AUB
Auburn 14 at Alabama 28
ALA2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 25 yds to the ALA 3 for a 1ST down
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Conor Talty kickoff for 46 yds , Sean Jackson return for 2 yds to the AUB 21
0.0
Q1 14:47
Payton Thorne run for 5 yds to the AUB 26
-1.4
Q1 14:18
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 27
-1.0
Q1 13:34
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith
0.0
Q1 13:25
Oscar Chapman punt for 39 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 8 yds to the ALA 42
0.0
Q1 13:13
Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the ALA 47
+2.8
Q1 12:47
Jam Miller run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 44
+0.2
Q1 12:12
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 8 yds to the AUB 48 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 11:53
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the AUB 46
+0.9
Q1 11:39
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie Bernard
0.0
Q1 11:28
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 19 yds Ryan Williams fumbled, forced by Kaleb Harris, recovered by AUB Eugene Asante
-0.2
Q1 11:18
Payton Thorne run for 10 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down
-3.5
Q1 10:54
Jarquez Hunter run for 19 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 10:33
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the ALA 42
-1.9
Q1 9:52
Payton Thorne pass incomplete
-0.1
Q1 9:40
Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 20 yds to the ALA 22 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:14
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 1 yd to the ALA 21
+0.1
Q1 8:39
Payton Thorne run for no gain to the ALA 21
-0.4
Q1 7:57
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Rivaldo Fairweather
+0.1
Q1 7:54
Ian Vachon 39 yd FG MISSED
+0.7
Q1 7:44
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 20 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST down
+3.7
Q1 7:27
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie Bernard
+0.7
Q1 7:21
Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 41
0.0
Q1 7:00
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 42 Jalen Milroe fumbled, forced by Keldric Faulk, recovered by ALA Parker Brailsford
-0.2
Q1 6:35
James Burnip punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Malcolm Simmons at the AUB 9
-0.3
Q1 6:30
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Cam Coleman
-3.4
Q1 6:22
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 2 yds to the AUB 11
0.0
Q1 5:49
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons, broken up by Malachi Moore
-0.3
Q1 5:41
Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 48
0.0
Q1 5:31
Jam Miller run for 14 yds to the AUB 38 for a 1ST down
+3.1
Q1 4:53
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 5 yds to the AUB 33
+1.0
Q1 4:21
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the AUB 30
0.0
Q1 3:49
Jalen Milroe run for 11 yds to the AUB 19 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 3:18
Jalen Milroe run for 19 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+10.2
Q1 3:18
Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.6
Q1 3:04
Jarquez Hunter run for 21 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST down
-2.4
Q1 2:52
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the ALA 45
-0.9
Q1 2:35
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 1:46
Payton Thorne pass complete to Damari Alston for 15 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 1:31
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the ALA 18
0.0
Q1 1:03
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Dillon Wade) to the ALA 23
0.0
Q1 0:34
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
-0.3
Q1 0:21
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 4 yds to the ALA 19
0.0
Q2 14:53
Payton Thorne pass incomplete
+0.5
Q2 14:47
Justice Haynes run for 6 yds to the ALA 25
+3.2
Q2 14:07
Justice Haynes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 24
0.0
Q2 13:38
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 21 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:17
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan Williams
+0.4
Q2 13:12
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jam Miller
0.0
Q2 13:05
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 23 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 12:40
Ryan Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the AUB 37
+0.5
Q2 12:09
Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the AUB 35
+0.4
Q2 11:24
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Caleb Wooden return for no gain to the AUB 9
-0.2
Q2 11:10
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 11
-3.0
Q2 10:40
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the AUB 16
0.0
Q2 9:56
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 7 yds to the AUB 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:31
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 18 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:58
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 31 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Malachi Moore) to the ALA 14 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q2 8:42
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith
-1.1
Q2 8:42
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Bradyn Joiner) to the ALA 19
0.0
Q2 8:35
Payton Thorne pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 8:35
Timeout Auburn, clock 08:35
-0.5
Q2 8:31
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Jarquez Hunter, broken up by Malachi Moore
0.0
Q2 8:27
Ian Vachon 37 yd FG GOOD
-6.6
Q2 8:27
Towns McGough kickoff for 62 yds , Kendrick Law return for 22 yds to the ALA 25
+1.7
Q2 8:14
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 28
+5.0
Q2 7:34
Jalen Milroe run for 10 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:11
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the ALA 41
+0.4
Q2 6:48
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 10 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:17
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the AUB 47
+0.3
Q2 5:40
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 20 yds to the AUB 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:05
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to CJ Dippre, broken up by Jerrin Thompson
+0.3
Q2 4:57
Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the AUB 22
0.0
Q2 4:16
Timeout Alabama, clock 04:16
-0.5
Q2 4:05
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 15 yds to the AUB 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:40
Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the AUB 6
+0.2
Q2 3:00
Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the AUB 1
0.0
Q2 2:44
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+11.7
Q2 2:44
Conor Talty kickoff for 54 yds , Jeremiah Cobb return for 6 yds to the AUB 17
0.0
Q2 2:33
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith
-3.2
Q2 2:22
Payton Thorne pass complete to Luke Deal for 3 yds to the AUB 20
0.0
Q2 1:55
Payton Thorne pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 1:48
Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Williams at the ALA 35
0.0
Q2 1:40
Jalen Milroe sacked by Jalen McLeod for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 34 Jalen Milroe fumbled, forced by Jalen McLeod, recovered by AUB Philip Blidi , return for 0 yards
+3.2
Q2 1:35
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 36
-4.1
Q2 1:27
Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the ALA 33 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Tim Smith) to the ALA 18 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q2 1:20
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the ALA 16
-0.2
Q2 0:59
Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 14 yds to the ALA 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:52
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 3
0.0
Q2 0:52
Timeout Auburn, clock 00:52
0.0
Q2 0:47
Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the ALA 1
0.0
Q2 0:29
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 2
0.0
Q2 0:29
Timeout Auburn, clock 00:29
+0.3
Q2 0:29
Timeout Alabama, clock 00:29
0.0
Q2 0:29
Auburn Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ALA 7
0.0
Q2 0:29
Timeout Alabama, clock 00:29
0.0
Q2 0:27
Ian Vachon 25 yd FG GOOD
-5.1
Q2 0:27
Towns McGough kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.8
Q2 0:25
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 23
+1.8
Q3 15:00
Towns McGough kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.5
Q3 14:47
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 24 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down
+2.3
Q3 14:18
Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the AUB 45
+0.3
Q3 13:40
Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 13:25
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 14 yds to the AUB 25 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q3 13:01
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the AUB 24
0.0
Q3 12:27
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 14 yds to the AUB 10 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:06
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the AUB 6
0.0
Q3 11:32
Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the AUB 2
-0.3
Q3 11:13
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+9.5
Q3 11:13
Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremiah Cobb return for 25 yds to the AUB 25
-0.1
Q3 11:01
Payton Thorne pass incomplete
-2.1
Q3 11:01
Auburn Penalty, False Start (Izavion Miller) to the AUB 20
0.0
Q3 10:46
Payton Thorne sacked by Tim Keenan III for a loss of 6 yards to the AUB 14
+0.2
Q3 10:10
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 4 yds to the AUB 18
0.0
Q3 9:37
Oscar Chapman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Williams at the ALA 40
+0.1
Q3 9:24
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the ALA 47
+1.8
Q3 9:04
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 8:15
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 26 yds to the AUB 24 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 8:01
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the AUB 20
0.0
Q3 7:25
Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the AUB 17
+0.3
Q3 6:54
Jalen Milroe run for 17 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+3.7
Q3 6:54
Conor Talty kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 6:54
Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Micah Riley) to the AUB 13
-0.2
Q3 6:50
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Malcolm Simmons
0.0
Q3 6:50
Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malachi Moore) to the AUB 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:38
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 3 yds to the AUB 31
0.0
Q3 6:14
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 7 yds to the AUB 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:50
Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the AUB 42
0.0
Q3 5:16
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 39
+0.1
Q3 4:33
Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 21 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 4:07
Payton Thorne run for 9 yds to the ALA 31
0.0
Q3 3:21
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the ALA 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:38
Payton Thorne pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 2:38
Timeout Auburn, clock 02:38
0.0
Q3 2:31
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 29 yds for a TD (J. Hunter Run For Two-point Conversion)
-6.9
Q3 2:31
Towns McGough kickoff for 61 yds , Kendrick Law return for 16 yds to the ALA 49 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Danny Lewis Jr.) to the ALA 10
+0.5
Q3 2:10
Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the ALA 16
+4.0
Q3 1:35
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 3 yds to the ALA 19
+0.1
Q3 1:20
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 0:46
Jam Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 17
0.0
Q3 0:04
Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the ALA 24
+0.2
Q4 14:49
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 10 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:07
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 36
0.0
Q4 13:25
Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the ALA 42
0.0
Q4 12:45
Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the ALA 49 Jalen Milroe fumbled, forced by Jalen McLeod, recovered by AUB Keldric Faulk
0.0
Q4 12:36
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the ALA 47
-2.7
Q4 12:10
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 17 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 11:42
Jarquez Hunter pass intercepted Bray Hubbard return for 1 yd to the ALA 5
-0.1
Q4 11:42
Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zabien Brown) to the ALA 3
+2.7
Q4 11:34
Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the ALA 7
0.0
Q4 10:57
Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 3
0.0
Q4 10:17
Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Bernard, Germie, PENALTY AUB pass interference (Scott, Keionte) 14 yards to the ALA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.
0.0
Q4 9:58
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the ALA 20
+0.3
Q4 9:38
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 21
-0.1
Q4 9:04
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 10 yds to the ALA 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:34
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 12 yds to the ALA 43 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Germie Bernard) to the ALA 33
0.0
Q4 7:56
Jalen Milroe run for 10 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 7:08
Jam Miller run for 8 yds to the AUB 49
0.0
Q4 6:35
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the AUB 48
+0.2
Q4 5:52
Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:53
Jam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 43
0.0
Q4 4:08
Jam Miller run for no gain to the AUB 43
+0.1
Q4 4:08
Timeout Auburn, clock 04:08
0.0
Q4 4:06
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 2 yds to the AUB 41
0.0
Q4 4:06
Timeout Auburn, clock 04:06
0.0
Q4 3:57
James Burnip punt for 38 yds, downed at the AUB 3
0.0
Q4 3:40
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 11 yds to the AUB 14 for a 1ST down
-2.7
Q4 3:33
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Rivaldo Fairweather, broken up by Domani Jackson
0.0
Q4 3:23
Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the AUB 22
0.0
Q4 2:52
Payton Thorne run for 7 yds to the AUB 29 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 2:29
Payton Thorne pass intercepted Zabien Brown return for 2 yds to the ALA 38
0.0
Q4 2:23
Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the ALA 43
+2.8
Q4 1:55
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 45
+0.1
Q4 1:12
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 47
0.0
Q4 0:27
Timeout Alabama, clock 00:27
-0.1
Q4 0:21
James Burnip punt for 39 yds , Malcolm Simmons returns for 3 yds to the AUB 17 Malcolm Simmons fumbled, recovered by AUB Malcolm Simmons
0.0
Q4 0:13
Payton Thorne pass complete to Cam Coleman for 19 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down
-3.0
Q4 0:06
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 21 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:01
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 15 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 0:00
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 25 yds to the ALA 3 for a 1ST down
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:44
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q1 3:18
Jalen Milroe run for 19 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q3 11:13
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+9.5