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NMSU

New Mexico State 3 at Texas A&M 38

TA&M
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:19 · George Eberle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TA&M 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+36.5Home team on offense+19.7Score differential+12.3Garbage-time factor+3.6Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:43: Amari Daniels run for 71 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:45: Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 6 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:31: Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST down — TA&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:36: Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NMSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 10:05NMSU 4th & 8 at NMSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37NMSU 4th & 7 at NMSU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:26TA&M 4th & 3 at NMSU 20, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:01NMSU 4th & 10 at TA&M 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:43NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:21TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:23NMSU 4th & 3 at NMSU 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:22TA&M 4th & 6 at NMSU 41, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:33NMSU 4th & 5 at TA&M 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:19NMSU 4th & 12 at NMSU 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:34NMSU 4th & 7 at NMSU 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:54TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:34NMSU 4th & 18 at TA&M 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:37NMSU 4th & 4 at TA&M 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:38TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:43TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:45TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:36TA&M Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:42TA&M Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2299% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.2%
Amari Daniels run for 11 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 7 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
99.2%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.1%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.1%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the NMSU 49Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+33
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 33 yds to the NMSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 16 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.1%
Seth McGowan run for 16 yds to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.0%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the NMSU 43Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.0%
null punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
99.0%
Amari Daniels run for 71 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Santino Marucci run for 6 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
99.0%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 28Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.0%
George Eberle punt for 48 yds , Jabre Barber returns for no gain to the TA&M 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:0399% → 99%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.0%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.0%
EJ Smith run for 8 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+19
99.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 19 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.0%
EJ Smith run for no gain to the NMSU 49Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+22
99.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 22 yds to the NMSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
98.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 9 yds to the NMSU 18Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-2
98.9%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 20Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
98.9%
Randy Bond 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Brandon Nunez run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+25
98.9%
Seth McGowan run for 25 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
98.9%
George Eberle punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 4:0899% → 99%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+16
98.9%
Marcel Reed run for 16 yds to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
98.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 12 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
98.9%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
98.9%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+30
98.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 30 yds to the NMSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
98.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NMSU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 19
OPP 34
+27
98.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 27 yds to the NMSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.9%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the NMSU 6Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 6 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.1%
Santino Marucci run for 1 yd to the NMSU 19Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+5
99.1%
(12:54) MARUCCI, Santino pass short to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Mike thrown to the NMSU20; QB hurried by STEWART, Shemar, clock 12:50. PENALTY TAMU Offsides on STEWART, Shemar enforced 5 yards from the NMSU19 to the NMSU24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+4
99.1%
George Eberle punt for 42 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 4 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.2%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-11
99.2%
(12:01) REED, Marcel pass to the left complete for 7 yards to BUSSEY, Terry caught at the TAMU49 and advanced to the TAMU49 (HOBBS, Dakerric;MARTINEZ, Tyler), clock 11:55. PENALTY TAMU Holding on SHANAHAN, TJ enforced 11 yards from the TAMU42 to the TAMU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+1
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to EJ Smith for 1 yd to the TA&M 32Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+5
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 5 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
99.1%
Tyler White punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Smith at the NMSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.1%
Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 28Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-1
99.0%
Larenzo McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 27Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+4
99.1%
Santino Marucci pass complete to TJ Pride for 4 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+9
99.0%
George Eberle punt for 40 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 9 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5099% → 99%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 3 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+14
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 14 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.1%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NMSU 40Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
99.1%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the NMSU 36Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-5
99.1%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMSU 41Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Tyler White punt for 38 yds, downed at the NMSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 3:471% → 1%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
99.0%
Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the NMSU 6Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+15
99.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shemar Turner) to the NMSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.0%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+12
98.9%
Brandon Nunez pass complete to Jerry Lydiatt for 12 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
98.9%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 42Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-1
98.9%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 41Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+5
98.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offsides (Cashius Howell) to the NMSU 46Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+19
98.8%
Santino Marucci pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 19 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.6%
Seth McGowan run for no gain to the TA&M 35Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
98.6%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.7%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
98.7%
Abraham Montano 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13INT
13 plays · 54 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
99.1%
Marcel Reed run for 11 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds to the NMSU 40Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
99.2%
EJ Smith run for 2 yds to the NMSU 38Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+10
99.2%
(00:38) REED, Marcel pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BARBER, Jabre thrown to the NMSU10, clock 00:31. PENALTY NMSU Holding on HOBBS, Dakerric enforced 10 yards from the NMSU38 to the NMSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+12
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 12 yds to the NMSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
99.2%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted Keonte Glinton return for 5 yds to the NMSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
98.9%
(00:01) [NHSG] Kneel down by MARUCCI, Santino at NMSU5 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
98.9%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the NMSU 33Similar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.9%
Brandon Nunez run for 4 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
98.8%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 35Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
98.8%
George Eberle punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TA&M 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 6:3799% → 100%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.0%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
99.0%
EJ Smith run for 9 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.1%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to AJ DiNota for 7 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.1%
AJ DiNota run for 5 yds to the NMSU 46Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+11
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 11 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.1%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NMSU 30Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+5
99.1%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NMSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.1%
AJ DiNota run for 5 yds to the NMSU 20Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+15
99.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 15 yds to the NMSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Santino Marucci pass complete to Mike Washington for 13 yds to the NMSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-6
99.8%
Mike Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMSU 35Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
New Mexico State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NMSU 30Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+11
99.8%
Santino Marucci pass complete to Mike Washington for 11 yds to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
George Eberle punt for 40 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 5 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
99.9%
Conner Weigman sacked by Buddha Peleti for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 22Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 12
OWN 22
-1
99.9%
Conner Weigman sacked by Buddha Peleti for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 21Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 13
OWN 21
-2
99.9%
Tyler White punt for 42 yds , Jordan Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:110% → 0%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Seth McGowan run for 3 yds to the NMSU 48Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Seth McGowan run for 8 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
99.9%
Santino Marucci pass complete to Jordan Smith for 21 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
99.9%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 26Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Brandon Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 13
OPP 26
-5
99.9%
Santino Marucci sacked by Malick Sylla for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 31Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 18
OPP 31
+48
99.9%
Abraham Montano 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20INT
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Conner Weigman run for 6 yds to the TA&M 19Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
AJ DiNota run for 9 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+23
99.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 23 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
99.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Terry Bussey for 14 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Conner Weigman pass intercepted by Tayden Barnes at the NMSU 0, touchback. PENALTY NMSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on Tayden Barnes enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the NMSU 20 to the NMSU 10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:560% → 0%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 14Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the NMSU 18Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the NMSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Santino Marucci run for 1 yd to the NMSU 24Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Tim Gans run for 7 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+16
99.9%
Mike Washington run for 16 yds to the NMSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Tim Gans run for 2 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
Tim Gans run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 47Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:51100% → 100%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
AJ DiNota run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 46Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Miles O'Neill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+17
99.9%
Miles O'Neill pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 17 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
AJ DiNota run for 5 yds to the NMSU 32Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+9
99.9%
Miles O'Neill pass complete to AJ DiNota for 9 yds to the NMSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.9%
AJ DiNota run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 25Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+7
100.0%
Miles O'Neill pass complete to Izaiah Williams for 7 yds to the NMSU 18Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Miles O'Neill pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 13 yds to the NMSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
AJ DiNota run for no gain to the NMSU 5Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Miles O'Neill pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 5 yds for a TD (Drake Bhatia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Mike Washington run for 7 yds to the NMSU 32Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
100.0%
Santino Marucci pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 12 yds to the NMSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Santino Marucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-7
100.0%
Santino Marucci sacked by Malick Sylla for a loss of 7 yards to the NMSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:36
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+0.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:31
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST down
+0.4
TD · Q2 13:45
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 6 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com