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UK

Kentucky 14 at Texas 31

TEX
2024 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:31 · Aidan Laros punt for 43 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+37.5Home team on offense+1.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:36: Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +3.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:39: Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:12: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 17 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +3.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:41: Jamon Dumas-Johnson 25 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Raynor Kick) — UK win probability +6.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:10: Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UK made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:00TEX 4th & 2 at UK 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31UK 4th & 12 at UK 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10TEX 4th & 1 at UK 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:14UK 4th & 7 at UK 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:43TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36UK 4th & 2 at TEX 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:53UK 4th & 9 at UK 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:10TEX 4th & 2 at UK 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:42UK 4th & 15 at UK 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:38TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 14, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:21UK 4th & 1 at TEX 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−1.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−6.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:42UK 4th & 15 at TEX 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:31TEX 4th & 18 at UK 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:39UK 4th & 20 at TEX 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:10TEX 4th & 1 at UK 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:57UK 4th & 7 at UK 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:00TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:36UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:39TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:12TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:41UK Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:10TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0091% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
91.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 5 yards to the TEX 20Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
90.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+19
90.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 19 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
90.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 14 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
90.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
90.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the UK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
90.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 20 yds to the UK 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
90.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the UK 10Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+7
90.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 7 yds to the UK 3Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
89.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
90.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:2210% → 10%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
90.2%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 18 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
90.1%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 36Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+2
90.1%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+3
90.1%
Brock Vandagriff run for 3 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
90.1%
Aidan Laros punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:1590% → 90%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
90.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 5 yds to the TEX 21Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
89.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
89.8%
Quinn Ewers run for 5 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
89.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 21 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
90.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 13 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
90.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
90.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+4
89.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
89.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5411% → 11%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
89.3%
Barion Brown run for 3 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
89.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
89.3%
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the UK 34Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
89.5%
Aidan Laros punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2889% → 88%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
89.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 17 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
89.5%
WISNER, Quintrevion rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the TEX50 (LOVETT, Jordan), clock 02:35. PENALTY TEX Holding on MAJORS, Jake enforced 10 yards from the TEX42 to the TEX32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+8
89.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 8 yds to the TEX 40Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+4
89.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 44Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-5
89.0%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Ryan Wingo) to the TEX 39Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
88.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+10
88.4%
Michael Kern punt for 44 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 10 yds to the UK 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0811% → 16%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
88.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
88.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
88.3%
Texas Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
88.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 6 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
87.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+42
87.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 42 yds to the TEX 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
87.0%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 5 yds to the TEX 7Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
86.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the TEX 3Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-1
87.1%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 4 Demie Sumo-Karngbaye fumbled, recovered by UK Demie Sumo-Karngbaye D. Sumo-Karngbaye return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
83.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Josh Kattus for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5585% → 89%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
85.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the TEX 41Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
85.6%
Quinn Ewers run for 3 yds to the TEX 44Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
85.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
85.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the UK 42Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+17
85.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 17 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
85.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 9 yds to the UK 16Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
85.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the UK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
84.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the UK 11Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
84.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+6
84.1%
Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Maxwell Hairston) to the UK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:2013% → 13%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
87.4%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 13Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+6
87.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 6 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
87.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Jelani McDonald return for no gain to the UK 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:4989% → 92%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
88.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 14 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
88.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the UK 18Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+1
88.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the UK 17Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
92.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 17 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:179% → 9%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.2%
Barion Brown run for 2 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
91.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
91.3%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Ty'Anthony Smith and Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 26Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+44
91.2%
Aidan Laros punt for 44 yds , Silas Bolden returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:2792% → 93%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
91.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 5 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
92.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 6 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
92.6%
(00:54) EWERS, Quinn pass to the left complete for 15 yards to BOND, Isaiah caught at the TEX48 and advanced to the KEN45 (DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon), out of bounds, clock 00:51. PENALTY TEX Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HELM, Gunnar enforced 5 yards from the TEX40 to the TEX35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+10
92.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 10 yds to the TEX 45Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+16
92.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds Silas Bolden fumbled, recovered by TEX for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
92.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
92.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
92.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+49
93.1%
Bert Auburn 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
92.1%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the UK 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:107% → 6%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-13
93.0%
Cutter Boley sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 13 yards to the UK 7Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 23
OWN 7
+43
93.7%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Barion Brown for 43 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
50
+5
92.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 5 yds to the TEX 45Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-1
92.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 46Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-10
93.2%
(12:07) BOLEY, Cutter pass deep to the right complete for 38 yards to MACLIN, Ja'Mori caught at the TEX25 and advanced to the TEX8 (GUILBEAU, Jaylon), out of bounds, clock 12:00. PENALTY KEN Holding on COX, Eli enforced 10 yards from the TEX46 to the KEN44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+6
94.0%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 10
50
-5
93.9%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Noah Matthews) to the UK 45Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
94.1%
Aidan Laros punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5595% → 95%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
94.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 8 yds to the TEX 14Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 2
OWN 14
-1
94.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 13Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+1
95.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 1 yd to the TEX 14Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 2
OWN 14
+13
94.9%
Michael Kern punt for 43 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 13 yds to the TEX 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:097% → 6%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
93.3%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
93.5%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 11 yds to the TEX 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
92.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 35Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
93.8%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+11
94.3%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 11 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-1
94.2%
Jamarion Wilcox run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0496% → 96%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.5%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the TEX 32 Jaydon Blue fumbled, recovered by UK Deone Walker D. Walker return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:196% → 5%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
93.9%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 25 yds to the TEX 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
93.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds to the TEX 1Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
93.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 3Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-12
94.7%
Cutter Boley sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the TEX 15Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
95.3%
Alex Raynor 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5996% → 89%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
95.8%
Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the TEX 26 Jerrick Gibson fumbled, recovered by TEX DJ Campbell D. Campbell return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
96.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
89.1%
Jamon Dumas-Johnson 25 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:0989% → 89%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
88.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 21Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+16
89.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 16 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
89.7%
EWERS, Quinn pass up the middle incomplete intended for BOND, Isaiah broken up by HARDAWAY, JQ at the TEX45, clock 01:49. PENALTY Before the snap, KEN Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the TEX37 to the TEX42. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+17
90.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 17 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
90.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+17
90.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 17 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
90.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the UK 18Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-11
90.9%
Jamon Dumas-Johnson run for a loss of 11 yards to the UK 29Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 18
OPP 29
0
89.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+47
88.5%
Bert Auburn 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4711% → 10%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
89.1%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Dane Key for 19 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
87.7%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the TEX 49Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+16
87.5%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 16 yds to the TEX 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
86.0%
Jamon Dumas-Johnson run for a loss of 10 yards to the TEX 43 Cutter Boley fumbled, recovered by UK Deone Walker D. Walker return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 20
OPP 43
0
88.0%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 20
OPP 43
0
89.2%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 20
OPP 43
+29
90.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 29 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 14 , returns for no gain to the TEX 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 8:1990% → 98%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
89.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 21Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+2
89.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 23Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+4
89.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
90.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 16 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
90.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 13 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
92.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the UK 36Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
92.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the UK 35Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
92.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
93.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
93.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the UK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
93.7%
Jaydon Blue run for 13 yds to the UK 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
93.7%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the UK 7Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
93.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the UK 2Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the UK 1Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22INT
13 plays · 39 yds · 2:182% → 2%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.2%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Dane Key for 2 yds to the UK 20Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
98.2%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 9 yds to the UK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Cutter Boley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.3%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 2
OWN 37
-5
98.1%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Marques Cox) to the UK 32Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+10
98.3%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 10 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
98.2%
(01:35) BOLEY, Cutter pass to the right incomplete intended for SUMO-KARNGBAYE, Demie thrown to the KEN40; QB hurried by SORRELL, Barryn, clock 01:30. PENALTY TEX Roughing the Passer on SIMMONS, Colin enforced 15 yards from the KEN42 to the TEX43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
98.1%
Cutter Boley pass complete to Willie Rodriguez for 22 yds to the TEX 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-8
97.6%
Cutter Boley sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TEX 29 Cutter Boley fumbled, recovered by UK Malachi Wood , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 18
OPP 29
-14
97.8%
Cutter Boley sacked by Trey Moore and Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 14 yards to the TEX 43Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 32
OPP 43
0
98.2%
Cutter Boley pass intercepted Andrew Mukuba return for no gain to the TEX 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
98.9%
(00:38) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at TEX3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:41
Jamon Dumas-Johnson 25 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Raynor Kick)
-6.9
TD · Q4 3:10
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 6:39
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com