Try the model
TENN

Tennessee 17 at Georgia 31

UGA
2024 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.8UGA 98.2%Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD(Peyton Woodring KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 31 · Q4 2:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:26 · Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+1.0Home team on offense+29.5Garbage-time factor+14.5Score differential+12.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:30: Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 19 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +6.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:36: Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +5.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: Dylan Sampson run for 27 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +14.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:05: Peyton Woodring 36 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +4.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:32: Carson Beck run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +12.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:56UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:30TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:37UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:43TENN 4th & 7 at UGA 34, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:02TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:44TENN 4th & 2 at UGA 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:05UGA 4th & 15 at TENN 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−2.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−7.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:54TENN 4th & 11 at UGA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:07TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00UGA 4th & 9 at TENN 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:47TENN 4th & 10 at UGA 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:19TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:09TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:30UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:36UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54TENN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:32UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:26UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5275% → 75%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
74.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
74.8%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
74.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 3:4225% → 28%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
74.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 6 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
74.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+8
74.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
74.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 9 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
74.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
74.0%
Georgia Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Julian Humphrey) to the UGA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
73.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 12 yds to the UGA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
73.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the UGA 17Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
73.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+11
73.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 11 yds to the UGA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Bru McCoy, broken up by Smael Mondon Jr.Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
73.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the UGA 1Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.1%
Miles Kitselman run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5073% → 71%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.5%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
72.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 4 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
71.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 8 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell, broken up by Joshua JosephsSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
71.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
71.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
71.2%
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:4129% → 31%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
71.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the TENN 26Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-10
70.8%
Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dayne Davis) to the TENN 16Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+2
70.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 18Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
70.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 13 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
70.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
69.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dylan SampsonSimilar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+9
69.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for 9 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
69.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-6
68.8%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 6 yards to the TENN 41Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
69.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
69.3%
Jackson Ross punt for 53 yds, downed at the UGA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3469% → 67%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
69.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 2 yds to the UGA 8 Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-4 Yards) to the UGA 4Similar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 12
OWN 4
+5
68.9%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the UGA 9Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+3
68.4%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 12Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
68.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell, broken up by Bryson EasonSimilar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+26
67.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 51 yds , Boo Carter returns for 26 yds to the UGA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4933% → 35%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
66.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 6 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
66.2%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 32Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-2
65.9%
Peyton Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 34Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+52
64.7%
Max Gilbert 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0865% → 72%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell, broken up by Jalen McMurraySimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.6%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+38
63.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 38 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.2%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Lawson Luckie, broken up by Rickey Gibson IIISimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+14
66.1%
Carson Beck run for 14 yds to the TENN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
65.7%
Dillon Bell run for 2 yds to the TENN 19Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
71.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 19 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:1731% → 31%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for no gain to the TENN 25Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 8 yds to the TENN 33Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
68.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
67.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the TENN 44Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
66.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-5
66.9%
Tennessee Penalty, False Start (John Campbell Jr.) to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
67.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
68.6%
Jackson Ross punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:1969% → 76%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
68.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 9 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
69.4%
Chauncey Bowens run for 4 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
68.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 23 yds to the TENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+23
69.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 23 yds Arian Smith fumbled, recovered by UGASimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
70.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Nate Frazier for 4 yds to the TENN 21Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
70.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+11
68.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 11 yds to the TENN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
69.4%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the TENN 7Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+3
70.2%
Bell, Dillon rush for 5 yards to the TENN2, PENALTY TENN offside 3 yards to the TENN4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3427% → 42%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.4%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
73.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 10 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
72.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
72.5%
Peyton Lewis run for 16 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
71.3%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Smael Mondon Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 15
50
+4
72.4%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+9
74.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 9 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+3
74.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
71.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 7 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+27
58.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 27 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 1:4563% → 67%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
63.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
50
-1
66.3%
Nate Frazier run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 49Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+11
64.5%
Nate Frazier run for 11 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
66.3%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
66.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 8 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+8
65.4%
Carson Beck run for 8 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
67.1%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Jones, Cash for loss of 1 yard to the TENN25, PENALTY UGA holding 10 yards to the TENN34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+6
66.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 6 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+15
64.2%
Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jermod McCoy) to the TENN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
65.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
65.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-5
64.0%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TENN 18Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 15
OPP 18
0
61.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+36
66.6%
Peyton Woodring 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
64.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:0036% → 36%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for 9 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
62.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 9 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
61.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+17
62.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 17 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
60.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
60.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Miles KitselmanSimilar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
60.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Miles KitselmanSimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-5
62.4%
Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UGA 41Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
64.3%
Jackson Ross punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 7:1667% → 83%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
66.6%
Nate Frazier run for 16 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
67.0%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Smith, Arian for 40 yards to the TENN31, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Smith, Arian) 14 yards to the UGA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 24
OWN 15
0
66.0%
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the UGA 15Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 24
OWN 15
+31
65.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Nitro Tuggle for 16 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
68.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 3 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-2
68.9%
Chauncey Bowens run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 47Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+16
66.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 16 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
69.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 14 yds to the TENN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
70.0%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the TENN 20Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
69.9%
Tennessee Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TENN 15Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+2
69.9%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the TENN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
69.8%
Chauncey Bowens run for 3 yds to the TENN 10Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
69.7%
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the TENN 10Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
82.5%
Carson Beck run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:0822% → 21%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
77.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 14 yds to the TENN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
77.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 25Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
77.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 5 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
77.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
77.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
76.9%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 37Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
77.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+2
78.9%
Jackson Ross punt for 46 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 2 yds to the UGA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:5982% → 85%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+32
82.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 32 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Oscar Delp, broken up by Will BrooksSimilar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.2%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+4
85.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 4 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
85.2%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TENN 48Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
84.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 6:0720% → 17%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
79.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
80.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the TENN 23Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+6
82.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 6 yds to the TENN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
81.5%
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd to the TENN 30Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+1
81.6%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the TENN 31Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+12
83.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 12 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
81.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 46Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+6
80.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
79.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
79.4%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
79.1%
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd to the UGA 41Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
79.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-5
81.3%
Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Lance Heard) to the UGA 46Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
83.1%
Jackson Ross punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 6:1287% → 98%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+21
86.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 21 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
88.1%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
88.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 5 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+28
89.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 28 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
91.0%
Nate Frazier run for 8 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
91.5%
Chauncey Bowens run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
91.5%
Chauncey Bowens run for 1 yd to the TENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
92.2%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the TENN 22Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+7
93.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the TENN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
93.9%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the TENN 13Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-5
94.4%
Georgia Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TENN 18Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+16
94.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 16 yds to the TENN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:003% → 2%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 13 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 5 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
97.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 3 yds to the TENN 46Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-4
97.3%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 42Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+3
97.6%
Nico Iamaleava run for 3 yds to the TENN 45 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, forced by Damon Wilson II, recovered by UGASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20Uncategorized
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4299% → 99%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 46Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 47Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:54
Dylan Sampson run for 27 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 5:32
Carson Beck run for 10 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q2 13:30
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 19 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com