Q1 10:33
Tyler Shough pass complete to Duke Watson for 8 yds to the UK 29
-1.5
Q1 10:04
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:41
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 9:36
Isaac Brown run for 14 yds to the UK 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 8:59
Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the UK 3
-0.5
Q1 8:21
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the UK 2
+0.4
Q1 7:44
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the UK 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 7:07
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-14.3
Q1 7:03
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 16
+4.1
Q1 6:25
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 11 yds to the UK 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 5:44
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the UK 27
0.0
Q1 5:04
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
+0.2
Q1 5:01
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 4:54
Aidan Laros punt for 42 yds
0.0
Q1 4:45
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 10 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down
-2.6
Q1 4:25
Duke Watson run for 3 yds to the LOU 44
-1.3
Q1 3:52
Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 9 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:29
Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the UK 46
0.0
Q1 2:52
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 2 yds to the UK 44
0.0
Q1 2:14
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 2:08
Brady Hodges punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 15
+0.3
Q1 2:01
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 9 yds to the UK 24
+3.7
Q1 1:29
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:52
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the UK 33
0.0
Q1 0:20
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 35
+0.1
Q2 15:00
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Farmer) to the UK 25
+1.3
Q2 14:53
Isaac Brown run for 16 yds to the UK 9 for a 1ST down
-5.6
Q2 14:31
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 6
0.0
Q2 13:52
(13:52) SHOUGH, Tyler pass to the left complete for 6 yards to BELL, Chris caught at the UK0 and advanced to the UK0, TOUCHDOWN UL, score nullified by penalty, clock 13:43 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UL Illegal Touch-Pass on BELL, Chris enforced 0 yards from the UK6 to the UK6, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q2 13:38
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 3
0.0
Q2 13:00
Brock Travelstead 20 yd FG GOOD
-2.5
Q2 12:52
Cutter Boley sacked by Rene Konga and Dezmond Tell for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 14
+2.9
Q2 12:19
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 12:12
Cutter Boley pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the UK 21
0.0
Q2 11:36
Aidan Laros punt for 42 yds, downed at the LOU 42
0.0
Q2 11:16
Duke Watson run for 58 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-11.4
Q2 11:08
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 4 yds to the UK 33
-0.6
Q2 10:32
Cutter Boley pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 29
-0.1
Q2 9:54
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 9:48
Aidan Laros punt for 59 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 12 yds to the LOU 24
0.0
Q2 9:36
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 4 yds to the LOU 28
+0.1
Q2 9:03
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 31
0.0
Q2 8:19
Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:38
Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the LOU 41
-0.1
Q2 6:57
Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q2 6:15
Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 51 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:39
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 4
+0.1
Q2 4:57
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
-0.3
Q2 4:54
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 4:45
Brock Travelstead 21 yd FG GOOD
-3.3
Q2 4:40
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 45
-0.7
Q2 4:15
Cutter Boley pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 29 yds to the LOU 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:47
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the LOU 17
+0.4
Q2 3:13
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the LOU 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:35
Cutter Boley pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 2:30
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 17
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Kentucky, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:59
Kentucky Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Cutter Boley) to the LOU 41
0.0
Q2 1:49
Duke Watson run for 8 yds to the LOU 49
-0.4
Q2 1:14
Duke Watson run for 10 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 1:07
Tyler Shough run for 1 yd to the UK 40
-0.1
Q2 1:00
Timeout Louisville, clock 01:00
0.0
Q2 0:59
Chris Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 44 Chris Bell fumbled, recovered by UK Jamon Dumas-Johnson J. Dumas-Johnson return for 0 yds
0.0
Q2 0:52
Cutter Boley sacked by TJ Quinn and Ramon Puryear for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 39
+0.4
Q2 0:47
Timeout Kentucky, clock 00:47
-0.1
Q2 0:47
Cutter Boley run for 5 yds to the UK 44 Cutter Boley fumbled, recovered by UK
0.0
Q2 0:29
Cutter Boley pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the UK 47
+0.1
Q2 0:14
Timeout Louisville, clock 00:14
+0.5
Q2 0:12
Aidan Laros punt for 52 yds, downed at the LOU 1
0.0
Q2 0:00
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
-0.8
Q3 14:51
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
+0.2
Q3 14:47
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 27
0.0
Q3 14:07
Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 6 yds to the LOU 33
-0.2
Q3 13:22
Brady Hodges punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 27
-0.1
Q3 13:15
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 28
-0.8
Q3 12:39
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the UK 31
-0.4
Q3 11:57
Jamarion Wilcox run for 13 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q3 11:26
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the LOU 40
+0.4
Q3 10:39
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 34 yds to the LOU 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:00
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the LOU 4
0.0
Q3 9:22
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+11.4
Q3 9:14
Tyler Shough run for 2 yds to the LOU 24
-3.7
Q3 8:35
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 25
0.0
Q3 7:59
Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hughes for 15 yds to the LOU 40 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q3 7:27
Keyjuan Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 45
-0.6
Q3 6:44
Keyjuan Brown run for 9 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 6:04
Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds to the UK 44
-0.3
Q3 5:29
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 5:25
Louisville Penalty, False Start (Mark Redman) to the UK 49
0.0
Q3 5:24
Tyler Shough pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 5:19
Brady Hodges punt for 40 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 5 yds to the UK 14
-0.1
Q3 4:59
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds Jamarion Wilcox fumbled, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear R. Puryear return for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-7.8
Q3 4:58
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 4:53
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the UK 34
0.0
Q3 4:16
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete
-0.4
Q3 4:13
Aidan Laros punt for 26 yds, downed at the LOU 40
0.0
Q3 4:04
Isaac Brown run for 15 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q3 3:29
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 41
-0.1
Q3 2:51
Isaac Brown run for 9 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:15
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 28
0.0
Q3 1:32
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 24
0.0
Q3 0:43
Duke Watson run for 24 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-2.5
Q3 0:34
Chip Trayanum run for 7 yds to the LOU 43
+1.4
Q4 15:00
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the LOU 40 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 14:23
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete
-0.7
Q4 14:18
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the LOU 40
0.0
Q4 13:44
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 13:37
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the LOU 36
0.0
Q4 13:29
Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the LOU 39
-1.2
Q4 12:50
Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 38
0.0
Q4 12:12
Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the LOU 42
0.0
Q4 11:29
Brady Hodges punt for 53 yds, downed at the UK 5
0.0
Q4 11:15
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 9
+0.8
Q4 10:40
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:49
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 83 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+0.4
Q4 9:48
Isaac Brown run for 8 yds to the LOU 33
+1.0
Q4 9:01
Isaac Brown run for 67 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-2.1
Q4 8:59
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the UK 31
+0.8
Q4 8:34
Chip Trayanum run for 17 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:02
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Quincy Riley return for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 22
+0.3
Q4 7:47
Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the LOU 30
-1.1
Q4 7:10
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the LOU 31
0.0
Q4 6:31
Timeout Louisville, clock 06:31
0.0
Q4 6:31
Pierce Clarkson run for 5 yds to the LOU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:48
Travis Egan run for 2 yds to the LOU 38
0.0
Q4 5:06
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Zion Childress) to the UK 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:24
Keyjuan Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 37
0.0
Q4 3:41
Maurice Turner run for 18 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 3:01
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 20
0.0
Q4 2:21
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the UK 19
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Kentucky, clock 02:00
-0.2
Q4 1:59
Pierce Clarkson run for 9 yds to the UK 10
-0.1
Q4 1:12
Kentucky Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the UK 10
0.0
Q4 1:07
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 14 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q4 0:32
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the UK 31
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 7:07
Isaac Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q2 11:16
Duke Watson run for 58 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q3 9:22
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+11.4