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SC

South Carolina 28 at Vanderbilt 7

VAN
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:14 · Alex Herrera 42 Yard Field Goal Missed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Home team on offense−1.0Pregame prior−13.6Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:11: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +7.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:22: Raheim Sanders run for 33 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +9.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:08: Diego Pavia run for 17 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +13.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:04: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 4 yds to the SC 29 — SC win probability +6.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:07: Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +12.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 12:00VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:14SC 4th & 4 at VAN 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:47VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:45SC 4th & 5 at SC 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:17VAN 4th & 9 at SC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:32VAN 4th & 8 at SC 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:11SC 4th & 8 at SC 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:18VAN 4th & 1 at SC 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−2.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:57VAN 4th & 19 at VAN 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 13:11SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:22SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:08VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:07SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:55SC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:5034% → 35%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
34.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 40Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
34.5%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
34.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 49Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-1
35.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 48Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
35.3%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
35.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2MISSED FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 6:3965% → 63%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
35.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 10 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
35.5%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 23Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
35.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
36.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 6 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
36.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 9 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
35.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
36.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
36.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the VAN 48Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
36.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
36.1%
Jared Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 41Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+12
36.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 12 yds to the VAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
36.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
36.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-5
36.6%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 30Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+7
36.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the VAN 23Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+42
37.3%
Alex Herrera 42 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2438% → 38%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
37.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 13 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
38.4%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
38.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
38.3%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
37.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
38.2%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Torricelli Simpkins III) to the SC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
38.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 15 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by VAN Langston Patterson L. Patterson return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:3840% → 40%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
40.0%
Moni Jones run for 2 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-6
40.4%
Diego Pavia sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 19 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by SC Kyle Kennard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:4161% → 69%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
38.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 20Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+11
38.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 11 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
38.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
38.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+12
38.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
37.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 10 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
37.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the VAN 42Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
37.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the VAN 38Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
37.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
37.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 40Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+23
38.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 23 yds to the VAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
31.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2434% → 34%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.6%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
33.9%
AJ Newberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 29Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
33.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 6 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
33.9%
AJ Newberry run for no gain to the VAN 35Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
33.7%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
32.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 8 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
33.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:5467% → 70%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
33.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 11 yds to the SC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
33.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
32.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
31.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
30.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
30.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 6 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
30.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
29.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 40 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by SCSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
31.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+9
31.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
30.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 4:2032% → 30%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
31.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 14Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-1
31.5%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 13Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+9
30.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 9 yds to the VAN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
31.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+7
31.8%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
31.9%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
31.7%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VAN 34Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+16
29.9%
Diego Pavia run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
50
+1
33.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 1 yd to the SC 49Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
32.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
31.4%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
30.4%
Jesse Mirco punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:1571% → 70%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
29.4%
(00:13) [NHSG] Kneel down by SELLERS, LaNorris at SC19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:08.Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
30.0%
(14:58) SELLERS, LaNorris pass deep to the right complete for 20 yards to SIMON, Joshua caught at the SC45 and advanced to the SC45 (HIGHT, Martel), clock 14:51. PENALTY SC Holding on HENRY, Cason enforced 10 yards from the SC25 to the SC15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1370% → 82%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+51
30.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 51 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
27.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the VAN 33Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
18.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 33 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1322% → 35%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 12 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
21.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 9 yds to the VAN 46Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
22.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 6 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
22.1%
Diego Pavia run for 16 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
22.5%
AJ Newberry run for 5 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
22.2%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+8
21.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 8 yds to the SC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
21.9%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
21.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
34.7%
Diego Pavia run for 17 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5772% → 88%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
27.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 14 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
26.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
26.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 3
50
+5
25.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+39
25.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 39 yds to the VAN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
24.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the VAN 1Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3516% → 15%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 29Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.5%
(03:28) QB Keeper PAVIA, Diego rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the VANDY29 (GEER, Jatius), clock 03:24. PENALTY VANDY Holding on MITCHELL, Chase SC Face mask on GEER, Jatius , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
15.3%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+33
15.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 33 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.3%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
17.0%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
15.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
15.4%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1388% → 88%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
11.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
11.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+3
11.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 3
OWN 43
-5
12.0%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SC 38Similar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
12.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 57 yds , Martel Hight returns for no gain to the VAN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:4713% → 6%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
13.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 12 yds to the VAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
13.3%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Steven Hubbard) to the VAN 8Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+4
13.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 12Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+17
13.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 17 yds to the VAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
13.4%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
13.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
13.7%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 38Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-15
13.0%
(12:06) PAVIA, Diego scrambles to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the VANDY40 (KNIGHT JR., Demetrius), clock 12:01. PENALTY VANDY Personal Foul on HANSEN, Gunnar enforced 15 yards from the VANDY38 to the VANDY23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 26
OWN 23
+15
11.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Emmanwori) to the VAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
13.3%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 14 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
14.1%
Diego Pavia sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 48Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+5
10.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 5 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+8
11.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 8 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
9.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
6.2%
(09:13) SELLERS, LaNorris pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for HARBOR, Nyck broken up by WRIGHT, De'Rickey at the VANDY40, clock 09:09. PENALTY VANDY Pass Interference on WRIGHT, De'Rickey enforced 16 yards to the VANDY45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:1094% → 99%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
6.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 12 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
5.8%
(08:23) SANDERS, Raheim rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the VANDY35 (LACKEY, Jaylin), out of bounds, clock 08:19. PENALTY SC Holding on SIMON, Joshua enforced 10 yards from the VANDY33 to the VANDY43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+43
1.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 43 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:532% → 1%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
2.2%
(07:50) PAVIA, Diego pass short to the left incomplete intended for ALEXANDER, Sedrick broken up by KENNARD, Kyle at the VANDY27, clock 07:46. PENALTY VANDY Holding on SPENCE, Cole enforced 10 yards from the VANDY26 to the VANDY16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+5
2.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 5 yds to the VAN 21Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
1.8%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 15
OWN 21
-28
1.8%
(06:59) PAVIA, Diego pass deep to the left complete for 28 yards to FOUONJI, Loic caught at the VANDY49 and advanced to the VANDY49 (SWAIN, Vicari), clock 06:52. PENALTY VANDY Pass Interference on FOUONJI, Loic enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards to the VANDY10 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 26
OWN 10
+7
1.4%
Nate Johnson run for 7 yds to the VAN 17Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 19
OWN 17
+7
1.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 53 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 7 yds to the SC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19END OF GAME
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:1099% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
1.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 38Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
1.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 37Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+20
1.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 20 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
0.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the VAN 38Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
0.7%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+4
0.7%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
0.5%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the VAN 26Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
0.4%
Robby Ashford run for 7 yds to the VAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
0.4%
R. Ashford takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:08
Diego Pavia run for 17 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
+13.1
TD · Q3 4:07
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)
-12
TD · Q3 13:22
Raheim Sanders run for 33 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com