Try the model
OU

Oklahoma 23 at Missouri 30

MIZ
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:17 · Taylor Tatum run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense−8.3Pregame prior−2.4Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score differential−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 8:47: Drew Pyne pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Craig PAT MISSED) — MIZ win probability +18.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:18: Taylor Tatum pass complete to Jackson Arnold for 18 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +37.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:00: Billy Bowman Jr. 43 Yd Fumble Return (Zach Schmit Kick) — OU win probability +42.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:03: Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +41.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:22: Zion Young 17 Yd Fumble Return (Blake Craig Kick) — MIZ win probability +40.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:34OU 4th & 21 at OU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:45MIZ 4th & 16 at MIZ 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49MIZ 4th & 9 at OU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    44.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:22OU 4th & 7 at OU 47, tied
    Close callWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56OU 4th & 22 at MIZ 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:46MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:58OU 4th & 7 at MIZ 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:26MIZ 4th & 8 at OU 8, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:02OU 4th & 5 at OU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:14MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:01MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:17OU 4th & 1 at MIZ 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−4.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:32OU 4th & 1 at OU 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.3%−3.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:59OU 4th & 6 at MIZ 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:00MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00OU 4th & 5 at OU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 5:43MIZ Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:47MIZ Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−1.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:18OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.8
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:00OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:03MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−4.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:22MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:2355% → 55%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.6%
Taylor Tatum run for 8 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
44.7%
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd to the OU 34Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
44.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-11
45.1%
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 11 yards to the OU 25 Jackson Arnold fumbled, recovered by OU Jackson Arnold J. Arnold return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4645% → 45%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
45.3%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-3
45.5%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 31Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-6
45.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jamal Roberts for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 25Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Luke Bauer punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:2855% → 55%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
45.5%
Taylor Tatum run for 2 yds to the OU 38Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+12
45.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line Jackson Arnold fumbled, recovered by MIZ Johnny Walker Jr. , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 4:1647% → 47%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
50
+3
46.5%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
46.8%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
46.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
47.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 41Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+2
47.3%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the OU 39Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
47.4%
Drew Pyne run for no gain to the OU 39Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
46.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:4853% → 54%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
46.7%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the OU 24Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
46.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Taylor Tatum for 8 yds to the OU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
46.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 2 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
46.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 7 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
46.2%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
46.1%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
46.4%
Sam Franklin run for 3 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
46.5%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 7
OWN 47
+43
47.4%
Luke Elzinga pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 43 yds to the MIZ 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
45.3%
Oklahoma Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MIZ 15Similar
Q1 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-4
45.4%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. and Zion Young for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 19Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
-6
45.3%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Chuck Hicks for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 25Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
+3
46.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the MIZ 22Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 22
+40
46.1%
Zach Schmit 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 4:0545% → 46%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
45.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 31Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
45.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
45.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 38Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
47.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 5 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
46.9%
Drew Pyne run for 1 yd to the MIZ 44Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
46.3%
Luther Burden III run for no gain to the MIZ 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:4456% → 62%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
43.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 4 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+20
43.4%
Jackson Arnold run for 20 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
42.4%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the MIZ 20Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-4
42.6%
Bauer Sharp run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 24Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+7
44.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the MIZ 17Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
38.4%
Zach Schmit 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5940% → 39%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.2%
Luther Burden III run for 10 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
40.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 3 yds to the MIZ 38Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
41.5%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
40.7%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+38
39.4%
Luke Bauer punt for 38 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for no gain to the OU 28 , returns for no gain to the OU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1644% → 46%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
43.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 19 yds to the OU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
43.2%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 12Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
43.0%
Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the OU 8Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.8%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
45.8%
Blake Craig 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1856% → 56%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.6%
Taylor Tatum run for 3 yds to the OU 28Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
43.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Taylor Tatum for 2 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
42.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
44.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 15Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
43.8%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 1:4240% → 41%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+5
40.3%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MIZ 15Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
40.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 19Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+8
40.6%
Jamal Roberts run for 8 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
42.2%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
41.6%
Jamal Roberts run for 8 yds to the MIZ 35Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
42.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.3%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
42.9%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+1
41.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+13
40.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 40 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 13 yds to the OU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12FG
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0660% → 67%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
40.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 48Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+14
40.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+56
32.7%
Zach Schmit 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5540% → 38%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.3%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
40.1%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
39.6%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.3%
Luke Bauer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Peyton Bowen at the MIZ 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2665% → 64%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
34.6%
Taylor Tatum run for no gain to the MIZ 49Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
34.5%
Taylor Tatum run for 5 yds to the MIZ 44Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
34.6%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-1
35.8%
Taylor Tatum run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:2842% → 61%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
41.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 11 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
43.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
43.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the OU 42Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
42.6%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
43.1%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
42.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the OU 33Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+13
42.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the OU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
44.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the OU 17Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+7
44.5%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the OU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
43.7%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the OU 10Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
43.7%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 13 Marcus Carroll fumbled, recovered by MIZ Drew Pyne D. Pyne return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
60.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:4043% → 43%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
56.6%
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
54.2%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
54.6%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 44Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
56.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 3 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
53.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 4 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
53.4%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
54.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
57.2%
Luke Elzinga punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:5458% → 56%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
58.0%
Jamal Roberts run for 7 yds to the MIZ 12Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+5
58.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MIZ 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
59.2%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
58.7%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 20Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-1
57.5%
Drew Pyne sacked by Kobie McKinzie and Caiden Woullard for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 19Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
56.4%
Luke Bauer punt for 60 yds, downed at the OU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:0141% → 39%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
58.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 4 yds to the OU 15Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+3
59.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 3 yds to the OU 18Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+14
61.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 14 yds Deion Burks fumbled, recovered by MIZ Tre'Vez Johnson T. Johnson return for 2 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:2868% → 89%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
68.3%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jayden Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 31Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+4
68.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+8
66.7%
Drew Pyne run for 8 yds to the OU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
69.0%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the OU 18Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
69.3%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+10
67.2%
Drew Pyne run for 10 yds to the OU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
69.9%
Jamal Roberts run for no gain to the OU 8Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
70.1%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the OU 5Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Craig PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2518% → 55%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
81.8%
Xavier Robinson run for 10 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
81.1%
Xavier Robinson run for 9 yds to the OU 44Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
79.2%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
81.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 44Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+6
84.9%
Xavier Robinson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
50
+7
83.4%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 7 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
82.8%
Xavier Robinson run for 8 yds to the MIZ 35Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
81.2%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the MIZ 34Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+10
83.1%
Xavier Robinson run for 10 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
81.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the MIZ 22Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
82.1%
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
45.1%
Taylor Tatum pass complete to Jackson Arnold for 18 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:1459% → 18%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.9%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
60.3%
Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+43
18.0%
Billy Bowman Jr. 43 Yd Fumble Return (Zach Schmit Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 0:5016% → 66%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
15.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 28 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
19.3%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
18.6%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+10
16.9%
PYNE, Drew pass to the right incomplete intended for MANNING, Joshua thrown to the OKLA47; QB hurried by STONE, David and MCCULLOUGH, Dasan, clock 01:33. PENALTY OKLA Holding on WASHINGTON, Woodi enforced 10 yards from the OKLA47 to the OKLA37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
19.8%
Drew Pyne sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the OU 43Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 16
OPP 43
0
17.1%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+33
15.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Luther Burden III for 33 yds to the OU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
24.6%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the OU 10Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
66.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:3851% → 11%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.2%
ARNOLD, Jackson pass up the middle incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the OKLA20, clock 01:00. PENALTY MIZZOU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Kristian enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the OKLA30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
48.2%
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
88.6%
Zion Young 17 Yd Fumble Return (Blake Craig Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:1910% → 7%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.4%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 5 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for no gain to the OU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+26
93.2%
Jackson Arnold run for 26 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:00
Billy Bowman Jr. 43 Yd Fumble Return (Zach Schmit Kick)
-42.3
TD · Q4 1:03
Drew Pyne pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 10 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
+41.5
TD · Q4 0:22
Zion Young 17 Yd Fumble Return (Blake Craig Kick)
+40.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com