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MIZ

Missouri 30 at South Carolina 34

SC
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-12SC 66.9%Blake Craig 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 15 - HOME 21 · Q4 12:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:49 · Blake Craig 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+4.1Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 12:49: Blake Craig 25 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +12.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:12: Nate Noel run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +28.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:04: Michael Smith 5 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — SC win probability +18.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:10: Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 37 yds for a TD (J. Roberts Run For Two-point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +55.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +74.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:00MIZ 4th & 7 at SC 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:41MIZ 4th & 6 at SC 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:42SC 4th & 1 at SC 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:02SC 4th & 2 at MIZ 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:08SC 4th & 1 at MIZ 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:03MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:31MIZ 4th & 13 at SC 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:33MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MIZ 4th & 16 at SC 49, down 15
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:06SC 4th & 4 at MIZ 34, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:06SC 4th & 4 at MIZ 34, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:01SC 4th & 1 at SC 37, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.8%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49MIZ 4th & 1 at SC 7, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%−4.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−15.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:53SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:10MIZ 4th & 5 at SC 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−6.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−8.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 7:27SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:57SC Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:39SC Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:54MIZ Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:12MIZ Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−2.0
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:04SC Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:10MIZ Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:15SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:4931% → 32%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
69.4%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+4
69.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
69.2%
Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+23
68.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 23 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
68.7%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+9
68.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 9 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
68.5%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the SC 22Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
68.2%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
68.2%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
68.2%
Blake Craig 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2568% → 70%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
68.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 30 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
68.5%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the MIZ 45Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
68.4%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the MIZ 45Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+14
67.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 14 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
68.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+26
69.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 26 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:3331% → 33%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
69.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 24Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
69.4%
Nate Noel run for 17 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
68.3%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the MIZ 48Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
68.4%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
68.2%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+22
68.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 22 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
67.3%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 23Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+5
67.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
67.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+37
67.4%
Blake Craig 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4DOWNS
19 plays · 57 yds · 7:2568% → 69%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.2%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris pass incomplete deep right to Harbor,Nyck thrown to MIZ40 PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference (Norwood,Dreyden) 15 yards from USC25 to USC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
69.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
69.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
68.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the SC 49Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
68.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
69.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+5
69.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+3
68.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
69.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
70.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
69.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the MIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
70.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the MIZ 25Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+6
70.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the MIZ 19Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
69.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the MIZ 17Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-1
68.6%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 2:5730% → 29%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
69.6%
Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the MIZ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
69.2%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
69.5%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-5
69.8%
(08:37) PENALTY MIZ False Start (Heismeyer,Drake) 5 yards from MIZ32 to MIZ27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 12
OWN 27
-5
70.4%
(08:14) PENALTY MIZ False Start (Manning,Joshua) 5 yards from MIZ27 to MIZ22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 17
OWN 22
+2
70.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 2 yds to the MIZ 24Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
71.1%
Luke Bauer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
71.2%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 40 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by SC LaNorris Sellers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7MISSED FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3434% → 30%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
66.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
66.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-8
67.3%
Brady Cook sacked by T.J. Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 32Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+49
70.3%
Blake Craig 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:2370% → 79%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
69.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 14 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
71.1%
Jared Brown run for 11 yds to the MIZ 43 South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nyck Harbor) to the SC 47Similar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 9
OWN 47
-1
71.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 46Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
70.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+43
70.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 43 yds to the MIZ 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
78.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:1720% → 19%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.4%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
80.2%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
80.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 1 yd to the MIZ 32Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
81.4%
Luke Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Juju McDowell at the SC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 0:4880% → 89%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+29
80.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 29 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
81.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 4 yds to the MIZ 44Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
82.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 6 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
82.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
88.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 38 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:3314% → 13%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
86.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 22 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
84.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 1 yd to the MIZ 48Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+9
86.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
85.0%
Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SC 49Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 16
OPP 49
0
86.7%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+12
86.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 12 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 49
-12
86.7%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 12 yards to the MIZ 39 Brady Cook fumbled, recovered by MIZ Brady CookSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:4586% → 87%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 9 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
85.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
85.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 11 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
86.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 14 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
87.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+3
87.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
86.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
86.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 6:0616% → 23%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
83.9%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+8
83.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
83.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+23
83.9%
Nate Noel run for 23 yds to the SC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
82.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Joshua ManningSimilar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
83.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Kewan Lacy for 12 yds to the SC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
83.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
84.1%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the SC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd to the SC 2Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4381% → 82%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
81.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 18 Raheim Sanders fumbled, recovered by SC Raheim SandersSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+10
81.3%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris sacked for loss of 6 yards to the USC12 (McClellan,Chris) PENALTY MIZ Holding (Norwood,Dreyden) 10 yards from USC18 to USC28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
81.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 29Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
81.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+8
81.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
82.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:0721% → 33%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
79.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+6
77.5%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the SC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
77.6%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the SC 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
77.7%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
79.0%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the SC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
76.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the SC 10Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
76.5%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
78.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Jordon HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+25
66.9%
Blake Craig 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4475% → 75%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
75.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 3 yds to the SC 25Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:3429% → 63%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
70.8%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+53
70.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 49 yds to the SC 8 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Demetrius Knight Jr.) to the SC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
65.0%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the SC 1Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.7%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0144% → 69%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.0%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 10 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
44.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
45.0%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 35Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
39.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Brady Hunt for 11 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
47.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 47 yds to the MIZ 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
50.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the MIZ 5Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.0%
Michael Smith 5 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
69.0%
Brown,Jared pass attempt Successful PENALTY USC Illegal Touch-Pass (Brown,Jared). NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:4030% → 90%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
70.1%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
67.1%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
67.7%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
66.4%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
66.5%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the SC 41Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
68.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-2
65.4%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 37Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+37
9.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 37 yds for a TD (J. Roberts Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 0:3816% → 96%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
16.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
14.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 10 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+39
15.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 39 yds to the MIZ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
22.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
96.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21INT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0518% → 14%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
81.6%
Brady Cook sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 19Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
86.2%
Brady Cook pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
96.2%
(00:02) Kneel down by South Carolina at MIZ38 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:15
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)
+74.1
TD · Q4 1:10
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 37 yds for a TD (J. Roberts Run For Two-point Conversion)
-55.8
TD · Q4 9:12
Nate Noel run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
-28.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com